Emelec vs Leones del Norte — Liga Pro
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Estadio George Capwell·Guayaquil·Ecuador·36,007
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Emelec and Leones del Norte meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Emelec have recorded 10 wins from 31 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 0.84 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 23%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Leones del Norte have won 32% of their 31 matches, with 1.03 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Emelec and 0.90 for Leones del Norte. The models give Emelec a 43% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Leones del Norte win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Emelec—
Leones del Norte11º
Position
8º
1.30
PPG
1.30
33%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.03
1.13
Conceded / game
1.07
42%
BTTS %
48%
32%
Clean sheet %
32%
23%
Over 2.5 %
32%
4.7
Avg corners
4.1
11.7
Avg shots
12.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.4
10.8
Avg fouls
12.1
47.9%
Avg possession
46.9%
Home vs Away
Emelec
Home (15)
—
Leones del Norte
Away (15)
1.87
PPG
1.07
53%
Win %
27%
1.13
Goals / game
0.87
0.87
Conceded / game
1.27
50%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
31%
31%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.7
Avg corners
4.1
11.7
Avg shots
12.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.4
47.9%
Avg possession
46.9%
Goals Scored
| Emelec | Home | Away | Leones del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 81% | 47% | 74% | 80% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 31% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 19% | 53% | 26% | 20% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Emelec | Home | Away | Leones del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 63% | 73% | 68% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 25% | 40% | 29% | 13% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 38% | 27% | 32% | 33% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Emelec | Leones del | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 23% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 3% |
| BTTS | 42% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Emelec | Leones del | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Emelec (H)L
Libertad1–2
Libertad1–2W
Manta FC1–0
Manta FC1–0WLeones del Norte2–1
Leones del Norte2–1W
Tecnico Universitario2–1
Tecnico Universitario2–1L
Aucas0–2
Aucas0–2D
Mushuc Runa SC1–1
Mushuc Runa SC1–1Leones del (A)D
Guayaquil City FC1–1
Guayaquil City FC1–1DMushuc Runa SC1–1
Mushuc Runa SC1–1LEmelec1–2
Emelec1–2WManta FC2–0
Manta FC2–0LAucas0–3
Aucas0–3L
LDU de Quito0–6
LDU de Quito0–6Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
9.2
232 games
8.8
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | Emelec | Leones del | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 70% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 59% | 57% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 40% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 41% | 27% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 34% | 17% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 10% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 0% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Emelec | Leones del |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 76% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 47% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Emelec
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Leones del
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
30/08/26Leones del Norte
Emelec
2–1Leones del Norte03/05/26Emelec
Leones del Norte
2–0Emelec08/10/25Emelec
Leones del Norte
0–0Emelec| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +23 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Emelec | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | -14 | 33 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -12 | 29 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | -24 | 24 |
Team Insights
Emelec- ●Emelec have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Emelec failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●69% of Emelec's goals have been scored at home.
Leones del- ●Leones del Norte have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leones del Norte have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leones del Norte failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Leones del Norte have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
EmelecLHLibertad1–2
Libertad1–2LAMacara0–1
Macara0–1WHManta FC1–0
Manta FC1–0DALibertad1–1
Libertad1–1WHLeones del Norte2–1
Leones del Norte2–1LALDU de Quito0–2
LDU de Quito0–2–AGuayaquil City FC11/10
Guayaquil City FC11/10–ALeones del Norte18/10
Leones del Norte18/10–HGuayaquil City FC25/10
Guayaquil City FC25/10Leones delDAGuayaquil City FC1–1
Guayaquil City FC1–1LHTecnico Universitario0–1
Tecnico Universitario0–1DAMushuc Runa SC1–1
Mushuc Runa SC1–1WHOrense SC1–0
Orense SC1–0LAEmelec1–2
Emelec1–2LHIndependiente del Valle2–3
Independiente del Valle2–3–ALibertad11/10
Libertad11/10–HEmelec18/10
Emelec18/10–HLibertad25/10
Libertad25/10Top Scorers
EmelecL. Klimowicz7 ⚽
J. Ruiz4 ⚽
R. Caicedo2 ⚽
A. Leguizamon2 ⚽
I. Guerrico2 ⚽
S. Quintero2 ⚽
Leones delJ. Anangono10 ⚽
E. Griffa5 ⚽
D. Pazmino3 ⚽
C. Solano3 ⚽
E. Pepinos2 ⚽
M. Luque2 ⚽
Cards Given
EmelecIgnacio Guerrico7 🟨
Víctor Griffith6 🟨
Aníbal Leguizamón6 🟨
A. Leguizamon5 🟨
Stalin Valencia4 🟨
Angelo Mina3 🟨
Leones delJordan Morán8 🟨
Jonathan Arroyo6 🟨
Nicolás Monserrat6 🟨
Emiliano Griffa5 🟨
Ariel Aguas4 🟨
Brian Kreiman3 🟨