Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo — Primera División
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Parque Palermo·Montevideo·Uruguay·5,500
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Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Central Espanol have recorded 12 wins from 34 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Liverpool Montevideo have won 37% of their 35 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 49%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Central Espanol and 1.21 for Liverpool Montevideo. The models give Central Espanol a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Liverpool Montevideo win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Central Espanol—
Liverpool Montevideo5º
Position
9º
1.60
PPG
1.33
47%
Win %
33%
1.53
Goals / game
1.33
1.47
Conceded / game
1.20
47%
BTTS %
37%
38%
Clean sheet %
49%
47%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
11.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
10.0
0.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Central Espanol
Home (7)
—
Liverpool Montevideo
Away (8)
1.86
PPG
1.50
57%
Win %
38%
1.71
Goals / game
1.25
1.29
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
47%
28%
Clean sheet %
41%
44%
Over 2.5 %
35%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
11.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Central Espanol | Home | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 72% | 63% | 69% | 61% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 39% | 19% | 31% | 28% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 22% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 28% | 38% | 31% | 39% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Central Espanol | Home | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 72% | 50% | 51% | 44% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 17% | 44% | 29% | 39% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 11% | 19% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 28% | 50% | 49% | 56% | 41% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 6% |
| BTTS | 47% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 65% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Central Espanol (H)L
Atletico Torque1–4
Atletico Torque1–4D
Oriental1–1
Oriental1–1D
Defensor Sporting1–1
Defensor Sporting1–1W
Juventud3–0
Juventud3–0LJuventud0–1
Juventud0–1W
Progreso1–0
Progreso1–0Liverpool Montevideo (A)LAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3D
Cerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1W
Fenix2–0
Fenix2–0WDefensor Sporting4–0
Defensor Sporting4–0DCentral Espanol0–0
Central Espanol0–0WDefensor Sporting2–1
Defensor Sporting2–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Central Espanol
14%
3
Draws
43%
3
Liverpool Montevideo
43%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
02/08/26Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
0–0Liverpool Montevideo24/03/26Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3–3Central Espanol31/08/22Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
1–2Liverpool Montevideo21/03/15Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3–2Liverpool Montevideo27/09/14Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3–1Central Espanol06/04/13Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
1–1Central Espanol14/10/12Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
0–2Liverpool Montevideo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | +55 | 134 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | +48 | 125 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | +24 | 108 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | +14 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 65 | 29 | 15 | 21 | +22 | 102 |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | +2 | 96 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | -4 | 93 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | -1 | 85 |
| 10 |  Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | -4 | 82 |
| 12 |  Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | -29 | 78 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | -21 | 75 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | -14 | 69 |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | -41 | 64 |
Team Insights
Central Espanol- ●Central Espanol have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Central Espanol failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
Liverpool Montevideo- ●Liverpool Montevideo have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Central EspanolLHAtletico Torque1–4
Atletico Torque1–4DACerro Largo0–0
Cerro Largo0–0DHDefensor Sporting1–1
Defensor Sporting1–1LAWanderers0–3
Wanderers0–3LHJuventud0–1
Juventud0–1LAPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2–HLiverpool Montevideo27/09
Liverpool Montevideo27/09–ADeportivo Maldonado03/10
Deportivo Maldonado03/10Liverpool MontevideoDHRacing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0LAAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3WHBoston River1–0
Boston River1–0DACerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1WHCerro4–0
Cerro4–0WADefensor Sporting4–0
Defensor Sporting4–0–ACentral Espanol27/09
Central Espanol27/09–HProgreso03/10
Progreso03/10Top Scorers
Central EspanolR. Tarragona8 ⚽
M. Alonso4 ⚽
F. Munoz4 ⚽
I. Mendez3 ⚽
L. Pino3 ⚽
G. Gandolfo2 ⚽
Liverpool MontevideoF. Martinez9 ⚽
F. Barcelo8 ⚽
R. Bentancourt7 ⚽
D. Romero5 ⚽
R. Machado3 ⚽
N. Garayalde2 ⚽
Cards Given
Central EspanolI. Rodriguez12 🟨
A. Villoldo12 🟨
L. Fernandez8 🟨
G. Gandolfo8 🟨
M. Aguilera7 🟨
F. Munoz5 🟨
Liverpool MontevideoEnzo Castillo6 🟨
Rubén Bentancourt5 🟨
Nicolás Garayalde5 🟨
F. Barcelo4 🟨
E. Castillo4 🟨
A. Cayetano4 🟨