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Libertad vs Emelec — Liga Pro

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Ecuador · Liga Pro · Placement Group - 6
Libertad
Libertad
7º · 1.37 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 49d 21h
vs
–
–
Emelec
Emelec
11º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 49d 21h
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne·Loja·Ecuador·15,281
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Libertad and Emelec meet in the Liga Pro 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Libertad have recorded 12 wins from 32 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Emelec have won 32% of their 31 matches, with 0.84 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 32%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Libertad and 0.75 for Emelec. The models give Libertad a 52% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Emelec win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 39%.

Season Statistics

Libertad
—
Emelec
7º
Position
11º
1.37
PPG
1.30
37%
Win %
33%
1.10
Goals / game
0.83
1.13
Conceded / game
1.13
47%
BTTS %
42%
31%
Clean sheet %
32%
47%
Over 2.5 %
23%
3.9
Avg corners
4.6
11.4
Avg shots
11.5
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.5
Avg fouls
10.8
45.0%
Avg possession
47.7%

Home vs Away

Libertad
Home (15)
—
Emelec
Away (15)
1.80
PPG
0.73
53%
Win %
13%
1.33
Goals / game
0.53
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
47%
BTTS %
33%
40%
Clean sheet %
27%
47%
Over 2.5 %
13%
3.9
Avg corners
4.6
11.4
Avg shots
11.5
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.1
45.0%
Avg possession
47.7%

Goals Scored

LibertadHomeAwayEmelecHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored69%80%59%65%81%47%
Over 1.5 Scored31%40%24%19%31%7%
Over 2.5 Scored9%13%6%0%0%0%
Failed To Score31%20%41%35%19%53%

Goals Conceded

LibertadHomeAwayEmelecHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded69%60%76%68%63%73%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%27%47%32%25%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%13%12%6%6%7%
Clean Sheets31%40%24%32%38%27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LibertadEmelec
Over 0.591%90%
Over 1.563%71%
Over 2.547%23%
Over 3.519%6%
Over 4.59%3%
BTTS47%42%
BTTS & Win16%10%
BTTS & Draw16%19%
BTTS & Over 2.538%23%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LibertadEmelec
Win 1st Half22%19%
Draw 1st Half47%55%
Loss 1st Half31%26%
Scored 1st Half38%32%
Conceded 1st Half38%39%
Win 2nd Half31%29%
Draw 2nd Half38%32%
Loss 2nd Half31%39%
Scored 2nd Half47%42%
Conceded 2nd Half50%48%
Over 0.5 HT59%58%
Over 1.5 HT25%29%

Recent Venue Form

Libertad (H)
LIndependiente del Valle2–3
DEmelec1–1
WMacara1–0
WUniversidad Catolica2–1
WOrense SC3–0
WDelfin SC1–0
Emelec (A)
LMacara0–1
DLibertad1–1
LLDU de Quito0–2
DGuayaquil City FC0–0
LDeportivo Cuenca1–2
LIndependiente del Valle1–6

Number of Corners

9.5
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
9.2
228 games
9.8
Corners / Match
28 games
Match CornersLibertadEmelecLeague Avg
Over 690%86%86%
Over 783%71%74%
Over 869%57%56%
Over 945%43%40%
Over 1028%39%29%
Over 1117%32%18%
Over 1214%21%11%
Over 1310%11%6%

Team Corners

Team CornersLibertadEmelec
Corners Earned / Match3.94.6
Corners Against / Match5.75.2
Over 2.5 Corners For66%82%
Over 3.5 Corners For55%68%
Over 4.5 Corners For41%36%
Over 2.5 Corners Against90%82%
Over 3.5 Corners Against79%75%
Over 4.5 Corners Against59%54%

Head to Head · 9 matches

2
Libertad
22%
5
Draws
56%
2
Emelec
22%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
0%
Over 3.5
0/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
20/09/26
Emelec
1–2
Libertad
04/09/26
Libertad
1–1
Emelec
10/05/26
Emelec
1–1
Libertad
03/08/25
Libertad
1–2
Emelec
12/04/25
Emelec
1–1
Libertad
30/11/24
Libertad
2–1
Emelec
01/06/24
Emelec
0–0
Libertad
05/08/23
Libertad
0–0
Emelec
27/02/23
Emelec
2–0
Libertad
Liga Pro
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
11Emelec3010911-936
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Team Insights

Libertad
  • ●Libertad have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
  • ●Libertad have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Libertad have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Libertad failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Emelec
  • ●Emelec have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Emelec failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●69% of Emelec's goals have been scored at home.
LibertadLibertad
WAEmelec8º2–1
WAEmelec11º2–1
LHIndependiente del Valle1º2–3
LHIndependiente del Valle1º2–3
WADeportivo Cuenca12º1–0
WADeportivo Cuenca2º1–0
DHEmelec11º1–1
DHEmelec8º1–1
LAAucas4º0–1
LAAucas5º0–1
EmelecEmelec
LHLibertad7º1–2
LHLibertad14º1–2
LAMacara3º0–1
LAMacara10º0–1
WHManta FC16º1–0
WHManta FC16º1–0
DALibertad7º1–1
DALibertad14º1–1
WHLeones del Norte8º2–1
WHLeones del Norte13º2–1

Season Schedule

Libertad
WAEmelec2–1
LHIndependiente del Valle2–3
WADeportivo Cuenca1–0
DHEmelec1–1
LAAucas0–1
WHMacara1–0
–HLeones del Norte11/10
–HGuayaquil City FC18/10
–ALeones del Norte25/10
Emelec
LHLibertad1–2
LAMacara0–1
WHManta FC1–0
DALibertad1–1
WHLeones del Norte2–1
LALDU de Quito0–2
–AGuayaquil City FC11/10
–ALeones del Norte18/10
–HGuayaquil City FC25/10

Top Scorers

Libertad
V. Branda8 ⚽
A. Chere5 ⚽
G. J. Cortez Casierra4 ⚽
I. Zambrano3 ⚽
E. Caicedo2 ⚽
B. Caicedo2 ⚽
Emelec
L. Klimowicz7 ⚽
J. Ruiz4 ⚽
R. Caicedo2 ⚽
A. Leguizamon2 ⚽
I. Guerrico2 ⚽
S. Quintero2 ⚽

Cards Given

Libertad
Bryan Caicedo8 🟨
Jackson Rodríguez7 🟨
Cristhian Valencia4 🟨
B. Caicedo4 🟨
G. J. Cortez Casierra4 🟨
D. Coronel3 🟨
Emelec
Ignacio Guerrico7 🟨
Víctor Griffith6 🟨
Aníbal Leguizamón6 🟨
A. Leguizamon5 🟨
Stalin Valencia4 🟨
Angelo Mina3 🟨