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Olancho vs Estrella Roja — Liga Nacional

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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Apertura - 11
Olancho
Olancho
5º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 12d 2h
vs
–
–
Estrella Roja
Estrella Roja
8º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 12d 4h
Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas·Juticalpa·Honduras·22,000
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Olancho and Estrella Roja meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Olancho have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 11%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Estrella Roja have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Olancho and 0.93 for Estrella Roja. The models give Olancho a 54% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Estrella Roja win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Olancho
—
Estrella Roja
5º
Position
8º
1.33
PPG
1.00
22%
Win %
22%
0.78
Goals / game
1.44
0.67
Conceded / game
1.89
56%
BTTS %
44%
44%
Clean sheet %
11%
11%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Olancho
Home (4)
—
Estrella Roja
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.75
Conceded / game
2.25
75%
BTTS %
25%
25%
Clean sheet %
25%
0%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

OlanchoHomeAwayEstrella RojaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored78%100%60%56%60%50%
Over 1.5 Scored0%0%0%56%60%50%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%11%20%0%
Failed To Score22%0%40%44%40%50%

Goals Conceded

OlanchoHomeAwayEstrella RojaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded56%75%40%89%100%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded11%0%20%67%60%75%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%11%0%25%
Clean Sheets44%25%60%11%0%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

OlanchoEstrella Roja
Over 0.578%100%
Over 1.556%78%
Over 2.511%56%
Over 3.50%56%
Over 4.50%22%
BTTS56%44%
BTTS & Win0%11%
BTTS & Draw44%33%
BTTS & Over 2.511%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

OlanchoEstrella Roja
Win 1st Half33%11%
Draw 1st Half67%33%
Loss 1st Half0%56%
Scored 1st Half33%11%
Conceded 1st Half0%56%
Win 2nd Half11%33%
Draw 2nd Half67%33%
Loss 2nd Half22%33%
Scored 2nd Half44%56%
Conceded 2nd Half56%67%
Over 0.5 HT33%67%
Over 1.5 HT0%11%

Recent Venue Form

Olancho (H)
DAtletico Independiente1–1
DReal Espana1–1
DCD Olimpia1–1
WJuticalpa1–0
LCD Motagua0–2
LGénesis1–3
Estrella Roja (A)
LAtlético Choloma0–2
LCD Marathon0–5
DLobos Upnfm2–2
WCD Motagua2–0
WArroceros Calabozo4–1
LAngostura FC2–3

Head to Head · 1 matches

1
Olancho
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Estrella Roja
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
02/08/26
Estrella Roja
0–1
Olancho
Liga Nacional
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana9630+1021
2CD Olimpia9621+1320
3CD Marathon9531+818
4CD Motagua9513+416
5Olancho9261+112
6Génesis9324+311
7Atletico Independiente9243-410
8Estrella Roja9234-49
9Lobos Upnfm9234-59
10Platense FC9225-118
11Atlético Choloma9216-37
12Juticalpa9207-126

Team Insights

Olancho
  • ●Olancho have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Olancho have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Olancho have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Olancho have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Olancho have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
Estrella Roja
  • ●Estrella Roja have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●69% of Estrella Roja's goals have been scored at home.
OlanchoOlancho
DHAtletico Independiente7º1–1
DAGénesis6º0–0
DHReal Espana1º1–1
DAAtlético Choloma11º0–0
LACD Motagua4º1–2
DHCD Olimpia2º1–1
WHJuticalpa12º1–0
DALobos Upnfm9º1–1
WAEstrella Roja8º1–0
DAGénesis9º1–1
Estrella RojaEstrella Roja
LHReal Espana1º0–1
LAAtlético Choloma11º0–2
DHPlatense FC10º2–2
LACD Marathon3º0–5
DHCD Olimpia2º2–2
WHJuticalpa12º5–2
DALobos Upnfm9º2–2
WACD Motagua4º2–0
LHOlancho5º0–1
WHGuatire2º1–0

Season Schedule

Olancho
DHAtletico Independiente1–1
DAGénesis0–0
DHReal Espana1–1
DAAtlético Choloma0–0
LACD Motagua1–2
DHCD Olimpia1–1
–ACD Marathon15/10
–HEstrella Roja24/10
–HPlatense FC01/11
Estrella Roja
LHReal Espana0–1
LAAtlético Choloma0–2
DHPlatense FC2–2
LACD Marathon0–5
DHCD Olimpia2–2
WHJuticalpa5–2
–AGénesis18/10
–AOlancho24/10
–HAtletico Independiente31/10

Top Scorers

Olancho
J. Bengtson2 ⚽
M. R. Ramirez Arauz2 ⚽
Joanderson1 ⚽
O. Almendarez1 ⚽
O. Padilla1 ⚽
Estrella Roja
E. Gomez4 ⚽
F. Lopez2 ⚽
M. Garcia1 ⚽
N. Luna1 ⚽
O. Rosales1 ⚽
R. Mayorquin1 ⚽

Cards Given

Olancho
H. Gomez6 🟨
D. Martinez4 🟨
N. Munoz3 🟨
C. J. Zuniga Bernardez2 🟨
J. Delgado2 🟨
O. Almendarez2 🟨
Estrella Roja
R. Mayorquin5 🟨
L. Juarez4 🟨
3 🟨
E. Rizo2 🟨
J. Padilla2 🟨
M. Garcia2 🟨