Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Comerciantes — Segunda División
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Deportivo Llacuabamba and Comerciantes meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 7 October 2026. Deportivo Llacuabamba have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Comerciantes have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Deportivo Llacuabamba and 0.64 for Comerciantes. The models give Deportivo Llacuabamba a 48% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Comerciantes win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Deportivo Llacuabamba—
Comerciantes1º
Position
1º
2.29
PPG
2.00
71%
Win %
50%
1.57
Goals / game
1.38
0.43
Conceded / game
0.63
31%
BTTS %
50%
56%
Clean sheet %
35%
38%
Over 2.5 %
35%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Home (4)
—
Comerciantes
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.50
100%
Win %
25%
2.25
Goals / game
0.75
0.00
Conceded / game
0.50
25%
BTTS %
40%
75%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | Home | Away | Comerciantes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 88% | 50% | 70% | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 63% | 13% | 35% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 38% | 0% | 15% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 13% | 50% | 30% | 10% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | Home | Away | Comerciantes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 63% | 65% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 13% | 38% | 20% | 30% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 75% | 38% | 35% | 40% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | Comerciantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 10% |
| BTTS | 31% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | Comerciantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportivo Llacuabamba (H)D
Molinos El Pirata0–0
Molinos El Pirata0–0D
Union Comercio1–1
Union Comercio1–1W
U. San Martin3–0
U. San Martin3–0D
UTC Cajamarca2–2
UTC Cajamarca2–2W
Academia Cantolao3–0
Academia Cantolao3–0W
Cesar Vallejo2–0
Cesar Vallejo2–0Comerciantes (A)L
Deportivo Binacional0–1
Deportivo Binacional0–1D
Estudiantil CNI2–2
Estudiantil CNI2–2L
Santos0–1
Santos0–1D
Sport Huancayo 21–1
Sport Huancayo 21–1L
Sport Boys0–1
Sport Boys0–1WUnion Comercio1–0
Union Comercio1–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Deportivo Llacuabamba
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Comerciantes
67%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
05/10/24Comerciantes
Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–1Comerciantes22/08/23Deportivo Llacuabamba
Comerciantes
2–0Deportivo Llacuabamba31/05/23Comerciantes
Deportivo Llacuabamba
2–1Comerciantes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 1 |  Bentín Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 29 |
| 2 |  Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 30 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 2 |  Tacna Heroica | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 3 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +13 | 28 |
| 3 |  Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 | Molinos El Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +9 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 |
| 5 |  Alianza Universidad | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Ayacucho FC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 | Academia Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -39 | 10 |
| 9 |  San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -43 | 0 |
Team Insights
Deportivo Llacuabamba- ●Deportivo Llacuabamba have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Deportivo Llacuabamba have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Llacuabamba have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Llacuabamba have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Llacuabamba have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Llacuabamba have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●76% of Deportivo Llacuabamba's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Deportivo Llacuabamba's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Deportivo Llacuabamba's points have been earned at home.
Comerciantes- ●Comerciantes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Comerciantes have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Comerciantes have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Comerciantes have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Comerciantes failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●75% of Comerciantes's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Deportivo LlacuabambaDHMolinos El Pirata0–0
Molinos El Pirata0–0LAAcademia Cantolao2–3
Academia Cantolao2–3DHUnion Comercio1–1
Union Comercio1–1LACesar Vallejo0–2
Cesar Vallejo0–2DADeportiva Agropecuaria0–0
Deportiva Agropecuaria0–0WHU. San Martin3–0
U. San Martin3–0–ADeportiva Agropecuaria25/09
Deportiva Agropecuaria25/09–HComerciantes07/10
Comerciantes07/10–ASport Huancayo 212/10
Sport Huancayo 212/10ComerciantesWHAyacucho FC5–1
Ayacucho FC5–1LADeportivo Binacional0–1
Deportivo Binacional0–1DHMinas2–2
Minas2–2DAEstudiantil CNI2–2
Estudiantil CNI2–2DHBentín Tacna Heroica2–2
Bentín Tacna Heroica2–2LASantos0–1
Santos0–1–HSport Huancayo 225/09
Sport Huancayo 225/09–ADeportivo Llacuabamba07/10
Deportivo Llacuabamba07/10–HDeportiva Agropecuaria11/10
Deportiva Agropecuaria11/10Top Scorers
Deportivo LlacuabambaM. Zarate7 ⚽
A. Cabrera2 ⚽
J. Aguero2 ⚽
Q. Guadalupe2 ⚽
N. Alejandria1 ⚽
J. Martinez1 ⚽
ComerciantesV. Perlaza7 ⚽
C. Villanueva4 ⚽
M. Lemos3 ⚽
A. Acosta2 ⚽
H. Arakaki2 ⚽
D. Pinedo2 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportivo Llacuabamba12 🟨
J. Leudo5 🟨
J. Segura5 🟨
D. Sanchez4 🟨
Q. Guadalupe3 🟨
M. Diaz3 🟨
Comerciantes9 🟨
F. Arevalo3 🟨
A. Acosta2 🟨
V. Perlaza2 🟨
J. Zambrano1 🟨
M. Lemos1 🟨