MatchPulse

Estrella Roja vs Atletico Independiente — Liga Nacional

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Honduras · Liga Nacional · Apertura - 12
Estrella Roja
Estrella Roja
8º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 19d 4h
vs
–
–
Atletico Independiente
Atletico Independiente
7º · 1.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 19d 1h
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Estrella Roja and Atletico Independiente meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Estrella Roja have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Atletico Independiente have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Estrella Roja and 1.03 for Atletico Independiente. The models give Estrella Roja a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Atletico Independiente win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Estrella Roja
—
Atletico Independiente
8º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.11
22%
Win %
22%
1.44
Goals / game
0.89
1.89
Conceded / game
1.33
44%
BTTS %
67%
11%
Clean sheet %
11%
56%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Estrella Roja
Home (5)
—
Atletico Independiente
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.40
20%
Win %
0%
1.80
Goals / game
0.60
1.60
Conceded / game
1.80
60%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Estrella RojaHomeAwayAtletico IndependienteHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored56%60%50%67%75%60%
Over 1.5 Scored56%60%50%22%50%0%
Over 2.5 Scored11%20%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score44%40%50%33%25%40%

Goals Conceded

Estrella RojaHomeAwayAtletico IndependienteHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded89%100%75%89%75%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded67%60%75%22%0%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%25%11%0%20%
Clean Sheets11%0%25%11%25%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Estrella RojaAtletico Independiente
Over 0.5100%89%
Over 1.578%78%
Over 2.556%44%
Over 3.556%11%
Over 4.522%0%
BTTS44%67%
BTTS & Win11%22%
BTTS & Draw33%33%
BTTS & Over 2.544%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Estrella RojaAtletico Independiente
Win 1st Half11%11%
Draw 1st Half33%44%
Loss 1st Half56%44%
Scored 1st Half11%22%
Conceded 1st Half56%67%
Win 2nd Half33%22%
Draw 2nd Half33%67%
Loss 2nd Half33%11%
Scored 2nd Half56%56%
Conceded 2nd Half67%44%
Over 0.5 HT67%67%
Over 1.5 HT11%33%

Recent Venue Form

Estrella Roja (H)
LReal Espana0–1
DPlatense FC2–2
DCD Olimpia2–2
WJuticalpa5–2
LOlancho0–1
WGuatire1–0
Atletico Independiente (A)
DOlancho1–1
LCD Olimpia0–4
LPlatense FC1–2
DReal Espana1–1
LCD Marathon0–1
Liga Nacional
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana9630+1021
2CD Olimpia9621+1320
3CD Marathon9531+818
4CD Motagua9513+416
5Olancho9261+112
6Génesis9324+311
7Atletico Independiente9243-410
8Estrella Roja9234-49
9Lobos Upnfm9234-59
10Platense FC9225-118
11Atlético Choloma9216-37
12Juticalpa9207-126

Team Insights

Estrella Roja
  • ●Estrella Roja have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●69% of Estrella Roja's goals have been scored at home.
Atletico Independiente
  • ●Atletico Independiente have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●63% of Atletico Independiente's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Atletico Independiente's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●80% of Atletico Independiente's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Atletico Independiente have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Estrella RojaEstrella Roja
LHReal Espana1º0–1
LAAtlético Choloma11º0–2
DHPlatense FC10º2–2
LACD Marathon3º0–5
DHCD Olimpia2º2–2
WHJuticalpa12º5–2
DALobos Upnfm9º2–2
WACD Motagua4º2–0
LHOlancho5º0–1
WHGuatire2º1–0
Atletico IndependienteAtletico Independiente
DAOlancho5º1–1
LACD Olimpia2º0–4
WHJuticalpa12º2–1
DHCD Motagua4º0–0
LAPlatense FC10º1–2
DHGénesis6º1–1
DAReal Espana1º1–1
WHAtlético Choloma11º2–1
LACD Marathon3º0–1

Season Schedule

Estrella Roja
LHReal Espana0–1
LAAtlético Choloma0–2
DHPlatense FC2–2
LACD Marathon0–5
DHCD Olimpia2–2
WHJuticalpa5–2
–AGénesis18/10
–AOlancho24/10
–HAtletico Independiente31/10
Atletico Independiente
DAOlancho1–1
LACD Olimpia0–4
WHJuticalpa2–1
DHCD Motagua0–0
LAPlatense FC1–2
DHGénesis1–1
–HLobos Upnfm18/10
–HCD Marathon25/10
–AEstrella Roja31/10

Top Scorers

Estrella Roja
E. Gomez4 ⚽
F. Lopez2 ⚽
M. Garcia1 ⚽
N. Luna1 ⚽
O. Rosales1 ⚽
R. Mayorquin1 ⚽
Atletico Independiente
S. Cruz3 ⚽
A. Cabrera1 ⚽
L. Melendez1 ⚽
M. Techera1 ⚽
O. Cabrera1 ⚽
S. Espinoza1 ⚽

Cards Given

Estrella Roja
R. Mayorquin5 🟨
L. Juarez4 🟨
3 🟨
E. Rizo2 🟨
J. Padilla2 🟨
M. Garcia2 🟨
Atletico Independiente
L. Melendez2 🟨
W. Ramirez2 🟨
I. Martinez2 🟨
D. Herrera2 🟨
D. Llorente2 🟨
A. Ramirez1 🟨