9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción — Torneo Federal A
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9 de Julio Rafaela and Gimnasia Concepción meet in the Torneo Federal A 2026 season on 18 October 2026. 9 de Julio Rafaela have recorded 10 wins from 27 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Gimnasia Concepción have won 33% of their 27 matches, with 0.93 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 26%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 56%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for 9 de Julio Rafaela and 0.96 for Gimnasia Concepción. The models give 9 de Julio Rafaela a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Gimnasia Concepción win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
9 de Julio Rafaela—
Gimnasia Concepción5º
Position
10º
1.39
PPG
0.94
39%
Win %
22%
1.56
Goals / game
0.67
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
26%
22%
Clean sheet %
56%
56%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.8
Avg corners
5.3
9.0
Avg shots
8.8
5.3
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.8%
Avg possession
45.0%
Home vs Away
9 de Julio Rafaela
Home (9)
—
Gimnasia Concepción
Away (9)
2.11
PPG
0.56
67%
Win %
0%
2.33
Goals / game
0.44
1.44
Conceded / game
1.11
54%
BTTS %
31%
31%
Clean sheet %
54%
54%
Over 2.5 %
31%
5.8
Avg corners
5.3
9.0
Avg shots
8.8
5.3
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
49.8%
Avg possession
45.0%
Goals Scored
| 9 de | Home | Away | Gimnasia Concepción | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 77% | 64% | 56% | 71% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 54% | 21% | 19% | 29% | 8% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 31% | 14% | 11% | 21% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 23% | 36% | 44% | 29% | 62% |
Goals Conceded
| 9 de | Home | Away | Gimnasia Concepción | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 69% | 86% | 44% | 43% | 46% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 38% | 50% | 22% | 14% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 21% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 31% | 14% | 56% | 57% | 54% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| 9 de | Gimnasia Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS | 56% | 26% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| 9 de | Gimnasia Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
9 de (H)L
Bartolomé Mitre0–1
Bartolomé Mitre0–1W
Defensores de Belgrano VR1–0
Defensores de Belgrano VR1–0W
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1–0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1–0D
Douglas Haig0–0
Douglas Haig0–0LDefensores de Belgrano VR1–2
Defensores de Belgrano VR1–2WGimnasia Chivilcoy2–1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2–1Gimnasia Concepción (A)L
Sportivo Las Parejas0–1
Sportivo Las Parejas0–1L
Boca Unidos0–1
Boca Unidos0–1W
Atletico Escobar2–0
Atletico Escobar2–0D
El Linqueño0–0
El Linqueño0–0DGimnasia Chivilcoy0–0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–0LAtletico Escobar1–2
Atletico Escobar1–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
8.6
67 games
8.5
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | 9 de | Gimnasia Concepción | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 75% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 25% | 46% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 25% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 75% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 11 | 75% | 25% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 75% | 25% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 50% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | 9 de | Gimnasia Concepción |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 25% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
4
9 de
57%
0
Draws
0%
3
Gimnasia Concepción
43%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
11/10/269 de Julio Rafaela
Gimnasia Concepción
4–19 de Julio Rafaela05/07/269 de Julio Rafaela
Gimnasia Concepción
3–09 de Julio Rafaela03/05/26Gimnasia Concepción
9 de Julio Rafaela
4–1Gimnasia Concepción01/06/259 de Julio Rafaela
Gimnasia Concepción
1–09 de Julio Rafaela30/03/25Gimnasia Concepción
9 de Julio Rafaela
2–0Gimnasia Concepción07/07/24Gimnasia Concepción
9 de Julio Rafaela
3–1Gimnasia Concepción11/05/249 de Julio Rafaela
Gimnasia Concepción
1–29 de Julio Rafaela| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 31 |
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 31 |
| 1 |  San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 30 |
| 1 |  Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +4 | 25 |
| 2 |  Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 26 |
| 2 |  Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 27 |
| 3 |  Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 26 |
| 3 |  Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 26 |
| 3 |  Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 23 |
| 4 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 |  Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 4 |  Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 23 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 25 |
| 5 |  Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 25 |
| 5 |  Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 5 |  Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 6 |  Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 7 |  San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 | El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -11 | 15 |
| 9 |  Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 | Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 17 |
Team Insights
9 de- ●9 de Julio Rafaela have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●9 de Julio Rafaela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●9 de Julio Rafaela have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●9 de Julio Rafaela failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●9 de Julio Rafaela failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Gimnasia Concepción- ●Gimnasia Concepción have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia Concepción have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Gimnasia Concepción have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia Concepción have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 13 away matches.
- ●76% of Gimnasia Concepción's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Gimnasia Concepción have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
9 deLAGimnasia Concepción1–4
Gimnasia Concepción1–4DASol de América1–1
Sol de América1–1LHBartolomé Mitre0–1
Bartolomé Mitre0–1WASarmiento de La Banda4–1
Sarmiento de La Banda4–1WHDefensores de Belgrano VR1–0
Defensores de Belgrano VR1–0LASan Martin Formosa1–2
San Martin Formosa1–2–HGimnasia Concepción18/10
Gimnasia Concepción18/10Gimnasia ConcepciónWH9 de Julio Rafaela4–1
9 de Julio Rafaela4–1LASportivo Las Parejas0–1
Sportivo Las Parejas0–1WHSarmiento Resistencia1–0
Sarmiento Resistencia1–0LABoca Unidos0–1
Boca Unidos0–1DHIndependiente De Chivilcoy0–0
Independiente De Chivilcoy0–0WAAtletico Escobar2–0
Atletico Escobar2–0–A9 de Julio Rafaela18/10
9 de Julio Rafaela18/10Top Scorers
9 deL. Troncoso13 ⚽
N. Del Sole4 ⚽
M. Solari4 ⚽
L. Larrea3 ⚽
F. Garcia3 ⚽
T. Bonilla3 ⚽
Gimnasia ConcepciónN. Germanier5 ⚽
M. Bogado4 ⚽
A. Sonzogni3 ⚽
J. Benitez3 ⚽
L. Vila1 ⚽
F. Laumann1 ⚽
Cards Given
9 de37 🟨
A. Vanega4 🟨
M. Uriona2 🟨
N. Del Sole2 🟨
S. Varela2 🟨
N. Bravo1 🟨
Gimnasia Concepción50 🟨
A. Favre2 🟨
A. Gonzalez1 🟨
F. Rocca1 🟨
J. Casares1 🟨
N. Germanier1 🟨