Juticalpa vs Estrella Roja — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas·Juticalpa·Honduras·22,000
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Juticalpa and Estrella Roja meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Juticalpa have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Estrella Roja have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Juticalpa and 1.36 for Estrella Roja. The models give Juticalpa a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Estrella Roja win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Juticalpa—
Estrella Roja12º
Position
8º
0.67
PPG
1.00
22%
Win %
22%
1.00
Goals / game
1.44
2.33
Conceded / game
1.89
56%
BTTS %
44%
11%
Clean sheet %
11%
78%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Juticalpa
Home (5)
—
Estrella Roja
Away (4)
1.20
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.20
Conceded / game
2.25
40%
BTTS %
25%
20%
Clean sheet %
25%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Juticalpa | Home | Away | Estrella Roja | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 25% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Juticalpa | Home | Away | Estrella Roja | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 60% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Juticalpa | Estrella Roja | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS | 56% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Juticalpa | Estrella Roja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 78% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Juticalpa (H)W
CD Marathon3–2
CD Marathon3–2L
Génesis0–3
Génesis0–3W
Lobos Upnfm1–0
Lobos Upnfm1–0L
CD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3L
CD Motagua0–3
CD Motagua0–3WLobos Upnfm1–0
Lobos Upnfm1–0Estrella Roja (A)L
Atlético Choloma0–2
Atlético Choloma0–2LCD Marathon0–5
CD Marathon0–5DLobos Upnfm2–2
Lobos Upnfm2–2WCD Motagua2–0
CD Motagua2–0W
Arroceros Calabozo4–1
Arroceros Calabozo4–1L
Angostura FC2–3
Angostura FC2–3Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Juticalpa
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Estrella Roja
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
22/08/26Juticalpa
Estrella Roja
5–2Juticalpa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Olancho | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 |  Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlético Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Juticalpa- ●Juticalpa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Juticalpa have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●100% of Juticalpa's points have been earned at home.
- ●Juticalpa have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Estrella Roja- ●Estrella Roja have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Estrella Roja have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Estrella Roja have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Estrella Roja failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Estrella Roja's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
JuticalpaLAPlatense FC1–2
Platense FC1–2WHCD Marathon3–2
CD Marathon3–2LAAtletico Independiente1–2
Atletico Independiente1–2LHGénesis0–3
Génesis0–3WHLobos Upnfm1–0
Lobos Upnfm1–0LAEstrella Roja2–5
Estrella Roja2–5–HAtlético Choloma17/10
Atlético Choloma17/10–ACD Motagua25/10
CD Motagua25/10–AReal Espana31/10
Real Espana31/10Estrella RojaLHReal Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1LAAtlético Choloma0–2
Atlético Choloma0–2DHPlatense FC2–2
Platense FC2–2LACD Marathon0–5
CD Marathon0–5DHCD Olimpia2–2
CD Olimpia2–2WHJuticalpa5–2
Juticalpa5–2–AGénesis18/10
Génesis18/10–AOlancho24/10
Olancho24/10–HAtletico Independiente31/10
Atletico Independiente31/10Top Scorers
JuticalpaJ. Padilla2 ⚽
J. Rochez2 ⚽
C. Sacaza1 ⚽
J. Velasquez1 ⚽
K. Matute1 ⚽
M. Nunez1 ⚽
Estrella RojaE. Gomez4 ⚽
F. Lopez2 ⚽
M. Garcia1 ⚽
N. Luna1 ⚽
O. Rosales1 ⚽
R. Mayorquin1 ⚽
Cards Given
JuticalpaJ. Rochez5 🟨
O. Barrios4 🟨
C. Sacaza3 🟨
K. Matute3 🟨
C. Rochez3 🟨
M. Nunez3 🟨
Estrella RojaR. Mayorquin5 🟨
L. Juarez4 🟨
3 🟨
E. Rizo2 🟨
J. Padilla2 🟨
M. Garcia2 🟨