Honduras · Liga Nacional · Apertura - 10

Génesis

6º · 1.22 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 8d 0h

–

Estrella Roja

8º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h

Estadio Roberto Suazo Córdova·La Paz·Honduras·25,000

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Génesis and Estrella Roja meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Génesis have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Estrella Roja have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Génesis and 0.89 for Estrella Roja. The models give Génesis a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Estrella Roja win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

Génesis

—

Estrella Roja

6º

Position

8º

1.22

PPG

1.00

33%

Win %

22%

1.11

Goals / game

1.44

0.78

Conceded / game

1.89

22%

BTTS %

44%

Clean sheet %

11%

33%

Over 2.5 %

56%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Génesis

Home (5)

—

Estrella Roja

Away (4)

1.40

PPG

1.00

40%

Win %

25%

1.20

Goals / game

1.00

0.60

Conceded / game

2.25

20%

BTTS %

25%

60%

Clean sheet %

25%

40%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Génesis	Home	Away	Estrella Roja	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	56%	60%	50%	56%	60%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	33%	40%	25%	56%	60%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	22%	20%	25%	11%	20%	0%
Failed To Score	44%	40%	50%	44%	40%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Génesis	Home	Away	Estrella Roja	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	56%	40%	75%	89%	100%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	22%	20%	25%	67%	60%	75%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	11%	0%	25%
Clean Sheets	44%	60%	25%	11%	0%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Génesis	Estrella Roja
Over 0.5	89%	100%
Over 1.5	67%	78%
Over 2.5	33%	56%
Over 3.5	0%	56%
Over 4.5	0%	22%
BTTS	22%	44%
BTTS & Win	0%	11%
BTTS & Draw	11%	33%
BTTS & Over 2.5	11%	44%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	22%	11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Génesis	Estrella Roja
Win 1st Half	33%	11%
Draw 1st Half	44%	33%
Loss 1st Half	22%	56%
Scored 1st Half	33%	11%
Conceded 1st Half	22%	56%
Win 2nd Half	22%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	44%	33%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	33%
Scored 2nd Half	33%	56%
Conceded 2nd Half	44%	67%
Over 0.5 HT	56%	67%
Over 1.5 HT	22%	11%

Recent Venue Form

Génesis (H)

CD Olimpia0–1

Olancho0–0

CD Marathon1–2

Platense FC3–0

Atlético Choloma2–0

Olancho1–1

Estrella Roja (A)

Atlético Choloma0–2

CD Marathon0–5

Lobos Upnfm2–2

CD Motagua2–0

Arroceros Calabozo4–1

Angostura FC2–3

Liga Nacional

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Espana	9	6	3	0	+10	21
2	CD Olimpia	9	6	2	1	+13	20
3	CD Marathon	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	CD Motagua	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Olancho	9	2	6	1	+1	12
6	Génesis	9	3	2	4	+3	11
7	Atletico Independiente	9	2	4	3	-4	10
8	Estrella Roja	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	Lobos Upnfm	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Platense FC	9	2	2	5	-11	8
11	Atlético Choloma	9	2	1	6	-3	7
12	Juticalpa	9	2	0	7	-12	6

Team Insights

Génesis

●Génesis have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●Génesis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.

Estrella Roja

●Estrella Roja have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Estrella Roja have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Estrella Roja have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
●69% of Estrella Roja's goals have been scored at home.