Penarol vs Boston River — Primera División
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Penarol and Boston River meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 26 September 2026. Penarol have recorded 20 wins from 44 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Boston River have won 33% of their 43 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Penarol and 0.97 for Boston River. The models give Penarol a 60% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Boston River win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Penarol—
Boston River4º
Position
13º
1.80
PPG
1.13
53%
Win %
33%
1.53
Goals / game
0.93
1.07
Conceded / game
1.33
52%
BTTS %
47%
34%
Clean sheet %
21%
41%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.0
Avg corners
3.4
13.3
Avg shots
9.6
4.0
Avg shots on target
2.4
3.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.7
Avg fouls
11.3
42.8%
Avg possession
42.1%
Home vs Away
Penarol
Home (8)
—
Boston River
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
1.00
38%
Win %
29%
1.63
Goals / game
0.86
1.38
Conceded / game
1.71
58%
BTTS %
45%
27%
Clean sheet %
10%
50%
Over 2.5 %
45%
4.0
Avg corners
3.4
13.3
Avg shots
9.6
4.0
Avg shots on target
2.4
3.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
42.8%
Avg possession
42.1%
Goals Scored
| Penarol | Home | Away | Boston River | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 73% | 83% | 60% | 65% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 42% | 39% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 23% | 11% | 12% | 17% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 27% | 17% | 40% | 35% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Penarol | Home | Away | Boston River | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 73% | 56% | 79% | 70% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 19% | 22% | 42% | 30% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 4% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 27% | 44% | 21% | 30% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Penarol | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 19% |
| BTTS | 52% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Penarol | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Penarol (H)W
Albion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1L
Club Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1W
Atletico Torque1–0
Atletico Torque1–0W
Central Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1W
Wanderers5–1
Wanderers5–1W
Cerro Largo3–0
Cerro Largo3–0Boston River (A)L
Racing Montevideo2–3
Racing Montevideo2–3L
Liverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo0–1WLiverpool Montevideo1–0
Liverpool Montevideo1–0WAlbion FC3–2
Albion FC3–2WClub Nacional2–1
Club Nacional2–1LRacing Montevideo0–1
Racing Montevideo0–1Number of Corners
7.3
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
11.3
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Penarol | Boston River | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 67% | 86% | — |
| Over 8 | 33% | 86% | — |
| Over 9 | 17% | 71% | — |
| Over 10 | 17% | 57% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 29% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 29% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 29% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Penarol | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 7.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 17% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 86% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
19
Penarol
73%
5
Draws
19%
2
Boston River
8%
69%
Over 1.5
18/26
50%
Over 2.5
13/26
23%
Over 3.5
6/26
42%
BTTS
11/26
18/07/26Boston River
Penarol
3–0Boston River25/03/26Penarol
Boston River
0–2Penarol23/01/26Boston River
Penarol
2–2Boston River15/08/25Penarol
Boston River
2–1Penarol15/02/25Boston River
Penarol
1–1Boston River19/10/24Boston River
Penarol
2–0Boston River20/04/24Penarol
Boston River
1–3Penarol05/02/24Boston River
Penarol
2–0Boston River02/09/23Penarol
Boston River
0–1Penarol16/07/23Boston River
Penarol
2–1Boston River20/02/23Boston River
Penarol
1–0Boston River12/10/22Penarol
Boston River
2–1Penarol28/09/22Boston River
Penarol
0–0Boston River21/05/22Boston River
Penarol
1–0Boston River26/09/21Penarol
Boston River
2–5Penarol30/05/21Boston River
Penarol
5–2Boston River07/02/21Penarol
Boston River
1–2Penarol16/08/20Boston River
Penarol
2–0Boston River20/10/19Boston River
Penarol
1–0Boston River14/07/19Boston River
Penarol
4–0Boston River| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | +55 | 134 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | +48 | 125 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | +24 | 108 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | +14 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 65 | 29 | 15 | 21 | +22 | 102 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | +2 | 96 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | -4 | 93 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | -1 | 85 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | -4 | 82 |
| 12 |  Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | -29 | 78 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | -21 | 75 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | -14 | 69 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | -41 | 64 |
Team Insights
Penarol- ●Penarol have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Penarol have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Penarol have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Penarol failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Penarol have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Penarol have won 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Penarol have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●71% of Penarol's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Boston River- ●Boston River have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Boston River have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Boston River have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Boston River have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Boston River have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●67% of Boston River's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
PenarolWACerro2–1
Cerro2–1WHAlbion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1WADanubio4–0
Danubio4–0LHClub Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1DADeportivo Maldonado0–0
Deportivo Maldonado0–0WHCentral Espanol2–1
Central Espanol2–1–HBoston River26/09
Boston River26/09–AAtletico Torque30/09
Atletico Torque30/09–ARacing Montevideo04/10
Racing Montevideo04/10Boston RiverLHProgreso1–2
Progreso1–2LARacing Montevideo2–3
Racing Montevideo2–3LALiverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo0–1DHCerro1–1
Cerro1–1WAAlbion FC3–2
Albion FC3–2DHDanubio0–0
Danubio0–0–APenarol26/09
Penarol26/09–HJuventud04/10
Juventud04/10Top Scorers
PenarolM. Arezo14 ⚽
A. Hernandez7 ⚽
L. Umpierrez6 ⚽
L. Angulo4 ⚽
C. Jaime4 ⚽
M. Olivera4 ⚽
Boston RiverF. Munoa7 ⚽
F. Bonfiglio6 ⚽
L. Suhr4 ⚽
A. Gonzalez3 ⚽
G. Ramirez3 ⚽
N. Siri3 ⚽
Cards Given
PenarolEric Remedi9 🟨
L. Ferreira7 🟨
Maximiliano Olivera6 🟨
Washington Aguerre6 🟨
Lucas Ferreira6 🟨
Mauricio Lemos5 🟨
Boston RiverL. Vazquez6 🟨
R. A. Saravia Salvia5 🟨
Franco Pérez5 🟨
F. Bonfiglio5 🟨
J. Acosta5 🟨
Agustín Amado4 🟨