Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol — Primera División
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Deportivo Maldonado and Central Espanol meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Deportivo Maldonado have recorded 18 wins from 33 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Central Espanol have won 35% of their 34 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.07 for Central Espanol. The models give Deportivo Maldonado a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Central Espanol win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado—
Central Espanol2º
Position
5º
1.93
PPG
1.60
60%
Win %
47%
1.60
Goals / game
1.53
1.07
Conceded / game
1.47
48%
BTTS %
47%
42%
Clean sheet %
38%
42%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Deportivo Maldonado
Home (7)
—
Central Espanol
Away (8)
2.57
PPG
1.38
86%
Win %
38%
1.86
Goals / game
1.38
0.86
Conceded / game
1.63
50%
BTTS %
38%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Deportivo Maldonado | Home | Away | Central Espanol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 88% | 71% | 68% | 72% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 63% | 35% | 29% | 39% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 25% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 13% | 29% | 32% | 28% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportivo Maldonado | Home | Away | Central Espanol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 65% | 62% | 72% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 17% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 6% | 15% | 11% | 19% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 50% | 35% | 38% | 28% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportivo Maldonado | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 12% |
| BTTS | 48% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportivo Maldonado | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 65% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportivo Maldonado (H)W
Cerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0W
Wanderers4–1
Wanderers4–1WWanderers2–0
Wanderers2–0D
Penarol0–0
Penarol0–0D
Racing Montevideo2–2
Racing Montevideo2–2D
Juventud0–0
Juventud0–0Central Espanol (A)DCerro Largo0–0
Cerro Largo0–0WRacing Montevideo4–2
Racing Montevideo4–2LWanderers0–3
Wanderers0–3LPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2D
Boston River0–0
Boston River0–0WPenarol1–0
Penarol1–0Head to Head · 20 matches
8
Deportivo Maldonado
40%
4
Draws
20%
8
Central Espanol
40%
65%
Over 1.5
13/20
35%
Over 2.5
7/20
10%
Over 3.5
2/20
35%
BTTS
7/20
31/03/26Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
2–1Deportivo Maldonado19/08/25Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
0–2Deportivo Maldonado31/05/25Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
0–0Central Espanol20/08/19Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
0–1Deportivo Maldonado11/05/19Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
1–0Central Espanol04/08/18Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
0–0Deportivo Maldonado10/03/18Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2–0Central Espanol02/12/17Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
0–0Central Espanol29/11/17Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
2–0Deportivo Maldonado07/10/17Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
1–0Deportivo Maldonado27/05/17Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
1–1Central Espanol08/10/16Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
0–1Deportivo Maldonado21/05/16Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
3–0Central Espanol24/10/15Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
1–2Deportivo Maldonado18/04/15Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2–3Central Espanol15/11/14Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
2–0Deportivo Maldonado03/05/14Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2–1Central Espanol01/12/13Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
2–1Deportivo Maldonado14/04/12Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
0–2Central Espanol12/11/11Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
3–2Deportivo Maldonado| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | +55 | 134 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | +48 | 125 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | +24 | 108 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | +14 | 106 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 65 | 29 | 15 | 21 | +22 | 102 |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | +2 | 96 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | -4 | 93 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | -1 | 85 |
| 10 |  Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | -4 | 82 |
| 12 |  Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | -29 | 78 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | -21 | 75 |
| 15 |  Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | -14 | 69 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | -41 | 64 |
Team Insights
Deportivo Maldonado- ●Deportivo Maldonado have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Deportivo Maldonado have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Central Espanol- ●Central Espanol have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Central Espanol failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Deportivo MaldonadoWHCerro Largo2–0
Cerro Largo2–0LADefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1WHWanderers2–0
Wanderers2–0LAJuventud0–2
Juventud0–2DHPenarol0–0
Penarol0–0WAProgreso2–0
Progreso2–0–AAtletico Torque27/09
Atletico Torque27/09–HCentral Espanol03/10
Central Espanol03/10Central EspanolLHAtletico Torque1–4
Atletico Torque1–4DACerro Largo0–0
Cerro Largo0–0DHDefensor Sporting1–1
Defensor Sporting1–1LAWanderers0–3
Wanderers0–3LHJuventud0–1
Juventud0–1LAPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2–HLiverpool Montevideo27/09
Liverpool Montevideo27/09–ADeportivo Maldonado03/10
Deportivo Maldonado03/10Top Scorers
Deportivo MaldonadoC. Tabo9 ⚽
S. Ramirez7 ⚽
A. M. Noble Sequeira6 ⚽
R. Cesar5 ⚽
G. Larrazabal3 ⚽
A. Vila2 ⚽
Central EspanolR. Tarragona8 ⚽
M. Alonso4 ⚽
F. Munoz4 ⚽
I. Mendez3 ⚽
L. Pino3 ⚽
G. Gandolfo2 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportivo MaldonadoM. Gonzalez9 🟨
H. Menosse7 🟨
Maximiliano González6 🟨
C. Tabo6 🟨
Facundo Tealde5 🟨
Hernán Menosse4 🟨
Central EspanolI. Rodriguez12 🟨
A. Villoldo12 🟨
L. Fernandez8 🟨
G. Gandolfo8 🟨
M. Aguilera7 🟨
F. Munoz5 🟨