Defensor Sporting vs Danubio — Primera División
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Estadio Luis Franzini·Montevideo·Uruguay·18,000
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Defensor Sporting and Danubio meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Defensor Sporting have recorded 7 wins from 35 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 26%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Danubio have won 15% of their 33 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Defensor Sporting and 0.86 for Danubio. The models give Defensor Sporting a 50% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Danubio win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Defensor Sporting—
Danubio8º
Position
11º
1.40
PPG
1.20
33%
Win %
27%
0.87
Goals / game
1.13
0.73
Conceded / game
1.40
51%
BTTS %
48%
26%
Clean sheet %
21%
26%
Over 2.5 %
36%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
14.0
Avg fouls
0.0
57.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Defensor Sporting
Home (7)
—
Danubio
Away (8)
2.00
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
25%
1.14
Goals / game
0.88
0.57
Conceded / game
1.88
44%
BTTS %
41%
39%
Clean sheet %
18%
33%
Over 2.5 %
41%
3.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
4.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
57.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | Danubio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 59% | 55% | 63% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 33% | 41% | 45% | 38% | 53% |
Goals Conceded
| Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | Danubio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 61% | 88% | 79% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 28% | 18% | 36% | 25% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 39% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Defensor Sporting | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 26% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 6% |
| BTTS | 51% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Defensor Sporting | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 69% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 12% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Defensor Sporting (H)W
Deportivo Maldonado1–0
Deportivo Maldonado1–0L
Atletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3D
Rentistas0–0
Rentistas0–0L
Liverpool Montevideo0–4
Liverpool Montevideo0–4L
Wanderers0–1
Wanderers0–1W
Cerro2–1
Cerro2–1Danubio (A)D
Juventud1–1
Juventud1–1LAtletico Torque0–2
Atletico Torque0–2L
Progreso0–1
Progreso0–1D
Boston River0–0
Boston River0–0D
Albion FC2–2
Albion FC2–2LAtletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Defensor Sporting | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
15
Defensor Sporting
43%
12
Draws
34%
8
Danubio
23%
71%
Over 1.5
25/35
37%
Over 2.5
13/35
14%
Over 3.5
5/35
60%
BTTS
21/35
26/03/26Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0–0Defensor Sporting19/09/25Danubio
Defensor Sporting
2–1Danubio27/03/25Defensor Sporting
Danubio
1–1Defensor Sporting05/10/24Defensor Sporting
Danubio
1–1Defensor Sporting30/03/24Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1–0Danubio14/03/24Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1–0Danubio07/12/23Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0–2Danubio14/07/23Danubio
Defensor Sporting
2–1Danubio14/05/23Defensor Sporting
Danubio
1–1Defensor Sporting07/03/23Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0–0Danubio13/10/22Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1–1Danubio17/07/22Danubio
Defensor Sporting
2–1Danubio22/05/22Defensor Sporting
Danubio
1–2Defensor Sporting17/01/22Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0–2Danubio24/11/21Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0–1Danubio14/08/21Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0–1Defensor Sporting28/02/21Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1–1Danubio06/09/20Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0–0Defensor Sporting02/11/19Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1–2Danubio25/08/19Danubio
Defensor Sporting
3–1Danubio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | +55 | 134 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | +48 | 125 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | +24 | 108 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | +14 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 65 | 29 | 15 | 21 | +22 | 102 |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | +2 | 96 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | -4 | 93 |
| 9 |  Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | -1 | 85 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | -4 | 82 |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | -29 | 78 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | -21 | 75 |
| 15 | Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | -14 | 69 |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | -41 | 64 |
Team Insights
Defensor Sporting- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Danubio- ●Danubio have failed to win in their last 16 matches.
- ●Danubio have failed to win in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Defensor SportingLAClub Nacional2–3
Club Nacional2–3WHDeportivo Maldonado1–0
Deportivo Maldonado1–0DACentral Espanol1–1
Central Espanol1–1LHAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3DACerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1LHLiverpool Montevideo0–4
Liverpool Montevideo0–4–HDanubio27/09
Danubio27/09–AAlbion FC03/10
Albion FC03/10DanubioDHWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1DAJuventud1–1
Juventud1–1LHPenarol0–4
Penarol0–4LAProgreso0–1
Progreso0–1DHRacing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0DABoston River0–0
Boston River0–0–ADefensor Sporting27/09
Defensor Sporting27/09–HCerro Largo04/10
Cerro Largo04/10Top Scorers
Defensor SportingB. Montenegro7 ⚽
A. Machado3 ⚽
N. Wunsch3 ⚽
L. Agazzi3 ⚽
L. Navarro2 ⚽
F. Castro2 ⚽
DanubioS. Fernandez5 ⚽
M. Peralta5 ⚽
M. Ferreira4 ⚽
E. Cabrera4 ⚽
S. Rodriguez2 ⚽
J. Trasante1 ⚽
Cards Given
Defensor SportingAxel Frugone7 🟨
M. Amaro5 🟨
Lucas Paul De los Santos5 🟨
Juan Pablo Goicochea5 🟨
A. Frugone4 🟨
T. A. Pozzo4 🟨
DanubioS. Rodriguez5 🟨
M. Brasil5 🟨
Tomás Cavanagh5 🟨
E. Velazquez4 🟨
Iván Rossi4 🟨
M. Rinaldi4 🟨