Génesis vs Real Espana — Liga Nacional
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Génesis and Real Espana meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Génesis have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Real Espana have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 27%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Génesis and 1.01 for Real Espana. The models give Génesis a 33% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Real Espana win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Génesis—
Real Espana6º
Position
1º
1.22
PPG
2.33
33%
Win %
67%
1.11
Goals / game
1.56
0.78
Conceded / game
0.44
22%
BTTS %
45%
44%
Clean sheet %
45%
33%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
11.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Home vs Away
Génesis
Home (5)
—
Real Espana
Away (4)
1.40
PPG
2.00
40%
Win %
50%
1.20
Goals / game
1.50
0.60
Conceded / game
0.50
20%
BTTS %
40%
60%
Clean sheet %
40%
40%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
45.0%
Goals Scored
| Génesis | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 50% | 91% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 40% | 50% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Génesis | Home | Away | Real Espana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 75% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 60% | 25% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Génesis | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS | 22% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 11% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Génesis | Real Espana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Génesis (H)L
CD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1D
Olancho0–0
Olancho0–0L
CD Marathon1–2
CD Marathon1–2W
Platense FC3–0
Platense FC3–0W
Atlético Choloma2–0
Atlético Choloma2–0DOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1Real Espana (A)W
Estrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0DOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1DCD Marathon1–1
CD Marathon1–1WPlatense FC3–0
Platense FC3–0LCD Olimpia2–3
CD Olimpia2–3LCD Marathon0–1
CD Marathon0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Génesis | Real Espana |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
3
Génesis
20%
5
Draws
33%
7
Real Espana
47%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
27%
Over 2.5
4/15
0%
Over 3.5
0/15
53%
BTTS
8/15
09/08/26Génesis
Real Espana
2–0Génesis19/03/26Génesis
Real Espana
2–1Génesis28/01/26Real Espana
Génesis
1–2Real Espana27/11/25Génesis
Real Espana
1–0Génesis15/09/25Real Espana
Génesis
1–1Real Espana06/03/25Real Espana
Génesis
2–0Real Espana19/01/25Génesis
Real Espana
1–1Génesis07/12/24Génesis
Real Espana
2–0Génesis05/12/24Real Espana
Génesis
1–1Real Espana27/10/24Real Espana
Génesis
1–1Real Espana17/08/24Génesis
Real Espana
1–0Génesis24/04/24Génesis
Real Espana
2–1Génesis28/02/24Real Espana
Génesis
1–0Real Espana24/10/23Génesis
Real Espana
0–0Génesis27/08/23Real Espana
Génesis
2–1Real Espana| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  CD Motagua | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Olancho | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlético Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Génesis- ●Génesis have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Génesis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
Real Espana- ●Real Espana have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Real Espana have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GénesisLHCD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0LACD Motagua0–1
CD Motagua0–1WAJuticalpa3–0
Juticalpa3–0LHCD Marathon1–2
CD Marathon1–2DAAtletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1–HEstrella Roja18/10
Estrella Roja18/10–AAtlético Choloma24/10
Atlético Choloma24/10–ALobos Upnfm31/10
Lobos Upnfm31/10Real EspanaWAEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0WHCD Motagua1–0
CD Motagua1–0DAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1WHLobos Upnfm2–0
Lobos Upnfm2–0WHAtlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1DACD Marathon1–1
CD Marathon1–1–ACD Olimpia16/10
CD Olimpia16/10–HPlatense FC24/10
Platense FC24/10–HJuticalpa31/10
Juticalpa31/10Top Scorers
GénesisE. Alderete3 ⚽
D. Nunez2 ⚽
Gabriel Araujo1 ⚽
J. Figueroa1 ⚽
R. Sander1 ⚽
E. Maldonado1 ⚽
Real EspanaE. Hernandez4 ⚽
D. Sayago2 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
M. Aceituno2 ⚽
N. Cruz2 ⚽
J. Ramos1 ⚽
Cards Given
GénesisM. Gamboa3 🟨
A. Vargas3 🟨
D. Nunez2 🟨
D. Melendez1 🟨
E. Alderete1 🟨
F. Sabillon1 🟨
Real EspanaM. Pereira3 🟨
R. Osorto3 🟨
D. Aparicio3 🟨
D. Cacho3 🟨
C. Mejia2 🟨
N. Cruz2 🟨