Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse·Choluteca·Honduras·8,000
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Lobos Upnfm and CD Motagua meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lobos Upnfm have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. CD Motagua have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Lobos Upnfm and 0.97 for CD Motagua. The models give Lobos Upnfm a 35% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an CD Motagua win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Lobos Upnfm—
CD Motagua9º
Position
4º
1.00
PPG
1.78
22%
Win %
56%
0.78
Goals / game
1.44
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
33%
BTTS %
44%
33%
Clean sheet %
44%
22%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lobos Upnfm
Home (4)
—
CD Motagua
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
29%
50%
Clean sheet %
57%
25%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 75% | 40% | 75% | 89% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 38% | 44% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 25% | 60% | 25% | 11% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | CD Motagua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 56% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 20% | 44% | 33% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lobos Upnfm | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS | 33% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lobos Upnfm | CD Motagua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 89% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Lobos Upnfm (H)D
CD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0W
Atlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0D
Estrella Roja2–2
Estrella Roja2–2D
Olancho1–1
Olancho1–1WCD Motagua2–1
CD Motagua2–1L
Génesis0–1
Génesis0–1CD Motagua (A)L
Real Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1D
Alianza0–0
Alianza0–0D
Atletico Independiente0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0D
Municipal1–1
Municipal1–1L
CD Olimpia1–3
CD Olimpia1–3W
Juticalpa3–0
Juticalpa3–0Head to Head · 40 matches
4
Lobos Upnfm
10%
10
Draws
25%
26
CD Motagua
65%
80%
Over 1.5
32/40
60%
Over 2.5
24/40
40%
Over 3.5
16/40
57%
BTTS
23/40
22/08/26Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–1Lobos Upnfm01/05/26CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–1CD Motagua11/03/26Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
2–0Lobos Upnfm28/11/25CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–0CD Motagua14/09/25Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
3–3Lobos Upnfm08/04/25CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–1CD Motagua07/02/25Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
5–0Lobos Upnfm28/09/24CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–2CD Motagua27/07/24Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–2Lobos Upnfm14/04/24Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–0Lobos Upnfm18/02/24CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–2CD Motagua09/11/23CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
1–4CD Motagua30/07/23Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
1–1Lobos Upnfm02/03/23Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
4–3Lobos Upnfm21/01/23CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–1CD Motagua21/10/22Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
2–2Lobos Upnfm21/08/22CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
2–3CD Motagua10/04/22Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
2–0Lobos Upnfm20/02/22CD Motagua
Lobos Upnfm
0–0CD Motagua21/11/21Lobos Upnfm
CD Motagua
3–1Lobos Upnfm| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Olimpia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Olancho | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Génesis | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Atletico Independiente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Lobos Upnfm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 |  Platense FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlético Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Lobos Upnfm- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Lobos Upnfm's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
CD Motagua- ●CD Motagua have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CD Motagua failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of CD Motagua's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of CD Motagua's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Lobos UpnfmDHCD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0WAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0LAReal Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2LAJuticalpa0–1
Juticalpa0–1LACD Motagua1–4
CD Motagua1–4–AAtletico Independiente18/10
Atletico Independiente18/10–HCD Olimpia25/10
CD Olimpia25/10–HGénesis31/10
Génesis31/10CD MotaguaWHAtlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1LAReal Espana0–1
Real Espana0–1WHGénesis1–0
Génesis1–0DAAtletico Independiente0–0
Atletico Independiente0–0WHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1WHLobos Upnfm4–1
Lobos Upnfm4–1–APlatense FC17/10
Platense FC17/10–HJuticalpa25/10
Juticalpa25/10–HCD Marathon01/11
CD Marathon01/11Top Scorers
Lobos UpnfmD. Carter3 ⚽
S. Elvir2 ⚽
D. Suazo1 ⚽
J. Villafranca1 ⚽
CD MotaguaR. De Olivera6 ⚽
J. Moya5 ⚽
L. Vega2 ⚽
O. Discua2 ⚽
A. Reyes2 ⚽
J. Portillo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lobos UpnfmJ. Ponce3 🟨
E. Lopez3 🟨
B. Lopez2 🟨
D. Suazo2 🟨
J. Nunez2 🟨
Y. Hinestroza2 🟨
CD MotaguaJ. Macias5 🟨
J. Serrano4 🟨
A. Reyes3 🟨
C. Melendez3 🟨
O. Discua3 🟨
J. Lopez2 🟨