Independiente F.b.c. vs Sportivo Carapeguá — Division Intermedia
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Independiente F.b.c. and Sportivo Carapeguá meet in the Division Intermedia 2026 season on 25 September 2026. Independiente F.b.c. have recorded 10 wins from 26 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Sportivo Carapeguá have won 40% of their 25 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Independiente F.b.c. and 1.03 for Sportivo Carapeguá. The models give Independiente F.b.c. a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sportivo Carapeguá win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Independiente F.b.c.—
Sportivo Carapeguá6º
Position
8º
1.48
PPG
1.40
36%
Win %
40%
1.48
Goals / game
1.20
1.28
Conceded / game
1.52
58%
BTTS %
52%
38%
Clean sheet %
32%
46%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Independiente F.b.c.
Home (12)
—
Sportivo Carapeguá
Away (12)
1.42
PPG
1.25
33%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.17
0.83
Conceded / game
1.83
38%
BTTS %
50%
54%
Clean sheet %
25%
23%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Independiente F.b.c. | Home | Away | Sportivo Carapeguá | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 77% | 92% | 80% | 85% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 23% | 77% | 40% | 38% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 23% | 8% | 20% | 15% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente F.b.c. | Home | Away | Sportivo Carapeguá | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 46% | 77% | 68% | 62% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 31% | 46% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 54% | 23% | 32% | 38% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente F.b.c. | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 12% |
| BTTS | 58% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente F.b.c. | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Independiente F.b.c. (H)W
Encarnación1–0
Encarnación1–0D
Fernando De La Mora0–0
Fernando De La Mora0–0D
General Caballero0–0
General Caballero0–0W
Sportivo Ameliano1–0
Sportivo Ameliano1–0D
Resistencia1–1
Resistencia1–1D
Deportivo Capiata1–1
Deportivo Capiata1–1Sportivo Carapeguá (A)W
Atlético Tembetary2–1
Atlético Tembetary2–1W
12 de Junio VH1–0
12 de Junio VH1–0L
Deportivo Santani0–2
Deportivo Santani0–2W
3 de Noviembre1–0
3 de Noviembre1–0DResistencia1–1
Resistencia1–1LDeportivo Capiata2–5
Deportivo Capiata2–5Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Independiente F.b.c.
14%
3
Draws
43%
3
Sportivo Carapeguá
43%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
14%
Over 2.5
1/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
06/06/26Independiente F.b.c.
Sportivo Carapeguá
0–2Independiente F.b.c.03/08/25Sportivo Carapeguá
Independiente F.b.c.
3–3Sportivo Carapeguá28/04/25Independiente F.b.c.
Sportivo Carapeguá
1–1Independiente F.b.c.19/08/24Sportivo Carapeguá
Independiente F.b.c.
0–1Sportivo Carapeguá12/05/24Independiente F.b.c.
Sportivo Carapeguá
1–0Independiente F.b.c.08/07/23Independiente F.b.c.
Sportivo Carapeguá
2–0Independiente F.b.c.03/04/23Sportivo Carapeguá
Independiente F.b.c.
1–1Sportivo Carapeguá| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Caballero | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | +21 | 50 |
| 2 | Deportivo Santani | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | +19 | 48 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio VH | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | +9 | 48 |
| 4 |  Benjamín Aceval | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +9 | 42 |
| 5 |  SOL DE America | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | +6 | 37 |
| 6 | Independiente F.b.c. | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | +5 | 37 |
| 7 |  Paraguari AC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +1 | 35 |
| 8 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Resistencia | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Fernando De La Mora | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Atlético Tembetary | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 |  Guairena FC | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | 3 de Noviembre | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 23 |
| 15 | Encarnación | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -9 | 22 |
| 16 |  Tacuary | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
Team Insights
Independiente F.b.c.- ●Independiente F.b.c. have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●68% of Independiente F.b.c.'s goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Independiente F.b.c.'s goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Independiente F.b.c. have conceded 66% of their goals in the first half.
Sportivo Carapeguá- ●Sportivo Carapeguá have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sportivo Carapeguá have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sportivo Carapeguá have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sportivo Carapeguá failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Sportivo Carapeguá have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Sportivo Carapeguá have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Independiente F.b.c.WA12 de Junio VH4–0
12 de Junio VH4–0WHEncarnación1–0
Encarnación1–0WADeportivo Santani2–1
Deportivo Santani2–1DHFernando De La Mora0–0
Fernando De La Mora0–0LA3 de Noviembre2–5
3 de Noviembre2–5DHGeneral Caballero0–0
General Caballero0–0–HSportivo Carapeguá25/09
Sportivo Carapeguá25/09–ABenjamín Aceval06/10
Benjamín Aceval06/10Sportivo CarapeguáDHTacuary0–0
Tacuary0–0WAAtlético Tembetary2–1
Atlético Tembetary2–1WHBenjamín Aceval2–0
Benjamín Aceval2–0LHParaguari AC2–3
Paraguari AC2–3WA12 de Junio VH1–0
12 de Junio VH1–0LHEncarnación1–3
Encarnación1–3–AIndependiente F.b.c.25/09
Independiente F.b.c.25/09–HDeportivo Capiata02/10
Deportivo Capiata02/10Top Scorers
Independiente F.b.c.S. Dietze7 ⚽
D. Dramane6 ⚽
R. Roa5 ⚽
F. Morel4 ⚽
D. Zarate3 ⚽
E. Sarquis3 ⚽
Sportivo CarapeguáJ. Quintana7 ⚽
A. Cabrera6 ⚽
L. Galeano5 ⚽
J. Bobadilla2 ⚽
M. Verdun2 ⚽
C. Rolon2 ⚽
Cards Given
Independiente F.b.c.S. Dietze2 🟨
A. Vera1 🟨
Sportivo Carapeguá2 🟨
F. Delvalle1 🟨
J. Murillo1 🟨