MatchPulse

CD Motagua vs CD Marathon — Liga Nacional

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CD Motagua
CD Motagua
4º · 1.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 0h
vs
–
–
CD Marathon
CD Marathon
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 21h
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CD Motagua and CD Marathon meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 1 November 2026. CD Motagua have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. CD Marathon have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 53%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for CD Motagua and 1.03 for CD Marathon. The models give CD Motagua a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an CD Marathon win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

CD Motagua
—
CD Marathon
4º
Position
3º
1.78
PPG
2.00
56%
Win %
56%
1.44
Goals / game
1.56
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
44%
BTTS %
40%
44%
Clean sheet %
53%
50%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

CD Motagua
Home (5)
—
CD Marathon
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
1.60
80%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

CD MotaguaHomeAwayCD MarathonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%89%57%80%86%75%
Over 1.5 Scored38%44%29%40%43%38%
Over 2.5 Scored25%22%29%20%29%13%
Failed To Score25%11%43%20%14%25%

Goals Conceded

CD MotaguaHomeAwayCD MarathonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded56%67%43%47%43%50%
Over 1.5 Conceded19%22%14%20%14%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%0%14%13%0%25%
Clean Sheets44%33%57%53%57%50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CD MotaguaCD Marathon
Over 0.588%87%
Over 1.569%60%
Over 2.550%47%
Over 3.519%27%
Over 4.513%13%
BTTS44%40%
BTTS & Win19%7%
BTTS & Draw13%20%
BTTS & Over 2.531%27%
BTTS No & Over 2.519%20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CD MotaguaCD Marathon
Win 1st Half31%33%
Draw 1st Half56%53%
Loss 1st Half13%13%
Scored 1st Half44%53%
Conceded 1st Half31%33%
Win 2nd Half44%40%
Draw 2nd Half31%40%
Loss 2nd Half25%20%
Scored 2nd Half50%53%
Conceded 2nd Half31%33%
Over 0.5 HT56%67%
Over 1.5 HT31%33%

Recent Venue Form

CD Motagua (H)
WAtlético Choloma2–1
WGénesis1–0
WAlianza3–0
WOlancho2–1
WLobos Upnfm4–1
DCS Cartagines1–1
CD Marathon (A)
DLobos Upnfm0–0
LJuticalpa2–3
LLD Alajuelense1–3
WGénesis2–1
WAtlético Choloma1–0
WAntigua GFC3–0

Head to Head · 80 matches

33
CD Motagua
41%
26
Draws
33%
21
CD Marathon
26%
81%
Over 1.5
65/80
50%
Over 2.5
40/80
21%
Over 3.5
17/80
60%
BTTS
48/80
24/05/26
CD Motagua
0–0
CD Marathon
22/05/26
CD Marathon
1–1
CD Motagua
10/04/26
CD Marathon
1–0
CD Motagua
15/02/26
CD Motagua
1–1
CD Marathon
25/10/25
CD Marathon
1–0
CD Motagua
18/08/25
CD Motagua
3–3
CD Marathon
30/03/25
CD Marathon
1–1
CD Motagua
31/01/25
CD Motagua
2–2
CD Marathon
06/11/24
CD Marathon
2–1
CD Motagua
01/09/24
CD Motagua
0–1
CD Marathon
07/04/24
CD Marathon
1–1
CD Motagua
11/02/24
CD Motagua
2–0
CD Marathon
09/12/23
CD Marathon
2–2
CD Motagua
07/12/23
CD Motagua
2–1
CD Marathon
07/10/23
CD Marathon
2–1
CD Motagua
13/08/23
CD Motagua
3–0
CD Marathon
07/05/23
CD Marathon
0–0
CD Motagua
04/05/23
CD Motagua
1–2
CD Marathon
23/04/23
CD Motagua
2–2
CD Marathon
19/02/23
CD Marathon
1–1
CD Motagua
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana9630+1021
2CD Olimpia9621+1320
3CD Marathon9531+818
4CD Motagua9513+416
5Olancho9261+112
6Génesis9324+311
7Atletico Independiente9243-410
8Estrella Roja9234-49
9Lobos Upnfm9234-59
10Platense FC9225-118
11Atlético Choloma9216-37
12Juticalpa9207-126

Team Insights

CD Motagua
  • ●CD Motagua have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●CD Motagua have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●CD Motagua failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●69% of CD Motagua's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of CD Motagua's points have been earned at home.
CD Marathon
  • ●CD Marathon have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●CD Marathon have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
LAReal Espana1º0–1
DAAlianza0–0
WHGénesis6º1–0
WHAlianza3–0
WHOlancho5º2–1
DAMunicipal1–1
WHLobos Upnfm9º4–1
LACD Olimpia2º1–3
DALobos Upnfm9º0–0
LAJuticalpa12º2–3
WHCD Olimpia2º1–0
WHEstrella Roja8º5–0
WAGénesis6º2–1
DHReal Espana1º1–1
LHAlianza0–1

Season Schedule

CD Motagua
WHAtlético Choloma2–1
LAReal Espana0–1
WHGénesis1–0
DAAtletico Independiente0–0
WHOlancho2–1
WHLobos Upnfm4–1
–APlatense FC17/10
–HJuticalpa25/10
–HCD Marathon01/11
CD Marathon
DALobos Upnfm0–0
LAJuticalpa2–3
WHCD Olimpia1–0
WHEstrella Roja5–0
WAGénesis2–1
DHReal Espana1–1
–HOlancho15/10
–AAtletico Independiente25/10
–ACD Motagua01/11

Top Scorers

CD Motagua
R. De Olivera6 ⚽
J. Moya5 ⚽
L. Vega2 ⚽
O. Discua2 ⚽
A. Reyes2 ⚽
J. Portillo1 ⚽
CD Marathon
N. Messiniti7 ⚽
D. Ramirez3 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
I. Castillo2 ⚽
J. Bueso1 ⚽
J. Paz1 ⚽

Cards Given

CD Motagua
J. Macias5 🟨
J. Serrano4 🟨
A. Reyes3 🟨
C. Melendez3 🟨
O. Discua3 🟨
J. Lopez2 🟨
CD Marathon
T. A. Sorto Caballero6 🟨
Y. Moreno4 🟨
B. Farioli4 🟨
S. Agurcia4 🟨
J. Rougier3 🟨
H. Figueroa3 🟨