CD Motagua vs CD Marathon — Liga Nacional
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CD Motagua and CD Marathon meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 1 November 2026. CD Motagua have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. CD Marathon have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for CD Motagua and 1.03 for CD Marathon. The models give CD Motagua a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an CD Marathon win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| CD Motagua | Home | Away | CD Marathon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 89% | 57% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 44% | 29% | 40% | 43% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 22% | 29% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 11% | 43% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| CD Motagua | Home | Away | CD Marathon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 67% | 43% | 47% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 22% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 33% | 57% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CD Motagua | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 44% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CD Motagua | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 80 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | |
| 7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 | |
| 8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●CD Motagua have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of CD Motagua's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of CD Motagua's points have been earned at home.
- ●CD Marathon have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.