Köpetdag Aşgabat vs Ahal — Ýokary Liga
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Köpetdag Aşgabat and Ahal meet in the Ýokary Liga 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Köpetdag Aşgabat have recorded 3 wins from 22 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.95 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Ahal have won 57% of their 23 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 52%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Köpetdag Aşgabat and 2.25 for Ahal. The models give Köpetdag Aşgabat a 17% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Ahal win at 62%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Köpetdag Aşgabat—
Ahal8º
Position
3º
0.64
PPG
1.91
14%
Win %
59%
1.00
Goals / game
2.27
2.36
Conceded / game
1.27
45%
BTTS %
30%
9%
Clean sheet %
52%
59%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Köpetdag Aşgabat
Home (10)
—
Ahal
Away (10)
0.80
PPG
1.90
20%
Win %
60%
0.90
Goals / game
2.70
2.10
Conceded / game
1.20
40%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
40%
60%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | Home | Away | Ahal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 70% | 62% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 30% | 25% | 48% | 38% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 10% | 8% | 43% | 31% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 30% | 38% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | Home | Away | Ahal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 80% | 100% | 48% | 38% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 50% | 67% | 35% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 30% | 33% | 17% | 23% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 20% | 0% | 52% | 62% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ahal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 9% |
| BTTS | 45% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 35% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | Ahal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 6% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 24% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Köpetdag Aşgabat (H)L
Arkadag0–1
Arkadag0–1D
Nebitci2–2
Nebitci2–2L
Altyn Asyr1–2
Altyn Asyr1–2W
Merw2–0
Merw2–0W
Aşgabat3–1
Aşgabat3–1D
Şagadam0–0
Şagadam0–0Ahal (A)WAşgabat4–3
Aşgabat4–3LŞagadam1–2
Şagadam1–2LArkadag1–2
Arkadag1–2WNebitci4–0
Nebitci4–0WMerw3–1
Merw3–1WKöpetdag Aşgabat4–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat4–0Head to Head · 25 matches
3
Köpetdag Aşgabat
12%
4
Draws
16%
18
Ahal
72%
88%
Over 1.5
22/25
68%
Over 2.5
17/25
44%
Over 3.5
11/25
56%
BTTS
14/25
07/08/26Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
3–0Köpetdag Aşgabat16/05/26Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
0–4Ahal04/04/26Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
1–0Köpetdag Aşgabat29/10/25Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
1–4Ahal16/10/25Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
2–0Köpetdag Aşgabat09/05/25Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
0–3Ahal14/03/25Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
4–0Köpetdag Aşgabat25/10/24Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
3–1Köpetdag Aşgabat24/08/24Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
1–4Ahal25/05/24Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
4–0Köpetdag Aşgabat20/04/24Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
3–2Ahal11/12/23Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
3–1Köpetdag Aşgabat16/08/23Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
1–3Ahal28/04/23Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
1–2Köpetdag Aşgabat14/12/22Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
1–1Köpetdag Aşgabat09/11/22Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
0–2Ahal05/10/22Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
4–2Köpetdag Aşgabat22/08/22Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
1–2Ahal13/12/21Köpetdag Aşgabat
Ahal
2–2Köpetdag Aşgabat22/10/21Ahal
Köpetdag Aşgabat
1–1Ahal| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | +85 | 72 |
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | +18 | 47 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 |
| 4 | Nebitci | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -17 | 25 |
| 5 | Şagadam | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 22 |
| 6 | Merw | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -39 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 15 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -30 | 14 |
Team Insights
Köpetdag Aşgabat- ●Köpetdag Aşgabat have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Köpetdag Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Köpetdag Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Köpetdag Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Köpetdag Aşgabat have lost 6 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Köpetdag Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Köpetdag Aşgabat have lost 8 of their 12 away matches.
Ahal- ●Ahal have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ahal have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Ahal have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ahal have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Ahal have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Ahal have won 6 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Ahal have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
Season Schedule
Köpetdag AşgabatLAArkadag0–5
Arkadag0–5LHArkadag0–1
Arkadag0–1DAMerw2–2
Merw2–2DAAşgabat1–1
Aşgabat1–1DHNebitci2–2
Nebitci2–2LAŞagadam2–3
Şagadam2–3–HŞagadam24/10
Şagadam24/10–ANebitci31/10
Nebitci31/10–HAşgabat07/11
Aşgabat07/11AhalLHAltyn Asyr0–2
Altyn Asyr0–2LHArkadag0–4
Arkadag0–4WAAşgabat4–3
Aşgabat4–3WHNebitci3–0
Nebitci3–0LAŞagadam1–2
Şagadam1–2WHMerw4–0
Merw4–0–AAltyn Asyr01/11
Altyn Asyr01/11–HŞagadam07/11
Şagadam07/11–AMerw11/11
Merw11/11Top Scorers
Köpetdag AşgabatAhalA. Jumadurdyyew1 ⚽
Y. Govshudov1 ⚽
Cards Given
Köpetdag AşgabatAhalH. Bashimov1 🟨