Paysandu vs Tacuarembo — Segunda División
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Paysandu and Tacuarembo meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 28 September 2026. Paysandu have recorded 8 wins from 26 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Tacuarembo have won 24% of their 25 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 16%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Paysandu and 1.01 for Tacuarembo. The models give Paysandu a 43% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Tacuarembo win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Paysandu | Home | Away | Tacuarembo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 62% | 69% | 60% | 62% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 38% | 46% | 16% | 8% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 38% | 31% | 40% | 38% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Paysandu | Home | Away | Tacuarembo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 69% | 100% | 76% | 62% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 31% | 31% | 36% | 23% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 8% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 31% | 0% | 24% | 38% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paysandu | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 16% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 4% |
| BTTS | 54% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 16% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paysandu | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 28% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 49 | 24 | 8 | 17 | +16 | 80 | |
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 31 | |
| 3 | 49 | 21 | 15 | 13 | +23 | 78 | |
| 4 | 49 | 20 | 18 | 11 | +12 | 78 | |
| 5 | 49 | 19 | 13 | 17 | +8 | 70 | |
| 5 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 27 | |
| 6 | 49 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 68 | |
| 7 | 49 | 17 | 17 | 15 | -1 | 68 | |
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 24 | |
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 23 | |
| 11 | 49 | 13 | 15 | 21 | -21 | 54 | |
| 12 | 48 | 9 | 24 | 15 | -14 | 51 | |
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 22 | |
| 14 | 49 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -29 | 44 |
Team Insights
- ●Paysandu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Paysandu failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Paysandu have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Paysandu failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Tacuarembo have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Tacuarembo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tacuarembo failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.