Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua — Liga Nacional
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Estrella Roja and CD Motagua meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Estrella Roja have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. CD Motagua have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Estrella Roja and 1.22 for CD Motagua. The models give Estrella Roja a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an CD Motagua win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Estrella RojaCD MotaguaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Estrella Roja | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 50% | 75% | 89% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 50% | 38% | 44% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 40% | 50% | 25% | 11% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Estrella Roja | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 75% | 56% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 25% | 44% | 33% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estrella Roja | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estrella Roja | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Estrella Roja (H)
Real Espana0–1
Platense FC2–2
CD Olimpia2–2
Juticalpa5–2
Olancho0–1
Guatire1–0CD Motagua (A)Real Espana0–1
Alianza0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0
Municipal1–1CD Olimpia1–3Juticalpa3–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Estrella Roja| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 |  CD Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Olancho | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 |  Atlético Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Estrella Roja- ●Estrella Roja have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Estrella Roja have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Estrella Roja have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Estrella Roja's goals have been scored at home.
CD Motagua- ●CD Motagua have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of CD Motagua's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of CD Motagua's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Estrella RojaReal Espana0–1Atlético Choloma0–2Platense FC2–2CD Marathon0–5CD Olimpia2–2Juticalpa5–2Génesis18/10Olancho24/10Atletico Independiente31/10CD MotaguaAtlético Choloma2–1Real Espana0–1Génesis1–0Atletico Independiente0–0Olancho2–1Lobos Upnfm4–1Platense FC17/10Juticalpa25/10CD Marathon01/11Top Scorers
Estrella RojaCD MotaguaCards Given
Estrella RojaCD Motagua