Palmeiras vs Fluminense — CONMEBOL Libertadores
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Palmeiras and Fluminense meet in the CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Palmeiras have recorded 34 wins from 56 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Fluminense have won 48% of their 54 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Palmeiras and 0.85 for Fluminense. The models give Palmeiras a 56% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Fluminense win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Palmeiras—
Fluminense2º
Position
2º
1.83
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.17
0.83
Conceded / game
1.17
50%
BTTS %
65%
45%
Clean sheet %
28%
48%
Over 2.5 %
48%
6.1
Avg corners
4.6
15.6
Avg shots
13.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.6
12.7
Avg fouls
13.3
54.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Home vs Away
Palmeiras
Home (3)
—
Fluminense
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.67
67%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
60%
46%
Clean sheet %
24%
50%
Over 2.5 %
32%
6.1
Avg corners
4.6
15.6
Avg shots
13.9
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.6
54.0%
Avg possession
58.5%
Goals Scored
| Palmeiras | Home | Away | Fluminense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 93% | 79% | 81% | 90% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 50% | 43% | 43% | 59% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 29% | 18% | 19% | 21% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 7% | 21% | 19% | 10% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Palmeiras | Home | Away | Fluminense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 54% | 57% | 72% | 69% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 4% | 21% | 28% | 21% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 46% | 43% | 28% | 31% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Palmeiras | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Palmeiras | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Palmeiras (H)W
Sao Paulo2–0
Sao Paulo2–0W
LDU de Quito1–0
LDU de Quito1–0W
Santos3–0
Santos3–0W
Vasco DA Gama4–1
Vasco DA Gama4–1D
Cerro Porteno1–1
Cerro Porteno1–1D
Internacional0–0
Internacional0–0Fluminense (A)W
Corinthians3–1
Corinthians3–1L
Platense1–2
Platense1–2L
Atletico-MG1–3
Atletico-MG1–3D
Atletico Paranaense3–3
Atletico Paranaense3–3D
Independ. Rivadavia1–1
Independ. Rivadavia1–1D
Botafogo1–1
Botafogo1–1Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
56 games
League Avg
9.0
149 games
8.8
Corners / Match
52 games
| Match Corners | Palmeiras | Fluminense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 65% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 56% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 66% | 40% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 59% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 46% | 19% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 13% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 8% | 5% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Palmeiras | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 68% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 61% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
13
Palmeiras
41%
5
Draws
16%
14
Fluminense
44%
66%
Over 1.5
21/32
44%
Over 2.5
14/32
13%
Over 3.5
4/32
47%
BTTS
15/32
15/08/26Palmeiras
Fluminense
3–2Palmeiras26/02/26Fluminense
Palmeiras
2–1Fluminense23/11/25Fluminense
Palmeiras
0–0Fluminense23/07/25Palmeiras
Fluminense
1–2Palmeiras08/12/24Fluminense
Palmeiras
0–1Fluminense25/07/24Palmeiras
Fluminense
1–0Palmeiras03/12/23Fluminense
Palmeiras
1–0Fluminense06/08/23Palmeiras
Fluminense
2–1Palmeiras27/08/22Palmeiras
Fluminense
1–1Palmeiras08/05/22Fluminense
Palmeiras
1–1Fluminense14/11/21Palmeiras
Fluminense
2–1Palmeiras24/07/21Fluminense
Palmeiras
1–0Fluminense15/11/20Fluminense
Palmeiras
2–0Fluminense13/08/20Palmeiras
Fluminense
1–1Palmeiras28/11/19Palmeiras
Fluminense
1–0Palmeiras11/09/19Fluminense
Palmeiras
3–0Fluminense14/11/18Fluminense
Palmeiras
3–0Fluminense25/07/18Palmeiras
Fluminense
1–0Palmeiras24/09/17Palmeiras
Fluminense
0–1Palmeiras10/06/17Fluminense
Palmeiras
3–1Fluminense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 1 |  U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 1 | LDU de Quito | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 1 | Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 1 |  Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Mirassol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Deportes Tolima | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 |  UCV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Lanus | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bolívar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 |  Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Always Ready | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
| 4 |  Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Palmeiras- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Palmeiras have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Palmeiras have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Fluminense- ●Fluminense have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fluminense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Fluminense failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Fluminense's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Fluminense's points have been earned at home.
- ●Fluminense have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Fluminense have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PalmeirasLALDU de Quito2–3
LDU de Quito2–3WHLDU de Quito1–0
LDU de Quito1–0WACerro Porteno1–0
Cerro Porteno1–0DHCerro Porteno1–1
Cerro Porteno1–1WHJunior4–1
Junior4–1LHCerro Porteno0–1
Cerro Porteno0–1–AFluminense13/10
Fluminense13/10–HFluminense20/10
Fluminense20/10FluminenseLAPlatense1–2
Platense1–2WHPlatense2–0
Platense2–0DAIndepend. Rivadavia1–1
Independ. Rivadavia1–1DHIndepend. Rivadavia0–0
Independ. Rivadavia0–0WHDeportivo La Guaira3–1
Deportivo La Guaira3–1WHBolívar2–1
Bolívar2–1–HPalmeiras13/10
Palmeiras13/10–APalmeiras20/10
Palmeiras20/10Top Scorers
PalmeirasJ. Lopez21 ⚽
Mauricio11 ⚽
Vitor Roque10 ⚽
R. Sosa9 ⚽
J. Arias8 ⚽
Allan Elias6 ⚽
FluminenseJohn Kennedy15 ⚽
K. Serna9 ⚽
Hulk8 ⚽
J. Savarino8 ⚽
A. Canobbio7 ⚽
Hercules6 ⚽
Cards Given
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira7 🟨
Murilo7 🟨
Marlon Freitas7 🟨
Arthur Gabriel6 🟨
Khellven5 🟨
Ramón Sosa5 🟨
FluminenseLuciano Acosta7 🟨
Nonato7 🟨
Agustín Canobbio7 🟨
Guga7 🟨
Facundo Bernal7 🟨
A. Canobbio6 🟨