Juticalpa vs Atlético Choloma — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas·Juticalpa·Honduras·22,000
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Juticalpa and Atlético Choloma meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Juticalpa have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Atlético Choloma have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Juticalpa and 1.25 for Atlético Choloma. The models give Juticalpa a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atlético Choloma win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Juticalpa—
Atlético Choloma12º
Position
11º
0.67
PPG
0.78
22%
Win %
22%
1.00
Goals / game
0.78
2.33
Conceded / game
1.11
56%
BTTS %
33%
11%
Clean sheet %
33%
78%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Juticalpa
Home (5)
—
Atlético Choloma
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
0.00
40%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.60
2.20
Conceded / game
1.80
40%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Juticalpa | Home | Away | Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Juticalpa | Home | Away | Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 67% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 44% | 0% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 60% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 75% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Juticalpa | Atlético Choloma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Juticalpa | Atlético Choloma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 78% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 11% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Juticalpa (H)W
CD Marathon3–2
CD Marathon3–2L
Génesis0–3
Génesis0–3W
Lobos Upnfm1–0
Lobos Upnfm1–0L
CD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3L
CD Motagua0–3
CD Motagua0–3WLobos Upnfm1–0
Lobos Upnfm1–0Atlético Choloma (A)LCD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2LLobos Upnfm0–1
Lobos Upnfm0–1L
Real Espana1–2
Real Espana1–2L
Atletico Independiente1–2
Atletico Independiente1–2LGénesis0–2
Génesis0–2WCD Marathon1–0
CD Marathon1–0Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Juticalpa
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Atlético Choloma
0%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
15/03/26Juticalpa
Atlético Choloma
1–1Juticalpa24/01/26Atlético Choloma
Juticalpa
1–0Atlético Choloma25/10/25Juticalpa
Atlético Choloma
2–2Juticalpa17/08/25Atlético Choloma
Juticalpa
3–2Atlético Choloma| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Olancho | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 |  Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlético Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Juticalpa- ●Juticalpa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Juticalpa have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●100% of Juticalpa's points have been earned at home.
- ●Juticalpa have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Atlético Choloma- ●Atlético Choloma have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●90% of Atlético Choloma's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Atlético Choloma's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atlético Choloma have conceded 90% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
JuticalpaLAPlatense FC1–2
Platense FC1–2WHCD Marathon3–2
CD Marathon3–2LAAtletico Independiente1–2
Atletico Independiente1–2LHGénesis0–3
Génesis0–3WHLobos Upnfm1–0
Lobos Upnfm1–0LAEstrella Roja2–5
Estrella Roja2–5–HAtlético Choloma17/10
Atlético Choloma17/10–ACD Motagua25/10
CD Motagua25/10–AReal Espana31/10
Real Espana31/10Atlético CholomaLACD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2WHEstrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0LALobos Upnfm0–1
Lobos Upnfm0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0LAReal Espana1–2
Real Espana1–2WHPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0–AJuticalpa17/10
Juticalpa17/10–HGénesis24/10
Génesis24/10–HCD Olimpia01/11
CD Olimpia01/11Top Scorers
JuticalpaJ. Padilla2 ⚽
J. Rochez2 ⚽
C. Sacaza1 ⚽
J. Velasquez1 ⚽
K. Matute1 ⚽
M. Nunez1 ⚽
Atlético CholomaA. Villatoro2 ⚽
L. Ferreira2 ⚽
Alvarado1 ⚽
J. Castillo1 ⚽
J. Quejada1 ⚽
Cards Given
JuticalpaJ. Rochez5 🟨
O. Barrios4 🟨
C. Sacaza3 🟨
K. Matute3 🟨
C. Rochez3 🟨
M. Nunez3 🟨
Atlético CholomaA. Villatoro4 🟨
J. Barrios3 🟨
H. Castillo3 🟨
Alvarado2 🟨
E. Florez2 🟨
C. Madrid2 🟨