U. San Martin vs Bentín Tacna Heroica — Segunda División
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U. San Martin and Bentín Tacna Heroica meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 11 October 2026. U. San Martin have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Bentín Tacna Heroica have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for U. San Martin and 0.98 for Bentín Tacna Heroica. The models give U. San Martin a 36% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Bentín Tacna Heroica win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| U. San | Home | Away | Bentín Tacna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 79% | 89% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 63% | 50% | 47% | 67% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 13% | 25% | 21% | 33% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| U. San | Home | Away | Bentín Tacna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 68% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 63% | 26% | 11% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 38% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| U. San | Bentín Tacna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 50% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| U. San | Bentín Tacna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 5% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 32 | |
| 1 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 30 | |
| 2 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +9 | 26 | |
| 2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +13 | 28 | |
| 3 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +13 | 25 | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 25 | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +9 | 25 | |
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 24 | |
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | |
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 21 | |
| 6 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 | |
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 19 | |
| 8 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | +4 | 17 | |
| 8 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 14 | |
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -39 | 10 | |
| 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -43 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●U. San Martin have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●U. San Martin have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●U. San Martin have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●U. San Martin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●U. San Martin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●U. San Martin have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of U. San Martin's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bentín Tacna Heroica have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bentín Tacna Heroica have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bentín Tacna Heroica have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●64% of Bentín Tacna Heroica's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bentín Tacna Heroica have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.