Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente — Liga Nacional
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Atlético Choloma and Atletico Independiente meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Atlético Choloma have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Atletico Independiente have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Atlético Choloma and 0.74 for Atletico Independiente. The models give Atlético Choloma a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atletico Independiente win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Atlético Choloma—
Atletico Independiente11º
Position
7º
0.78
PPG
1.11
22%
Win %
22%
0.78
Goals / game
0.89
1.11
Conceded / game
1.33
33%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
11%
33%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Atlético Choloma
Home (4)
—
Atletico Independiente
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
0.40
50%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.60
0.25
Conceded / game
1.80
0%
BTTS %
60%
75%
Clean sheet %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | Atletico Independiente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 50% | 0% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Choloma | Home | Away | Atletico Independiente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 25% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 0% | 80% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 75% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Choloma | Atletico Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 33% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Choloma | Atletico Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 22% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Choloma (H)W
Estrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0D
Olancho0–0
Olancho0–0W
Platense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0L
CD Marathon0–1
CD Marathon0–1L
CD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3W
Real Espana3–2
Real Espana3–2Atletico Independiente (A)DOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1LCD Olimpia0–4
CD Olimpia0–4LPlatense FC1–2
Platense FC1–2DReal Espana1–1
Real Espana1–1LCD Marathon0–1
CD Marathon0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Atlético Choloma
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Atletico Independiente
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
10/08/26Atlético Choloma
Atletico Independiente
2–1Atlético Choloma| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  CD Motagua | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Olancho | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlético Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Atlético Choloma- ●Atlético Choloma have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Atlético Choloma have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●90% of Atlético Choloma's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Atlético Choloma's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atlético Choloma have conceded 90% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico Independiente- ●Atletico Independiente have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atletico Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Atletico Independiente's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Atletico Independiente's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Atletico Independiente's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atletico Independiente have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Atlético CholomaLACD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua1–2WHEstrella Roja2–0
Estrella Roja2–0LALobos Upnfm0–1
Lobos Upnfm0–1DHOlancho0–0
Olancho0–0LAReal Espana1–2
Real Espana1–2WHPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0–AJuticalpa17/10
Juticalpa17/10–HGénesis24/10
Génesis24/10–HCD Olimpia01/11
CD Olimpia01/11Atletico IndependienteDAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1LACD Olimpia0–4
CD Olimpia0–4WHJuticalpa2–1
Juticalpa2–1DHCD Motagua0–0
CD Motagua0–0LAPlatense FC1–2
Platense FC1–2DHGénesis1–1
Génesis1–1–HLobos Upnfm18/10
Lobos Upnfm18/10–HCD Marathon25/10
CD Marathon25/10–AEstrella Roja31/10
Estrella Roja31/10Top Scorers
Atlético CholomaA. Villatoro2 ⚽
L. Ferreira2 ⚽
Alvarado1 ⚽
J. Castillo1 ⚽
J. Quejada1 ⚽
Atletico IndependienteS. Cruz3 ⚽
A. Cabrera1 ⚽
L. Melendez1 ⚽
M. Techera1 ⚽
O. Cabrera1 ⚽
S. Espinoza1 ⚽
Cards Given
Atlético CholomaA. Villatoro4 🟨
J. Barrios3 🟨
H. Castillo3 🟨
Alvarado2 🟨
E. Florez2 🟨
C. Madrid2 🟨
Atletico IndependienteL. Melendez2 🟨
W. Ramirez2 🟨
I. Martinez2 🟨
D. Herrera2 🟨
D. Llorente2 🟨
A. Ramirez1 🟨