Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr — Azadegan League
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Novin Ahvaz and Ario Eslamshahr meet in the Azadegan League 2026 season on 9 November 2026. Novin Ahvaz have recorded 0 wins from 5 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Ario Eslamshahr have won 60% of their 5 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.82 for Novin Ahvaz and 0.84 for Ario Eslamshahr. The models give Novin Ahvaz a 34% win probability, with a draw at 33% and an Ario Eslamshahr win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 23% and BTTS at 32%.
Season Statistics
Novin AhvazArio EslamshahrHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Novin Ahvaz | Home | Away | Ario Eslamshahr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 67% | 100% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 33% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Novin Ahvaz | Home | Away | Ario Eslamshahr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novin Ahvaz | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 80% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 80% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novin Ahvaz | Ario Eslamshahr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 80% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Novin Ahvaz (H)
Naft Masjed Soleyman1–1
Shahin Bandar Ameri2–2
Niroye Zamini0–1Ario Eslamshahr (A)
Mes Rafsanjan0–1
Naft Gachsaran1–0
Nassaji Mazandaran2–1
Damash Gilanian1–1
Saipa0–1Niroye Zamini0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pars Jonoubi JAM | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 2 | Mes Rafsanjan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 3 |  Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 9 |
| 4 | Saipa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Ario Eslamshahr | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Fard Alborz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Be'sat Kermanshah | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Naft Bandar Abbas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Mes Soongoun | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Mes Kerman | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Havadar | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Novin Ahvaz- ●Novin Ahvaz have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Novin Ahvaz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
Ario Eslamshahr- ●Ario Eslamshahr have won their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
Novin AhvazNaft Masjed Soleyman1–1Naft Gachsaran1–1Shahin Bandar Ameri2–2Shenavarsazi Qeshm2–2Niroye Zamini0–1Havadar19/10Be'sat Kermanshah27/10Naft Bandar Abbas02/11Ario EslamshahrBe'sat Kermanshah2–1Mes Rafsanjan0–1Havadar2–0Naft Gachsaran1–0Naft Masjed Soleyman0–3Naft Bandar Abbas20/10Pars Jonoubi JAM27/10Fard Alborz02/11Top Scorers
Novin AhvazArio Eslamshahr