Lobos Upnfm vs Juticalpa — Liga Nacional
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Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse·Choluteca·Honduras·8,000
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Lobos Upnfm and Juticalpa meet in the Liga Nacional 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Lobos Upnfm have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Juticalpa have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Lobos Upnfm and 0.93 for Juticalpa. The models give Lobos Upnfm a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Juticalpa win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Lobos Upnfm—
Juticalpa8º
Position
12º
1.09
PPG
0.55
27%
Win %
18%
1.00
Goals / game
0.91
1.18
Conceded / game
2.27
27%
BTTS %
55%
36%
Clean sheet %
9%
27%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lobos Upnfm
Home (5)
—
Juticalpa
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
0.00
20%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
0.80
0.80
Conceded / game
2.40
40%
BTTS %
60%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
20%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | Juticalpa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 60% | 50% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 20% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 17% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 40% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Lobos Upnfm | Home | Away | Juticalpa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 60% | 67% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 20% | 50% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 40% | 33% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lobos Upnfm | Juticalpa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 18% |
| BTTS | 27% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lobos Upnfm | Juticalpa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 73% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 82% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 64% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Lobos Upnfm (H)L
CD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1D
CD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0W
Atlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0D
Estrella Roja2–2
Estrella Roja2–2D
Olancho1–1
Olancho1–1W
CD Motagua2–1
CD Motagua2–1Juticalpa (A)LCD Motagua0–2
CD Motagua0–2L
Platense FC1–2
Platense FC1–2L
Atletico Independiente1–2
Atletico Independiente1–2LEstrella Roja2–5
Estrella Roja2–5LOlancho0–1
Olancho0–1L
Victoria1–2
Victoria1–2Head to Head · 17 matches
10
Lobos Upnfm
59%
2
Draws
12%
5
Juticalpa
29%
59%
Over 1.5
10/17
47%
Over 2.5
8/17
41%
Over 3.5
7/17
47%
BTTS
8/17
29/08/26Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
1–0Lobos Upnfm27/04/26Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
1–0Lobos Upnfm09/03/26Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
3–2Juticalpa22/11/25Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
1–0Juticalpa31/08/25Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
0–2Lobos Upnfm29/03/25Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
1–0Juticalpa29/01/25Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
1–0Lobos Upnfm06/11/24Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
3–0Lobos Upnfm31/08/24Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
4–1Juticalpa10/03/19Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
0–0Lobos Upnfm20/01/19Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
4–2Juticalpa28/10/18Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
0–1Lobos Upnfm02/09/18Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
4–1Juticalpa08/04/18Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
3–2Juticalpa11/02/18Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
1–1Lobos Upnfm01/10/17Juticalpa
Lobos Upnfm
3–1Juticalpa06/08/17Lobos Upnfm
Juticalpa
3–1Lobos Upnfm| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 2 |  Real Espana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | CD Marathon | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | CD Motagua | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Atlético Choloma | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Lobos Upnfm | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Génesis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -15 | 6 |
Team Insights
Lobos Upnfm- ●Lobos Upnfm have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Lobos Upnfm's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Lobos Upnfm's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Lobos Upnfm have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Juticalpa- ●Juticalpa have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Juticalpa have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Juticalpa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Juticalpa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Juticalpa have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Juticalpa have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Juticalpa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Juticalpa have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●100% of Juticalpa's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Lobos UpnfmLHCD Olimpia0–1
CD Olimpia0–1WAAtletico Independiente4–0
Atletico Independiente4–0DHCD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon0–0WAPlatense FC2–0
Platense FC2–0WHAtlético Choloma1–0
Atlético Choloma1–0LAReal Espana0–2
Real Espana0–2–HGénesis31/10
Génesis31/10–AOlancho04/11
Olancho04/11–HCD Motagua07/11
CD Motagua07/11JuticalpaLACD Motagua0–2
CD Motagua0–2LHAtlético Choloma1–2
Atlético Choloma1–2LAPlatense FC1–2
Platense FC1–2WHCD Marathon3–2
CD Marathon3–2LAAtletico Independiente1–2
Atletico Independiente1–2LHGénesis0–3
Génesis0–3–AReal Espana31/10
Real Espana31/10–ACD Olimpia05/11
CD Olimpia05/11–HEstrella Roja07/11
Estrella Roja07/11Top Scorers
Lobos UpnfmD. Carter5 ⚽
S. Elvir2 ⚽
D. Suazo1 ⚽
J. Garcia1 ⚽
J. Villafranca1 ⚽
Y. Hinestroza1 ⚽
JuticalpaJ. Padilla2 ⚽
J. Rochez2 ⚽
K. Matute1 ⚽
M. Nunez1 ⚽
Y. Delgadillo1 ⚽
J. Velasquez1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lobos UpnfmE. Lopez3 🟨
J. Ponce3 🟨
B. Lopez2 🟨
D. Suazo2 🟨
J. Nunez2 🟨
Y. Hinestroza2 🟨
JuticalpaJ. Rochez6 🟨
O. Barrios4 🟨
C. Rochez4 🟨
K. Matute3 🟨
C. Sacaza3 🟨
M. Nunez3 🟨