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Atletico Independiente vs Lobos Upnfm — Liga Nacional

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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Apertura - 10
Atletico Independiente
Atletico Independiente
7º · 1.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 2h
vs
–
–
Lobos Upnfm
Lobos Upnfm
9º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h
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Atletico Independiente and Lobos Upnfm meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Atletico Independiente have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Lobos Upnfm have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Atletico Independiente and 0.80 for Lobos Upnfm. The models give Atletico Independiente a 54% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lobos Upnfm win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 43%.

Season Statistics

Atletico Independiente
—
Lobos Upnfm
7º
Position
9º
1.11
PPG
1.00
22%
Win %
22%
0.89
Goals / game
0.78
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
67%
BTTS %
33%
11%
Clean sheet %
33%
44%
Over 2.5 %
22%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Atletico Independiente
Home (4)
—
Lobos Upnfm
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.60
50%
Win %
20%
1.25
Goals / game
0.60
0.75
Conceded / game
1.80
75%
BTTS %
20%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Atletico IndependienteHomeAwayLobos UpnfmHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%75%60%56%75%40%
Over 1.5 Scored22%50%0%22%25%20%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score33%25%40%44%25%60%

Goals Conceded

Atletico IndependienteHomeAwayLobos UpnfmHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded89%75%100%67%50%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded22%0%40%44%25%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%20%11%0%20%
Clean Sheets11%25%0%33%50%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Atletico IndependienteLobos Upnfm
Over 0.589%89%
Over 1.578%67%
Over 2.544%22%
Over 3.511%22%
Over 4.50%11%
BTTS67%33%
BTTS & Win22%0%
BTTS & Draw33%22%
BTTS & Over 2.533%22%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Atletico IndependienteLobos Upnfm
Win 1st Half11%22%
Draw 1st Half44%44%
Loss 1st Half44%33%
Scored 1st Half22%22%
Conceded 1st Half67%33%
Win 2nd Half22%0%
Draw 2nd Half67%89%
Loss 2nd Half11%11%
Scored 2nd Half56%33%
Conceded 2nd Half44%44%
Over 0.5 HT67%56%
Over 1.5 HT33%44%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico Independiente (H)
WJuticalpa2–1
DCD Motagua0–0
DGénesis1–1
WAtlético Choloma2–1
Lobos Upnfm (A)
WPlatense FC2–0
LReal Espana0–2
LJuticalpa0–1
LCD Motagua1–4
LCD Olimpia0–2
LJuticalpa0–1
Liga Nacional
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana9630+1021
2CD Olimpia9621+1320
3CD Marathon9531+818
4CD Motagua9513+416
5Olancho9261+112
6Génesis9324+311
7Atletico Independiente9243-410
8Estrella Roja9234-49
9Lobos Upnfm9234-59
10Platense FC9225-118
11Atlético Choloma9216-37
12Juticalpa9207-126

Team Insights

Atletico Independiente
  • ●Atletico Independiente have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●63% of Atletico Independiente's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Atletico Independiente's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●80% of Atletico Independiente's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Atletico Independiente have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Lobos Upnfm
  • ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Lobos Upnfm failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Lobos Upnfm have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●75% of Lobos Upnfm's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Lobos Upnfm have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico IndependienteAtletico Independiente
DAOlancho5º1–1
LACD Olimpia2º0–4
WHJuticalpa12º2–1
DHCD Motagua4º0–0
LAPlatense FC10º1–2
DHGénesis6º1–1
DAReal Espana1º1–1
WHAtlético Choloma11º2–1
LACD Marathon3º0–1
Lobos UpnfmLobos Upnfm
DHCD Marathon3º0–0
WAPlatense FC10º2–0
WHAtlético Choloma11º1–0
LAReal Espana1º0–2
LAJuticalpa12º0–1
LACD Motagua4º1–4
DHEstrella Roja8º2–2
DHOlancho5º1–1
LACD Olimpia2º0–2
WHCD Motagua3º2–1

Season Schedule

Atletico Independiente
DAOlancho1–1
LACD Olimpia0–4
WHJuticalpa2–1
DHCD Motagua0–0
LAPlatense FC1–2
DHGénesis1–1
–HLobos Upnfm18/10
–HCD Marathon25/10
–AEstrella Roja31/10
Lobos Upnfm
DHCD Marathon0–0
WAPlatense FC2–0
WHAtlético Choloma1–0
LAReal Espana0–2
LAJuticalpa0–1
LACD Motagua1–4
–AAtletico Independiente18/10
–HCD Olimpia25/10
–HGénesis31/10

Top Scorers

Atletico Independiente
S. Cruz3 ⚽
A. Cabrera1 ⚽
L. Melendez1 ⚽
M. Techera1 ⚽
O. Cabrera1 ⚽
S. Espinoza1 ⚽
Lobos Upnfm
D. Carter3 ⚽
S. Elvir2 ⚽
D. Suazo1 ⚽
J. Villafranca1 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico Independiente
L. Melendez2 🟨
W. Ramirez2 🟨
I. Martinez2 🟨
D. Herrera2 🟨
D. Llorente2 🟨
A. Ramirez1 🟨
Lobos Upnfm
J. Ponce3 🟨
E. Lopez3 🟨
B. Lopez2 🟨
D. Suazo2 🟨
J. Nunez2 🟨
Y. Hinestroza2 🟨