Şagadam vs Aşgabat — Ýokary Liga
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Şagadam and Aşgabat meet in the Ýokary Liga 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Şagadam have recorded 5 wins from 22 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Aşgabat have won 18% of their 22 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Şagadam and 1.42 for Aşgabat. The models give Şagadam a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Aşgabat win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Şagadam | Home | Away | Aşgabat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 45% | 67% | 20% | 77% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 55% | 33% | 80% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Şagadam | Home | Away | Aşgabat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 86% | 82% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 58% | 50% | 59% | 45% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 25% | 20% | 50% | 45% | 55% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 14% | 18% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Şagadam | Aşgabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 32% |
| BTTS | 36% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Şagadam | Aşgabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 65% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 15% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 12% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 24 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | +85 | 72 | |
| 2 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | +18 | 47 | |
| 3 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 | |
| 4 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -16 | 22 | |
| 5 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -18 | 22 | |
| 6 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -36 | 18 | |
| 7 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 15 | |
| 8 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -30 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Şagadam have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Şagadam have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●71% of Şagadam's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Aşgabat have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Aşgabat have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost 6 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.

