Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. — CONMEBOL Libertadores
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Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P. meet in the CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Flamengo have recorded 33 wins from 56 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.96 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Estudiantes L.P. have won 50% of their 40 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 0.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Flamengo and 0.75 for Estudiantes L.P.. The models give Flamengo a 59% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Estudiantes L.P. win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Flamengo—
Estudiantes L.P.1º
Position
2º
2.67
PPG
1.50
83%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.00
0.33
Conceded / game
0.83
52%
BTTS %
33%
38%
Clean sheet %
43%
57%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.4
Avg corners
4.3
15.6
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.9
11.7
Avg fouls
12.4
58.0%
Avg possession
53.9%
Home vs Away
Flamengo
Home (3)
—
Estudiantes L.P.
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
0.67
100%
Win %
0%
2.67
Goals / game
0.67
0.33
Conceded / game
1.00
52%
BTTS %
24%
41%
Clean sheet %
41%
59%
Over 2.5 %
12%
5.4
Avg corners
4.3
15.6
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.9
58.0%
Avg possession
53.9%
Goals Scored
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Estudiantes L.P. | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 93% | 81% | 65% | 74% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 72% | 41% | 38% | 48% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 31% | 19% | 18% | 26% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 7% | 19% | 35% | 26% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Flamengo | Home | Away | Estudiantes L.P. | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 59% | 67% | 57% | 57% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 21% | 26% | 8% | 4% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 41% | 33% | 43% | 43% | 41% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flamengo | Estudiantes L.P. | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 3% |
| BTTS | 52% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flamengo | Estudiantes L.P. | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Flamengo (H)W
RB Bragantino2–1
RB Bragantino2–1D
Independiente del Valle1–1
Independiente del Valle1–1W
Corinthians2–1
Corinthians2–1W
Mirassol2–0
Mirassol2–0W
Botafogo3–0
Botafogo3–0W
Cruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro2–1Estudiantes L.P. (A)WCorinthians1–0
Corinthians1–0L
Velez Sarsfield0–1
Velez Sarsfield0–1L
Sarmiento Junin0–2
Sarmiento Junin0–2W
U. Catolica3–0
U. Catolica3–0L
Deportivo Riestra0–2
Deportivo Riestra0–2L
Boca Juniors0–1
Boca Juniors0–1Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
49 games
League Avg
9.0
149 games
8.2
Corners / Match
36 games
| Match Corners | Flamengo | Estudiantes L.P. | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 84% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 53% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 42% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 22% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 22% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 11% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 6% | 5% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Flamengo | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 65% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 61% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 39% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Flamengo
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Estudiantes L.P.
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
21/05/26Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
1–0Estudiantes L.P.30/04/26Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1–1Flamengo26/09/25Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1–0Flamengo19/09/25Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
2–1Estudiantes L.P.| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 1 | U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 1 |  Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 1 |  LDU de Quito | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 1 | Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 1 |  Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 |  Platense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Deportes Tolima | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 |  UCV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Lanus | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bolívar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 4 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 |  Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Always Ready | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
| 4 |  Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Flamengo- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flamengo have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Flamengo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●65% of Flamengo's goals have been scored at home.
Estudiantes L.P.- ●Estudiantes L.P. have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Estudiantes L.P. failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
FlamengoDHIndependiente del Valle1–1
Independiente del Valle1–1WAIndependiente del Valle2–0
Independiente del Valle2–0WHCruzeiro2–1
Cruzeiro2–1DACruzeiro1–1
Cruzeiro1–1WHCusco3–0
Cusco3–0WHEstudiantes L.P.1–0
Estudiantes L.P.1–0–AEstudiantes L.P.13/10
Estudiantes L.P.13/10–HEstudiantes L.P.20/10
Estudiantes L.P.20/10Estudiantes L.P.WACorinthians1–0
Corinthians1–0DHCorinthians1–1
Corinthians1–1WAU. Catolica3–0
U. Catolica3–0DHU. Catolica1–1
U. Catolica1–1WHIndependiente Medellin1–0
Independiente Medellin1–0LAFlamengo0–1
Flamengo0–1–HFlamengo13/10
Flamengo13/10–AFlamengo20/10
Flamengo20/10Top Scorers
FlamengoPedro26 ⚽
Samuel Lino14 ⚽
Bruno Henrique11 ⚽
Lucas Paqueta9 ⚽
G. de Arrascaeta8 ⚽
Luiz Araujo5 ⚽
Estudiantes L.P.T. Palacios9 ⚽
G. Carrillo8 ⚽
A. Castro5 ⚽
M. Amondarain4 ⚽
A. Gaich3 ⚽
L. Alario3 ⚽
Cards Given
FlamengoErick Pulgar9 🟨
Jorginho8 🟨
Evertton Araujo7 🟨
Bruno Henrique5 🟨
Alex Sandro5 🟨
Danilo4 🟨
Estudiantes L.P.T. Palacios11 🟨
Leandro González Pírez7 🟨
L. Piovi7 🟨
Santiago Núñez6 🟨
Ezequiel Piovi5 🟨
G. Benedetti5 🟨