CD Marathon vs Olancho — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Yankel Rosenthal·San Pedro Sula·Honduras·15,000
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CD Marathon and Olancho meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 15 October 2026. CD Marathon have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. Olancho have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 11%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for CD Marathon and 0.71 for Olancho. The models give CD Marathon a 52% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Olancho win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
CD Marathon—
Olancho3º
Position
5º
2.00
PPG
1.33
56%
Win %
22%
1.56
Goals / game
0.78
0.67
Conceded / game
0.67
40%
BTTS %
56%
53%
Clean sheet %
44%
47%
Over 2.5 %
11%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
CD Marathon
Home (4)
—
Olancho
Away (5)
2.50
PPG
1.20
75%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
0.60
0.25
Conceded / game
0.60
29%
BTTS %
40%
57%
Clean sheet %
60%
43%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| CD Marathon | Home | Away | Olancho | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 86% | 75% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 43% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 14% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| CD Marathon | Home | Away | Olancho | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 43% | 50% | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 14% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 57% | 50% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CD Marathon | Olancho | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 11% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 44% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 11% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CD Marathon | Olancho | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
CD Marathon (H)W
CD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0D
LD Alajuelense2–2
LD Alajuelense2–2W
Estrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0W
Real Estelí3–0
Real Estelí3–0D
Real Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1L
Alianza0–1
Alianza0–1Olancho (A)D
Génesis0–0
Génesis0–0D
Atlético Choloma0–0
Atlético Choloma0–0L
CD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2D
Lobos Upnfm1–1
Lobos Upnfm1–1WEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0DGénesis1–1
Génesis1–1Head to Head · 22 matches
11
CD Marathon
50%
4
Draws
18%
7
Olancho
32%
86%
Over 1.5
19/22
50%
Over 2.5
11/22
18%
Over 3.5
4/22
55%
BTTS
12/22
12/04/26Olancho
CD Marathon
0–2Olancho21/02/26CD Marathon
Olancho
1–1CD Marathon28/12/25Olancho
CD Marathon
2–1Olancho12/12/25CD Marathon
Olancho
0–3CD Marathon01/11/25Olancho
CD Marathon
2–1Olancho24/08/25CD Marathon
Olancho
1–1CD Marathon12/04/25CD Marathon
Olancho
0–1CD Marathon14/02/25Olancho
CD Marathon
2–0Olancho09/12/24Olancho
CD Marathon
1–2Olancho05/12/24CD Marathon
Olancho
1–2CD Marathon01/12/24CD Marathon
Olancho
3–1CD Marathon23/09/24Olancho
CD Marathon
2–0Olancho28/04/24Olancho
CD Marathon
2–1Olancho03/03/24CD Marathon
Olancho
2–1CD Marathon24/09/23Olancho
CD Marathon
0–2Olancho29/07/23CD Marathon
Olancho
1–0CD Marathon01/03/23Olancho
CD Marathon
0–2Olancho22/01/23CD Marathon
Olancho
2–2CD Marathon27/11/22CD Marathon
Olancho
1–1CD Marathon24/11/22Olancho
CD Marathon
1–0Olancho| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Olancho | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 |  Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlético Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
CD Marathon- ●CD Marathon have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Olancho- ●Olancho have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Olancho have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Olancho have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Olancho have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Olancho have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
CD MarathonDALobos Upnfm0–0
Lobos Upnfm0–0LAJuticalpa2–3
Juticalpa2–3WHCD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0WHEstrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0WAGénesis2–1
Génesis2–1DHReal Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1–HOlancho15/10
Olancho15/10–AAtletico Independiente25/10
Atletico Independiente25/10–ACD Motagua01/11
CD Motagua01/11OlanchoDHAtletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1DAGénesis0–0
Génesis0–0DHReal Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1DAAtlético Choloma0–0
Atlético Choloma0–0LACD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2DHCD Olimpia1–1
CD Olimpia1–1–ACD Marathon15/10
CD Marathon15/10–HEstrella Roja24/10
Estrella Roja24/10–HPlatense FC01/11
Platense FC01/11Top Scorers
CD MarathonN. Messiniti7 ⚽
D. Ramirez3 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
I. Castillo2 ⚽
J. Bueso1 ⚽
J. Paz1 ⚽
OlanchoJ. Bengtson2 ⚽
M. R. Ramirez Arauz2 ⚽
Joanderson1 ⚽
O. Almendarez1 ⚽
O. Padilla1 ⚽
Cards Given
CD MarathonT. A. Sorto Caballero6 🟨
Y. Moreno4 🟨
B. Farioli4 🟨
S. Agurcia4 🟨
J. Rougier3 🟨
H. Figueroa3 🟨
OlanchoH. Gomez6 🟨
D. Martinez4 🟨
N. Munoz3 🟨
C. J. Zuniga Bernardez2 🟨
J. Delgado2 🟨
O. Almendarez2 🟨