Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso — Primera División
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Estadio Belvedere·Montevideo·Uruguay·8,384
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Liverpool Montevideo and Progreso meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Liverpool Montevideo have recorded 13 wins from 35 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 49% of games. Progreso have won 24% of their 37 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.02 for Progreso. The models give Liverpool Montevideo a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Progreso win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Liverpool Montevideo—
Progreso9º
Position
15º
1.33
PPG
0.67
33%
Win %
13%
1.33
Goals / game
0.80
1.20
Conceded / game
1.53
37%
BTTS %
43%
49%
Clean sheet %
16%
40%
Over 2.5 %
41%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
11.5
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
10.0
Avg fouls
0.0
56.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Liverpool Montevideo
Home (7)
—
Progreso
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
0.71
29%
Win %
14%
1.43
Goals / game
0.71
1.43
Conceded / game
1.29
28%
BTTS %
45%
56%
Clean sheet %
20%
44%
Over 2.5 %
35%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
11.5
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
56.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | Progreso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 61% | 76% | 57% | 53% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 28% | 35% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 22% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 39% | 24% | 43% | 47% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Liverpool Montevideo | Home | Away | Progreso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 51% | 44% | 59% | 84% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 39% | 18% | 46% | 59% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 49% | 56% | 41% | 16% | 12% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Liverpool Montevideo | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 3% |
| BTTS | 37% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Liverpool Montevideo | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Liverpool Montevideo (H)W
Colón3–0
Colón3–0D
Racing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0W
Boston River1–0
Boston River1–0LBoston River0–1
Boston River0–1W
Cerro4–0
Cerro4–0W
Albion FC1–0
Albion FC1–0Progreso (A)WBoston River2–1
Boston River2–1WAlbion FC1–0
Albion FC1–0LAlbion FC1–2
Albion FC1–2L
Club Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1L
Central Espanol0–1
Central Espanol0–1LClub Nacional1–2
Club Nacional1–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Liverpool Montevideo | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
8
Liverpool Montevideo
47%
5
Draws
29%
4
Progreso
24%
94%
Over 1.5
16/17
59%
Over 2.5
10/17
41%
Over 3.5
7/17
71%
BTTS
12/17
31/03/26Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3–3Liverpool Montevideo26/10/25Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3–1Progreso27/04/25Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
0–2Liverpool Montevideo03/11/24Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
2–1Progreso28/04/24Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
2–1Liverpool Montevideo03/10/21Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
0–1Progreso04/06/21Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1–3Liverpool Montevideo30/01/21Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
0–4Liverpool Montevideo08/03/20Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1–1Progreso22/09/19Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
2–1Liverpool Montevideo02/03/19Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3–5Progreso06/10/18Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1–1Liverpool Montevideo08/04/18Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1–1Progreso18/04/15Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1–1Liverpool Montevideo15/11/14Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
6–0Progreso20/04/13Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
0–2Liverpool Montevideo29/10/12Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3–1Progreso| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | +55 | 134 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | +48 | 125 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | +24 | 108 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | +14 | 106 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 65 | 29 | 15 | 21 | +22 | 102 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | +2 | 96 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | -4 | 93 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | -1 | 85 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | -4 | 82 |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | -29 | 78 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | -21 | 75 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | -14 | 69 |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | -41 | 64 |
Team Insights
Liverpool Montevideo- ●Liverpool Montevideo have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Liverpool Montevideo have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Progreso- ●Progreso have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Progreso failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Progreso have lost 9 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Progreso failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Progreso have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Progreso have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Liverpool MontevideoDHRacing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0LAAtletico Torque1–3
Atletico Torque1–3WHBoston River1–0
Boston River1–0DACerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1WHCerro4–0
Cerro4–0WADefensor Sporting4–0
Defensor Sporting4–0–ACentral Espanol27/09
Central Espanol27/09–HProgreso03/10
Progreso03/10ProgresoWABoston River2–1
Boston River2–1LHCerro1–3
Cerro1–3WAAlbion FC1–0
Albion FC1–0WHDanubio1–0
Danubio1–0LAClub Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1LHDeportivo Maldonado0–2
Deportivo Maldonado0–2–HRacing Montevideo26/09
Racing Montevideo26/09–ALiverpool Montevideo03/10
Liverpool Montevideo03/10Top Scorers
Liverpool MontevideoF. Martinez9 ⚽
F. Barcelo8 ⚽
R. Bentancourt7 ⚽
D. Romero5 ⚽
R. Machado3 ⚽
N. Garayalde2 ⚽
ProgresoN. Lopez6 ⚽
D. Sanchez3 ⚽
F. De Leon3 ⚽
J. Dos Santos2 ⚽
G. Silva2 ⚽
F. Fernandez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Liverpool MontevideoEnzo Castillo6 🟨
Rubén Bentancourt5 🟨
Nicolás Garayalde5 🟨
F. Barcelo4 🟨
E. Castillo4 🟨
A. Cayetano4 🟨
ProgresoA. Cougo6 🟨
Mauro Martín6 🟨
Agustin Pinheiro5 🟨
F. Andueza4 🟨
Ayrton Cougo4 🟨
A. Ocampo4 🟨