Boston River vs Juventud — Primera División
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Boston River and Juventud meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 4 October 2026. Boston River have recorded 14 wins from 43 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Juventud have won 33% of their 46 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Boston River and 1.30 for Juventud. The models give Boston River a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Juventud win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Boston River—
Juventud13º
Position
14º
1.13
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
27%
0.93
Goals / game
1.13
1.33
Conceded / game
1.47
47%
BTTS %
59%
21%
Clean sheet %
24%
42%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.4
Avg corners
4.4
9.6
Avg shots
12.9
2.4
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
11.3
Avg fouls
11.1
42.1%
Avg possession
50.3%
Home vs Away
Boston River
Home (8)
—
Juventud
Away (7)
1.25
PPG
0.71
38%
Win %
14%
1.00
Goals / game
1.29
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
48%
BTTS %
77%
30%
Clean sheet %
14%
39%
Over 2.5 %
64%
3.4
Avg corners
4.4
9.6
Avg shots
12.9
2.4
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
42.1%
Avg possession
50.3%
Goals Scored
| Boston River | Home | Away | Juventud | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 65% | 55% | 78% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 30% | 25% | 35% | 38% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 17% | 5% | 13% | 17% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 35% | 45% | 22% | 29% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Boston River | Home | Away | Juventud | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 70% | 90% | 76% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 30% | 55% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 4% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 30% | 10% | 24% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boston River | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 7% |
| BTTS | 47% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boston River | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Boston River (H)W
Fenix3–2
Fenix3–2L
Progreso1–2
Progreso1–2W
Colón2–0
Colón2–0D
Cerro1–1
Cerro1–1D
Danubio0–0
Danubio0–0D
Central Espanol0–0
Central Espanol0–0Juventud (A)W
Albion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1D
Club Nacional2–2
Club Nacional2–2LCentral Espanol0–3
Central Espanol0–3WCentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0D
Cerro Largo1–1
Cerro Largo1–1D
Deportivo Maldonado0–0
Deportivo Maldonado0–0Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
8.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Boston River | Juventud | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 58% | — |
| Over 7 | 86% | 58% | — |
| Over 8 | 86% | 50% | — |
| Over 9 | 71% | 42% | — |
| Over 10 | 57% | 33% | — |
| Over 11 | 29% | 17% | — |
| Over 12 | 29% | 8% | — |
| Over 13 | 29% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Boston River | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.9 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 43% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 86% | 42% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
7
Boston River
58%
2
Draws
17%
3
Juventud
25%
58%
Over 1.5
7/12
58%
Over 2.5
7/12
33%
Over 3.5
4/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
30/03/26Boston River
Juventud
1–2Boston River04/10/25Juventud
Boston River
0–0Juventud02/06/25Juventud
Boston River
3–2Juventud05/04/25Boston River
Juventud
4–1Boston River06/11/19Juventud
Boston River
2–1Juventud28/07/19Boston River
Juventud
1–0Boston River21/04/19Boston River
Juventud
0–1Boston River25/11/17Juventud
Boston River
3–1Juventud07/05/17Boston River
Juventud
2–5Boston River02/10/16Boston River
Juventud
0–1Boston River26/05/12Boston River
Juventud
2–1Boston River21/12/11Juventud
Boston River
0–0Juventud| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | +55 | 134 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | +48 | 125 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | +24 | 108 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | +14 | 106 |
| 6 |  Atletico Torque | 65 | 29 | 15 | 21 | +22 | 102 |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | +2 | 96 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | -4 | 93 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | -1 | 85 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | -4 | 82 |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | -29 | 78 |
| 14 |  Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | -21 | 75 |
| 15 | Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | -14 | 69 |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | -41 | 64 |
Team Insights
Boston River- ●Boston River have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Boston River have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Boston River have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Boston River have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Boston River have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●67% of Boston River's goals conceded were conceded away.
Juventud- ●Juventud have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Juventud have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Juventud have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Juventud failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Juventud have lost 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Juventud failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Juventud have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Boston RiverLHProgreso1–2
Progreso1–2LARacing Montevideo2–3
Racing Montevideo2–3LALiverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo0–1DHCerro1–1
Cerro1–1WAAlbion FC3–2
Albion FC3–2DHDanubio0–0
Danubio0–0–APenarol26/09
Penarol26/09–HJuventud04/10
Juventud04/10JuventudWAAlbion FC3–1
Albion FC3–1DHDanubio1–1
Danubio1–1DAClub Nacional2–2
Club Nacional2–2WHDeportivo Maldonado2–0
Deportivo Maldonado2–0WACentral Espanol1–0
Central Espanol1–0LHAtletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1–HCerro27/09
Cerro27/09–ABoston River04/10
Boston River04/10Top Scorers
Boston RiverF. Munoa7 ⚽
F. Bonfiglio6 ⚽
L. Suhr4 ⚽
A. Gonzalez3 ⚽
G. Ramirez3 ⚽
N. Siri3 ⚽
JuventudF. Mimbacas12 ⚽
R. Peralta9 ⚽
B. Larregui5 ⚽
A. Cruz5 ⚽
F. Barrandeguy3 ⚽
G. Pereiro3 ⚽
Cards Given
Boston RiverL. Vazquez6 🟨
R. A. Saravia Salvia5 🟨
Franco Pérez5 🟨
F. Bonfiglio5 🟨
J. Acosta5 🟨
Agustín Amado4 🟨
JuventudRenzo Rabino7 🟨
David Morosini6 🟨
Leonel Roldán6 🟨
Patricio Pernicone6 🟨
Martín Cáceres5 🟨
L. Roldan5 🟨