Cerrito vs La Luz — Segunda División
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Cerrito and La Luz meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Cerrito have recorded 9 wins from 26 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. La Luz have won 24% of their 25 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Cerrito and 0.81 for La Luz. The models give Cerrito a 45% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an La Luz win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 38%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cerrito | Home | Away | La Luz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 85% | 64% | 52% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 38% | 29% | 24% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 15% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 15% | 36% | 48% | 33% | 62% |
Goals Conceded
| Cerrito | Home | Away | La Luz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 62% | 64% | 52% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 15% | 43% | 32% | 50% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 38% | 36% | 48% | 33% | 62% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cerrito | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 4% |
| BTTS | 52% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cerrito | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 16% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 52% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 28% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 49 | 24 | 8 | 17 | +16 | 80 | |
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 31 | |
| 3 | 49 | 21 | 15 | 13 | +23 | 78 | |
| 4 | 49 | 20 | 18 | 11 | +12 | 78 | |
| 5 | 49 | 19 | 13 | 17 | +8 | 70 | |
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 26 | |
| 6 | 49 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 68 | |
| 7 | 49 | 17 | 17 | 15 | -1 | 68 | |
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 24 | |
| 10 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 22 | |
| 11 | 49 | 13 | 15 | 21 | -21 | 54 | |
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 22 | |
| 12 | 48 | 9 | 24 | 15 | -14 | 51 | |
| 14 | 49 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -29 | 44 |
Team Insights
- ●Cerrito have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cerrito have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Cerrito have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Cerrito have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●72% of Cerrito's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cerrito have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●La Luz have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●La Luz have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●La Luz have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●La Luz failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●La Luz have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●La Luz have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●74% of La Luz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of La Luz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●La Luz have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.

