International · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Semi-finals

Fluminense

2º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 23d 1h

–

Palmeiras

2º · 1.83 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 23d 6h

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Fluminense and Palmeiras meet in the CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Fluminense have recorded 26 wins from 54 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Palmeiras have won 61% of their 56 matches, with 1.68 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 45%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Fluminense and 1.16 for Palmeiras. The models give Fluminense a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Palmeiras win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Fluminense

—

Palmeiras

2º

Position

2º

1.33

PPG

1.83

33%

Win %

50%

1.17

Goals / game

1.67

1.17

Conceded / game

0.83

65%

BTTS %

50%

28%

Clean sheet %

45%

48%

Over 2.5 %

48%

4.6

Avg corners

6.1

13.9

Avg shots

15.6

5.1

Avg shots on target

5.0

2.6

Avg yellow cards

1.8

13.3

Avg fouls

12.7

58.5%

Avg possession

54.0%

Home vs Away

Fluminense

Home (3)

—

Palmeiras

Away (3)

2.00

PPG

1.67

67%

Win %

33%

2.00

Goals / game

1.33

Conceded / game

0.67

69%

BTTS %

50%

31%

Clean sheet %

43%

62%

Over 2.5 %

46%

4.6

Avg corners

6.1

13.9

Avg shots

15.6

5.1

Avg shots on target

5.0

2.6

Avg yellow cards

1.8

58.5%

Avg possession

54.0%

Goals Scored

	Fluminense	Home	Away	Palmeiras	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	81%	90%	72%	86%	93%	79%
Over 1.5 Scored	43%	59%	24%	46%	50%	43%
Over 2.5 Scored	19%	21%	16%	23%	29%	18%
Failed To Score	19%	10%	28%	14%	7%	21%

Goals Conceded

	Fluminense	Home	Away	Palmeiras	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	72%	69%	76%	55%	54%	57%
Over 1.5 Conceded	28%	21%	36%	13%	4%	21%
Over 2.5 Conceded	7%	3%	12%	7%	0%	14%
Clean Sheets	28%	31%	24%	45%	46%	43%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Fluminense	Palmeiras
Over 0.5	89%	91%
Over 1.5	74%	66%
Over 2.5	48%	48%
Over 3.5	26%	25%
Over 4.5	13%	13%
BTTS	65%	50%
BTTS & Win	31%	25%
BTTS & Draw	20%	16%
BTTS & Over 2.5	48%	36%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Fluminense	Palmeiras
Win 1st Half	30%	48%
Draw 1st Half	48%	43%
Loss 1st Half	22%	9%
Scored 1st Half	43%	64%
Conceded 1st Half	39%	29%
Win 2nd Half	41%	39%
Draw 2nd Half	37%	46%
Loss 2nd Half	22%	14%
Scored 2nd Half	65%	63%
Conceded 2nd Half	52%	36%
Over 0.5 HT	63%	71%
Over 1.5 HT	30%	36%

Recent Venue Form

Fluminense (H)

Platense2–0

Vasco DA Gama1–0

Remo2–1

Palmeiras3–2

Independ. Rivadavia0–0

Vasco DA Gama1–3

Palmeiras (A)

Gremio0–0

LDU de Quito2–3

Botafogo0–0

Santos0–0

Mirassol1–1

Cerro Porteno1–0

Number of Corners

8.8

Corners / Match

52 games

League Avg

9.0

149 games

11.1

Corners / Match

56 games

Match Corners	Fluminense	Palmeiras	League Avg
Over 6	75%	91%	74%
Over 7	65%	80%	66%
Over 8	56%	73%	53%
Over 9	40%	66%	44%
Over 10	27%	59%	36%
Over 11	19%	46%	25%
Over 12	13%	38%	12%
Over 13	8%	29%	5%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Fluminense	Palmeiras
Corners Earned / Match	4.6	6.1
Corners Against / Match	4.2	5.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	77%	86%
Over 3.5 Corners For	63%	82%
Over 4.5 Corners For	46%	68%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	65%	77%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	54%	61%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	50%	50%

Head to Head · 32 matches

Fluminense

44%

Draws

16%

Palmeiras

41%

66%

Over 1.5

21/32

44%

Over 2.5

14/32

13%

Over 3.5

4/32

47%

BTTS

15/32

15/08/26

Fluminense

3–2

Palmeiras

26/02/26

Palmeiras

2–1

Fluminense

23/11/25

Palmeiras

0–0

Fluminense

23/07/25

Fluminense

1–2

Palmeiras

08/12/24

Palmeiras

0–1

Fluminense

25/07/24

Fluminense

1–0

Palmeiras

03/12/23

Palmeiras

1–0

Fluminense

06/08/23

Fluminense

2–1

Palmeiras

27/08/22

Fluminense

1–1

Palmeiras

08/05/22

Palmeiras

1–1

Fluminense

14/11/21

Fluminense

2–1

Palmeiras

24/07/21

Palmeiras

1–0

Fluminense

15/11/20

Palmeiras

2–0

Fluminense

13/08/20

Fluminense

1–1

Palmeiras

28/11/19

Fluminense

1–0

Palmeiras

11/09/19

Palmeiras

3–0

Fluminense

14/11/18

Palmeiras

3–0

Fluminense

25/07/18

Fluminense

1–0

Palmeiras

24/09/17

Fluminense

0–1

Palmeiras

10/06/17

Palmeiras

3–1

Fluminense

CONMEBOL Libertadores

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	6	5	1	0	+12	16
1	Independ. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	+9	16
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	+4	13
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	+5	13
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	+4	13
1	LDU de Quito	6	4	0	2	+3	12
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	+4	11
1	Coquimbo Unido	6	3	1	2	+2	10
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Mirassol	6	4	0	2	+3	12
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	+5	11
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	+5	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	+1	9
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	+1	8
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	0	8
3	UCV	6	3	0	3	-4	9
3	Lanus	6	3	0	3	-4	9
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	-2	8
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	-1	8
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	+1	7
3	Independiente Medellin	6	2	1	3	-5	7
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	-3	6
3	Bolívar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
4	Universitario	6	1	3	2	-1	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	-6	4
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	-7	3
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	-4	3
4	Always Ready	6	1	0	5	-2	3
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	-10	3
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	-8	1
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	-9	0