Real Espana vs CD Marathon — Liga Nacional
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Real Espana and CD Marathon meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 19 November 2026. Real Espana have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. CD Marathon have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Real Espana and 0.93 for CD Marathon. The models give Real Espana a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an CD Marathon win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Real Espana—
CD Marathon3º
Position
2º
2.10
PPG
2.10
60%
Win %
60%
1.50
Goals / game
1.60
0.60
Conceded / game
0.70
50%
BTTS %
44%
42%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
7.5
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
11.0
Avg fouls
0.0
45.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Espana
Home (5)
—
CD Marathon
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
1.60
80%
Win %
40%
1.60
Goals / game
1.20
0.40
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
7.5
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
45.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Espana | Home | Away | CD Marathon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 83% | 81% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 17% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 17% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Espana | Home | Away | CD Marathon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 17% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Espana | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Espana | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Espana (H)W
CD Motagua1–0
CD Motagua1–0W
Lobos Upnfm2–0
Lobos Upnfm2–0W
Atlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1D
Atletico Independiente1–1
Atletico Independiente1–1W
Génesis2–0
Génesis2–0DCD Marathon1–1
CD Marathon1–1CD Marathon (A)DLobos Upnfm0–0
Lobos Upnfm0–0L
Juticalpa2–3
Juticalpa2–3L
LD Alajuelense1–3
LD Alajuelense1–3WGénesis2–1
Génesis2–1WAtlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0W
Antigua GFC3–0
Antigua GFC3–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Real Espana | CD Marathon |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 74 matches
21
Real Espana
28%
20
Draws
27%
33
CD Marathon
45%
76%
Over 1.5
56/74
41%
Over 2.5
30/74
24%
Over 3.5
18/74
51%
BTTS
38/74
23/08/26Real Espana
CD Marathon
1–1Real Espana19/05/26CD Marathon
Real Espana
1–1CD Marathon03/05/26Real Espana
CD Marathon
1–0Real Espana03/04/26CD Marathon
Real Espana
2–0CD Marathon08/02/26Real Espana
CD Marathon
0–1Real Espana16/10/25Real Espana
CD Marathon
0–0Real Espana03/08/25CD Marathon
Real Espana
1–0CD Marathon06/04/25Real Espana
CD Marathon
1–0Real Espana08/02/25CD Marathon
Real Espana
1–2CD Marathon03/11/24CD Marathon
Real Espana
0–3CD Marathon24/08/24Real Espana
CD Marathon
0–1Real Espana20/04/24Real Espana
CD Marathon
1–0Real Espana24/02/24CD Marathon
Real Espana
3–1CD Marathon20/10/23CD Marathon
Real Espana
1–2CD Marathon19/08/23Real Espana
CD Marathon
2–0Real Espana20/03/23CD Marathon
Real Espana
0–1CD Marathon03/02/23Real Espana
CD Marathon
2–1Real Espana23/10/22Real Espana
CD Marathon
2–0Real Espana29/08/22CD Marathon
Real Espana
2–0CD Marathon15/05/22CD Marathon
Real Espana
1–1CD Marathon| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Olancho | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Lobos Upnfm | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Génesis | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Atlético Choloma | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 |  Platense FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Real Espana- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Real Espana have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Espana have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Real Espana have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
CD Marathon- ●CD Marathon have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●CD Marathon have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●63% of CD Marathon's goals have been scored at home.
- ●CD Marathon have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real EspanaLACD Olimpia1–2
CD Olimpia1–2WAEstrella Roja1–0
Estrella Roja1–0WHCD Motagua1–0
CD Motagua1–0DAOlancho1–1
Olancho1–1WHLobos Upnfm2–0
Lobos Upnfm2–0WHAtlético Choloma2–1
Atlético Choloma2–1–HPlatense FC24/10
Platense FC24/10–HJuticalpa31/10
Juticalpa31/10–AGénesis05/11
Génesis05/11CD MarathonWHOlancho2–1
Olancho2–1DALobos Upnfm0–0
Lobos Upnfm0–0LAJuticalpa2–3
Juticalpa2–3WHCD Olimpia1–0
CD Olimpia1–0WHEstrella Roja5–0
Estrella Roja5–0WAGénesis2–1
Génesis2–1–AAtletico Independiente25/10
Atletico Independiente25/10–ACD Motagua01/11
CD Motagua01/11–HPlatense FC06/11
Platense FC06/11Top Scorers
Real EspanaE. Hernandez5 ⚽
D. Sayago2 ⚽
A. Garcia2 ⚽
M. Aceituno2 ⚽
N. Cruz2 ⚽
J. Ramos1 ⚽
CD MarathonN. Messiniti9 ⚽
D. Ramirez5 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
I. Castillo2 ⚽
J. Bueso1 ⚽
J. Paz1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real EspanaD. Aparicio4 🟨
R. Osorto4 🟨
M. Pereira3 🟨
D. Cacho3 🟨
C. Mejia2 🟨
N. Cruz2 🟨
CD MarathonT. A. Sorto Caballero6 🟨
Y. Moreno5 🟨
B. Farioli4 🟨
S. Agurcia4 🟨
J. Rivera3 🟨
J. Rougier3 🟨