Sydney United vs South Melbourne — Australian Championship
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Sydney United and South Melbourne meet in the Australian Championship 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Sydney United have recorded 23 wins from 37 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.59 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. South Melbourne have won 55% of their 55 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Sydney United and 1.45 for South Melbourne. The models give Sydney United a 31% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an South Melbourne win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Sydney UnitedSouth MelbourneHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sydney United | Home | Away | South Melbourne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 78% | 79% | 85% | 87% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 44% | 47% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 28% | 16% | 29% | 33% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 16% |
Goals Conceded
| Sydney United | Home | Away | South Melbourne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 39% | 79% | 71% | 77% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 11% | 16% | 38% | 50% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 61% | 21% | 29% | 23% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sydney United | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS | 46% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sydney United | South Melbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Sydney United (H)
Canberra FC1–1
Manly United3–1
St. George Saints6–0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers0–0
NWS Spirit2–0
Central Coast Mariners1–1South Melbourne (A)Canberra FC2–0
Sutherland Sharks1–0
Oakleigh Cannons1–2
Sunshine Georgies0–1
Preston Lions2–1
Melbourne City II3–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Sydney United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Melbourne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 1 |  Bayswater City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Lions | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Wests APIA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 | Oakleigh Cannons | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sydney United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Wollongong Wolves | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 | Preston Lions | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Sydney Olympic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 3 | Sutherland Sharks | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Avondale | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 |  South Hobart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Marconi Stallions | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Adelaide City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Canberra FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sydney United- ●Sydney United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
South Melbourne- ●South Melbourne have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●South Melbourne have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●South Melbourne have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●86% of South Melbourne's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Sydney UnitedSutherland Sharks2–1South Melbourne1–1Canberra FC1–1Canberra FC06/11South Melbourne14/11Sutherland Sharks20/11South MelbourneCanberra FC2–0Sydney United1–1Sutherland Sharks1–0Sutherland Sharks07/11Sydney United14/11Canberra FC20/11Top Scorers
Sydney UnitedSouth MelbourneCards Given
Sydney UnitedSouth Melbourne