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Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon — Liga Nacional

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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Apertura - 11
Atletico Independiente
Atletico Independiente
7º · 1.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 1h
vs
–
–
CD Marathon
CD Marathon
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 23h
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Atletico Independiente and CD Marathon meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Atletico Independiente have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. CD Marathon have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 53%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Atletico Independiente and 0.95 for CD Marathon. The models give Atletico Independiente a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an CD Marathon win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 44%.

Season Statistics

Atletico Independiente
—
CD Marathon
7º
Position
3º
1.11
PPG
2.00
22%
Win %
56%
0.89
Goals / game
1.56
1.33
Conceded / game
0.67
67%
BTTS %
40%
11%
Clean sheet %
53%
44%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Atletico Independiente
Home (4)
—
CD Marathon
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.60
50%
Win %
40%
1.25
Goals / game
1.20
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Atletico IndependienteHomeAwayCD MarathonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%75%60%80%86%75%
Over 1.5 Scored22%50%0%40%43%38%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%20%29%13%
Failed To Score33%25%40%20%14%25%

Goals Conceded

Atletico IndependienteHomeAwayCD MarathonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded89%75%100%47%43%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded22%0%40%20%14%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%20%13%0%25%
Clean Sheets11%25%0%53%57%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Atletico IndependienteCD Marathon
Over 0.589%87%
Over 1.578%60%
Over 2.544%47%
Over 3.511%27%
Over 4.50%13%
BTTS67%40%
BTTS & Win22%7%
BTTS & Draw33%20%
BTTS & Over 2.533%27%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Atletico IndependienteCD Marathon
Win 1st Half11%33%
Draw 1st Half44%53%
Loss 1st Half44%13%
Scored 1st Half22%53%
Conceded 1st Half67%33%
Win 2nd Half22%40%
Draw 2nd Half67%40%
Loss 2nd Half11%20%
Scored 2nd Half56%53%
Conceded 2nd Half44%33%
Over 0.5 HT67%67%
Over 1.5 HT33%33%

Recent Venue Form

Atletico Independiente (H)
WJuticalpa2–1
DCD Motagua0–0
DGénesis1–1
WAtlético Choloma2–1
CD Marathon (A)
DLobos Upnfm0–0
LJuticalpa2–3
LLD Alajuelense1–3
WGénesis2–1
WAtlético Choloma1–0
WAntigua GFC3–0

Head to Head · 1 matches

0
Atletico Independiente
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
CD Marathon
100%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
04/08/26
CD Marathon
1–0
Atletico Independiente
Liga Nacional
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana9630+1021
2CD Olimpia9621+1320
3CD Marathon9531+818
4CD Motagua9513+416
5Olancho9261+112
6Génesis9324+311
7Atletico Independiente9243-410
8Estrella Roja9234-49
9Lobos Upnfm9234-59
10Platense FC9225-118
11Atlético Choloma9216-37
12Juticalpa9207-126

Team Insights

Atletico Independiente
  • ●Atletico Independiente have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●63% of Atletico Independiente's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Atletico Independiente's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●80% of Atletico Independiente's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Atletico Independiente have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
CD Marathon
  • ●CD Marathon have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●CD Marathon have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico IndependienteAtletico Independiente
DAOlancho5º1–1
LACD Olimpia2º0–4
WHJuticalpa12º2–1
DHCD Motagua4º0–0
LAPlatense FC10º1–2
DHGénesis6º1–1
DAReal Espana1º1–1
WHAtlético Choloma11º2–1
LACD Marathon3º0–1
CD MarathonCD Marathon
DALobos Upnfm9º0–0
LAJuticalpa12º2–3
LALD Alajuelense1–3
WHCD Olimpia2º1–0
DHLD Alajuelense2–2
WHEstrella Roja8º5–0
WAGénesis6º2–1
WHReal Estelí3–0
DHReal Espana1º1–1
LHAlianza0–1

Season Schedule

Atletico Independiente
DAOlancho1–1
LACD Olimpia0–4
WHJuticalpa2–1
DHCD Motagua0–0
LAPlatense FC1–2
DHGénesis1–1
–HLobos Upnfm18/10
–HCD Marathon25/10
–AEstrella Roja31/10
CD Marathon
DALobos Upnfm0–0
LAJuticalpa2–3
WHCD Olimpia1–0
WHEstrella Roja5–0
WAGénesis2–1
DHReal Espana1–1
–HOlancho15/10
–AAtletico Independiente25/10
–ACD Motagua01/11

Top Scorers

Atletico Independiente
S. Cruz3 ⚽
A. Cabrera1 ⚽
L. Melendez1 ⚽
M. Techera1 ⚽
O. Cabrera1 ⚽
S. Espinoza1 ⚽
CD Marathon
N. Messiniti7 ⚽
D. Ramirez3 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
I. Castillo2 ⚽
J. Bueso1 ⚽
J. Paz1 ⚽

Cards Given

Atletico Independiente
L. Melendez2 🟨
W. Ramirez2 🟨
I. Martinez2 🟨
D. Herrera2 🟨
D. Llorente2 🟨
A. Ramirez1 🟨
CD Marathon
T. A. Sorto Caballero6 🟨
Y. Moreno4 🟨
B. Farioli4 🟨
S. Agurcia4 🟨
J. Rougier3 🟨
H. Figueroa3 🟨