South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks — Australian Championship
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South Melbourne and Sutherland Sharks meet in the Australian Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. South Melbourne have recorded 30 wins from 55 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 2.04 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Sutherland Sharks have won 44% of their 34 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for South Melbourne and 1.54 for Sutherland Sharks. The models give South Melbourne a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sutherland Sharks win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
South MelbourneSutherland SharksHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| South Melbourne | Home | Away | Sutherland Sharks | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 87% | 84% | 82% | 89% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 50% | 60% | 44% | 39% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 24% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 11% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| South Melbourne | Home | Away | Sutherland Sharks | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 77% | 64% | 79% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 24% | 35% | 39% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 17% | 16% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 23% | 36% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| South Melbourne | Sutherland Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 12% |
| BTTS | 58% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| South Melbourne | Sutherland Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
South Melbourne (H)
Sydney United1–1
Melbourne Victory1–1
Lions3–1
Heidelberg United2–1Heidelberg United1–2
Fremantle City3–3Sutherland Sharks (A)
Canberra FC2–0
Marconi Stallions0–1
Rockdale City Suns3–1
Manly United1–2
UNSW3–1
Western Sydney Wanderers U233–0Head to Head · 1 matches
South Melbourne| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Melbourne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 1 |  Bayswater City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 | Lions | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Wests APIA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 |  Oakleigh Cannons | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sydney United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Wollongong Wolves | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Preston Lions | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Sydney Olympic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 3 | Sutherland Sharks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Avondale | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 |  South Hobart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Marconi Stallions | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Adelaide City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Canberra FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Team Insights
South Melbourne- ●South Melbourne have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●South Melbourne have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●South Melbourne have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●86% of South Melbourne's points have been earned away.
Sutherland Sharks—
Season Schedule
South MelbourneCanberra FC2–0Sydney United1–1Sutherland Sharks1–0Sutherland Sharks07/11Sydney United14/11Canberra FC20/11Sutherland SharksSydney United1–2Canberra FC2–0South Melbourne0–1South Melbourne07/11Canberra FC15/11Sydney United20/11Top Scorers
South MelbourneSutherland SharksCards Given
South MelbourneSutherland Sharks