Union Comercio vs Molinos El Pirata — Segunda División
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Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García·Tarapoto·Peru·18,000
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Union Comercio and Molinos El Pirata meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Union Comercio have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 28%; and clean sheets in 61% of games. Molinos El Pirata have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Union Comercio and 0.91 for Molinos El Pirata. The models give Union Comercio a 49% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Molinos El Pirata win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Union Comercio—
Molinos El Pirata2º
Position
3º
2.00
PPG
1.86
57%
Win %
57%
0.71
Goals / game
1.43
0.29
Conceded / game
1.00
22%
BTTS %
76%
61%
Clean sheet %
12%
28%
Over 2.5 %
59%
2.0
Avg corners
1.0
8.0
Avg shots
5.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
42.0%
Avg possession
33.0%
Home vs Away
Union Comercio
Home (4)
—
Molinos El Pirata
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
1.75
50%
Win %
50%
0.75
Goals / game
1.50
0.50
Conceded / game
0.75
13%
BTTS %
78%
75%
Clean sheet %
11%
25%
Over 2.5 %
44%
2.0
Avg corners
1.0
8.0
Avg shots
5.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
42.0%
Avg possession
33.0%
Goals Scored
| Union Comercio | Home | Away | Molinos El | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 63% | 60% | 82% | 88% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 13% | 30% | 53% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 13% | 20% | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 38% | 40% | 18% | 13% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Union Comercio | Home | Away | Molinos El | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 39% | 25% | 50% | 88% | 88% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 13% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 61% | 75% | 50% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union Comercio | Molinos El | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 39% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 24% |
| BTTS | 22% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union Comercio | Molinos El | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 6% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 6% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Union Comercio (H)W
U. San Martin1–0
U. San Martin1–0D
Carlos A. Mannucci0–0
Carlos A. Mannucci0–0W
Academia Cantolao4–0
Academia Cantolao4–0L
Comerciantes0–1
Comerciantes0–1W
Deportiva Agropecuaria1–0
Deportiva Agropecuaria1–0D
Deportivo Llacuabamba0–0
Deportivo Llacuabamba0–0Molinos El (A)DDeportivo Llacuabamba0–0
Deportivo Llacuabamba0–0DAcademia Cantolao1–1
Academia Cantolao1–1D
Cesar Vallejo1–1
Cesar Vallejo1–1LDeportiva Agropecuaria1–3
Deportiva Agropecuaria1–3L
Alianza Atletico2–3
Alianza Atletico2–3L
Atletico Grau2–3
Atletico Grau2–3Number of Corners
4.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
3.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Union Comercio | Molinos El | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Union Comercio | Molinos El |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
7
Union Comercio
78%
0
Draws
0%
2
Molinos El
22%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
17/08/26Union Comercio
Molinos El Pirata
1–2Union Comercio03/05/26Molinos El Pirata
Union Comercio
1–2Molinos El Pirata24/07/22Molinos El Pirata
Union Comercio
4–1Molinos El Pirata23/04/22Union Comercio
Molinos El Pirata
0–2Union Comercio10/08/21Molinos El Pirata
Union Comercio
4–2Molinos El Pirata26/05/21Union Comercio
Molinos El Pirata
0–3Union Comercio18/12/20Molinos El Pirata
Union Comercio
0–1Molinos El Pirata17/08/19Union Comercio
Molinos El Pirata
0–2Union Comercio04/03/19Molinos El Pirata
Union Comercio
2–0Molinos El Pirata| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 1 |  Bentín Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 29 |
| 2 | Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 30 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 |  Tacna Heroica | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +13 | 28 |
| 3 |  Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 | Molinos El Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 25 |
| 4 |  Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +9 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 |
| 5 |  Alianza Universidad | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 |  Santos | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Ayacucho FC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 | Academia Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -39 | 10 |
| 9 |  San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -43 | 0 |
Team Insights
Union Comercio- ●Union Comercio have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Union Comercio have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Union Comercio have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Union Comercio have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Union Comercio have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
Molinos El- ●Molinos El Pirata have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Molinos El Pirata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Molinos El Pirata have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Molinos El Pirata have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Molinos El Pirata failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Molinos El Pirata have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Molinos El Pirata failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Molinos El Pirata have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●68% of Molinos El Pirata's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Union ComercioLADeportiva Agropecuaria0–1
Deportiva Agropecuaria0–1WHU. San Martin1–0
U. San Martin1–0DADeportivo Llacuabamba1–1
Deportivo Llacuabamba1–1DHCarlos A. Mannucci0–0
Carlos A. Mannucci0–0WAMolinos El Pirata2–1
Molinos El Pirata2–1WHAcademia Cantolao4–0
Academia Cantolao4–0–HMolinos El Pirata27/09
Molinos El Pirata27/09–AMinas06/10
Minas06/10–HAyacucho FC12/10
Ayacucho FC12/10Molinos ElDADeportivo Llacuabamba0–0
Deportivo Llacuabamba0–0LHCarlos A. Mannucci2–4
Carlos A. Mannucci2–4DAAcademia Cantolao1–1
Academia Cantolao1–1LHUnion Comercio1–2
Union Comercio1–2DACesar Vallejo1–1
Cesar Vallejo1–1LADeportiva Agropecuaria1–3
Deportiva Agropecuaria1–3–AUnion Comercio27/09
Union Comercio27/09–HAyacucho FC06/10
Ayacucho FC06/10–HMinas12/10
Minas12/10Top Scorers
Union ComercioB. Goluz Pena9 ⚽
4 ⚽
Javier Navea2 ⚽
A. Pinedo1 ⚽
M. Palacios1 ⚽
W. Mimbela1 ⚽
Molinos ElK. Lugo5 ⚽
B. Cordara3 ⚽
J. Carbajal2 ⚽
A. Ledesma2 ⚽
A. Rodriguez2 ⚽
L. Carrillo2 ⚽
Cards Given
Union Comercio11 🟨
R. Gomez5 🟨
W. Mimbela3 🟨
E. Cruz3 🟨
G. Delgado2 🟨
E. Alvarez2 🟨
Molinos El7 🟨
M. Morales3 🟨
P. Diez Canseco3 🟨
S. Santos3 🟨
J. Carhualllanqui2 🟨
K. Lugo2 🟨