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Cerrito vs La LuzSegunda División

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Cerrito
Cerrito
8º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 2h
vs
La Luz
La Luz
9º · 1.17 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 21h
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Cerrito and La Luz meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Cerrito have recorded 9 wins from 26 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. La Luz have won 24% of their 25 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 48%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Cerrito and 0.81 for La Luz. The models give Cerrito a 45% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an La Luz win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 38%.

Season Statistics

Cerrito
La Luz
Position
1.50
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
17%
1.33
Goals / game
0.83
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
32%
38%
Clean sheet %
48%
38%
Over 2.5 %
28%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Cerrito
Home (3)
La Luz
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
0%
1.67
Goals / game
0.33
0.67
Conceded / game
0.33
50%
BTTS %
23%
42%
Clean sheet %
62%
42%
Over 2.5 %
15%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

CerritoHomeAwayLa LuzHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored74%85%64%52%67%38%
Over 1.5 Scored33%38%29%24%50%0%
Over 2.5 Scored11%15%7%0%0%0%
Failed To Score26%15%36%48%33%62%

Goals Conceded

CerritoHomeAwayLa LuzHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%62%64%52%67%38%
Over 1.5 Conceded30%15%43%32%50%15%
Over 2.5 Conceded7%0%14%12%17%8%
Clean Sheets37%38%36%48%33%62%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CerritoLa Luz
Over 0.585%72%
Over 1.570%56%
Over 2.537%28%
Over 3.519%16%
Over 4.57%4%
BTTS52%32%
BTTS & Win11%4%
BTTS & Draw26%12%
BTTS & Over 2.533%24%
BTTS No & Over 2.54%4%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CerritoLa Luz
Win 1st Half33%24%
Draw 1st Half37%52%
Loss 1st Half30%24%
Scored 1st Half41%40%
Conceded 1st Half33%40%
Win 2nd Half26%16%
Draw 2nd Half56%52%
Loss 2nd Half19%32%
Scored 2nd Half59%28%
Conceded 2nd Half48%40%
Over 0.5 HT63%60%
Over 1.5 HT26%32%

Recent Venue Form

Cerrito (H)
DCA River Plate11
LPaysandu12
LDeportivo Maldonado02
WUruguay Montevideo30
DOriental11
DFenix11
La Luz (A)
WPaysandu10
DUruguay Montevideo00
LColón12
DFenix00
WMiramar10
LPlaza Colonia01

Head to Head · 6 matches

1
Cerrito
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
La Luz
33%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
21/06/26
La Luz
20
Cerrito
18/04/26
Cerrito
00
La Luz
16/08/25
Cerrito
10
La Luz
24/05/25
La Luz
22
Cerrito
14/09/24
Cerrito
00
La Luz
31/05/24
La Luz
60
Cerrito
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
2Atenas4924817+1680
2Plaza Colonia19946+731
3Colón49211513+2378
4Oriental49201811+1278
5Fenix49191317+870
5CA River Plate18756+326
6Rentistas49181417068
7Tacuarembo49171715-168
9Paysandu19739-124
10Miramar19577-322
11Cerrito49131521-2154
11Sportivo Huracan18648-622
12La Luz4892415-1451
14Uruguay Montevideo49111127-2944

Team Insights

Cerrito
  • Cerrito have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • Cerrito have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
  • Cerrito have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
  • Cerrito have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
  • 72% of Cerrito's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • Cerrito have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
La Luz
  • La Luz have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • La Luz have lost their last 4 home matches.
  • La Luz have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • La Luz failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
  • La Luz have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
  • La Luz have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 away matches.
  • 74% of La Luz's goals have been scored at home.
  • 67% of La Luz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • La Luz have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
DHCA River Plate3º11
DHCA River Plate9º11
DHCA River Plate9º11
DHCA River Plate7º11
DHCA River Plate5º11
DHCA River Plate13º11
DAAtenas12º00
DAAtenas7º00
DAAtenas6º00
DAAtenas2º00
LHAtenas1º01
LHAtenas12º01
LHAtenas7º01
LHAtenas6º01
LHAtenas2º01
LHAtenas1º01
WAPaysandu13º10
WAPaysandu11º10
WAPaysandu9º10
WAPaysandu12º10

Season Schedule

Cerrito
DHCA River Plate11
DAAtenas00
LHPaysandu12
LASportivo Huracan12
WHUruguay Montevideo30
DHOriental11
HLa Luz27/09
La Luz
LHAtenas01
WAPaysandu10
LHSportivo Huracan13
DAUruguay Montevideo00
LHOriental02
LAColón12
ACerrito27/09

Top Scorers

Cerrito
J. Isasmendi11
I. Yepez5
L. Machado4
L. Batista3
R. Hernandez2
S. Pereira2
La Luz
J. Gottesman4
F. Sosa2
F. Martirena2
D. Vega2
L. Barreto1
P. Porcile1

Cards Given

Cerrito
3 🟨
L. Batista1 🟨
R. Viega1 🟨
S. Ruiz1 🟨
La Luz
6 🟨
F. Martirena2 🟨
A. Prieto1 🟨
G. Peralta1 🟨