Juventud vs Cerro — Primera División
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Juventud and Cerro meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Juventud have recorded 15 wins from 46 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Cerro have won 27% of their 33 matches, with 0.79 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Juventud and 0.86 for Cerro. The models give Juventud a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cerro win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Juventud—
Cerro14º
Position
16º
1.00
PPG
0.67
27%
Win %
13%
1.13
Goals / game
0.53
1.47
Conceded / game
1.60
59%
BTTS %
48%
24%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.4
Avg corners
0.0
12.9
Avg shots
0.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
11.1
Avg fouls
0.0
50.3%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Juventud
Home (8)
—
Cerro
Away (7)
1.25
PPG
0.14
38%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.43
1.00
Conceded / game
2.57
42%
BTTS %
59%
33%
Clean sheet %
6%
38%
Over 2.5 %
65%
4.4
Avg corners
0.0
12.9
Avg shots
0.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
50.3%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Juventud | Home | Away | Cerro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 71% | 86% | 67% | 69% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 38% | 32% | 9% | 6% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 29% | 14% | 33% | 31% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Juventud | Home | Away | Cerro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 67% | 86% | 82% | 69% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 50% | 39% | 19% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 0% | 41% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 33% | 14% | 18% | 31% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Juventud | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 3% |
| BTTS | 59% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Juventud | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Juventud (H)W
Racing Montevideo3–0
Racing Montevideo3–0D
Danubio1–1
Danubio1–1W
Deportivo Maldonado2–0
Deportivo Maldonado2–0W
Oriental1–0
Oriental1–0L
Atletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1LAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3Cerro (A)W
Progreso3–1
Progreso3–1D
Wanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1D
Boston River1–1
Boston River1–1L
Liverpool Montevideo0–4
Liverpool Montevideo0–4WDanubio1–0
Danubio1–0L
Defensor Sporting1–2
Defensor Sporting1–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Juventud | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 0% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
8
Juventud
38%
5
Draws
24%
8
Cerro
38%
81%
Over 1.5
17/21
62%
Over 2.5
13/21
52%
Over 3.5
11/21
76%
BTTS
16/21
25/03/26Juventud
Cerro
1–0Juventud31/08/25Cerro
Juventud
1–0Cerro08/03/25Juventud
Cerro
2–1Juventud25/08/22Cerro
Juventud
1–1Cerro29/05/22Juventud
Cerro
0–1Juventud09/04/22Cerro
Juventud
2–2Cerro28/10/21Juventud
Cerro
2–1Juventud14/07/21Cerro
Juventud
3–1Cerro22/11/19Cerro
Juventud
4–2Cerro18/05/19Juventud
Cerro
1–0Juventud08/10/17Juventud
Cerro
3–2Juventud12/03/17Cerro
Juventud
1–1Cerro17/09/16Juventud
Cerro
1–1Juventud24/04/16Cerro
Juventud
1–3Cerro17/10/15Juventud
Cerro
4–1Juventud08/03/15Cerro
Juventud
4–3Cerro31/08/14Juventud
Cerro
1–3Juventud26/04/14Juventud
Cerro
2–3Juventud23/11/13Cerro
Juventud
2–2Cerro10/03/13Cerro
Juventud
4–1Cerro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | +55 | 134 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | +48 | 125 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | +24 | 108 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | +14 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 65 | 29 | 15 | 21 | +22 | 102 |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | +2 | 96 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | -4 | 93 |
| 9 |  Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | -1 | 85 |
| 10 |  Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | -4 | 82 |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | -29 | 78 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | -21 | 75 |
| 15 | Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | -14 | 69 |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | -41 | 64 |
Team Insights
Juventud- ●Juventud have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Juventud have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Juventud have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Juventud failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Juventud have lost 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Juventud failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Cerro- ●Cerro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cerro failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Cerro have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●77% of Cerro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cerro have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
JuventudWAAlbion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1DHDanubio1–1
Danubio1–1DAClub Nacional2–2
Club Nacional2–2WHDeportivo Maldonado2–0
Deportivo Maldonado2–0WACentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0LHAtletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1–HCerro27/09
Cerro27/09–ABoston River04/10
Boston River04/10CerroLHPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2WAProgreso3–1
Progreso3–1WHRacing Montevideo1–0
Racing Montevideo1–0DABoston River1–1
Boston River1–1LALiverpool Montevideo0–4
Liverpool Montevideo0–4WHAlbion FC2–1
Albion FC2–1–AJuventud27/09
Juventud27/09–HWanderers04/10
Wanderers04/10Top Scorers
JuventudF. Mimbacas12 ⚽
R. Peralta9 ⚽
B. Larregui5 ⚽
A. Cruz5 ⚽
F. Barrandeguy3 ⚽
G. Pereiro3 ⚽
CerroA. Cambon6 ⚽
A. Macelli3 ⚽
J. Amaro3 ⚽
A. Severo3 ⚽
B. Aleman2 ⚽
A. Miranda1 ⚽
Cards Given
JuventudRenzo Rabino7 🟨
David Morosini6 🟨
Leonel Roldán6 🟨
Patricio Pernicone6 🟨
Martín Cáceres5 🟨
L. Roldan5 🟨
CerroD. Suarez10 🟨
Cristian Barros6 🟨
A. Macelli6 🟨
B. Aleman5 🟨
Alejo Macelli5 🟨
Jairo Amaro5 🟨