Şagadam vs Arkadag — Ýokary Liga
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Şagadam and Arkadag meet in the Ýokary Liga 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Şagadam have recorded 5 wins from 22 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Arkadag have won 93% of their 28 matches, with 3.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 61%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.00 for Şagadam and 2.69 for Arkadag. The models give Şagadam a 7% win probability, with a draw at 17% and an Arkadag win at 76%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Şagadam—
Arkadag4º
Position
1º
1.00
PPG
3.00
27%
Win %
100%
0.86
Goals / game
4.04
1.59
Conceded / game
0.50
36%
BTTS %
36%
18%
Clean sheet %
61%
36%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
1.0
0.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
18.0
0.0%
Avg possession
38.0%
Home vs Away
Şagadam
Home (12)
—
Arkadag
Away (13)
1.42
PPG
3.00
42%
Win %
100%
1.17
Goals / game
4.15
1.67
Conceded / game
0.54
50%
BTTS %
40%
17%
Clean sheet %
53%
42%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
1.0
0.0
Avg shots
10.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
38.0%
Goals Scored
| Şagadam | Home | Away | Arkadag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 45% | 67% | 20% | 93% | 92% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 79% | 77% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 8% | 10% | 68% | 69% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 55% | 33% | 80% | 7% | 8% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Şagadam | Home | Away | Arkadag | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 39% | 31% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 58% | 50% | 11% | 8% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 61% | 69% | 53% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Şagadam | Arkadag | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS | 36% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 39% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Şagadam | Arkadag | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 59% |
| Draw 1st Half | 65% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 15% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 9% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 73% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Şagadam (H)L
Merw0–2
Merw0–2W
Ahal2–1
Ahal2–1LArkadag0–3
Arkadag0–3W
Köpetdag Aşgabat3–2
Köpetdag Aşgabat3–2D
Nebitci1–1
Nebitci1–1L
Altyn Asyr0–2
Altyn Asyr0–2Arkadag (A)WAhal4–0
Ahal4–0WMerw5–0
Merw5–0WKöpetdag Aşgabat1–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat1–0WNebitci4–2
Nebitci4–2WŞagadam3–0
Şagadam3–0WAltyn Asyr5–2
Altyn Asyr5–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Şagadam | Arkadag |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
0
Şagadam
0%
0
Draws
0%
14
Arkadag
100%
93%
Over 1.5
13/14
86%
Over 2.5
12/14
71%
Over 3.5
10/14
64%
BTTS
9/14
30/08/26Arkadag
Şagadam
0–3Arkadag30/05/26Arkadag
Şagadam
1–4Arkadag21/04/26Şagadam
Arkadag
3–2Şagadam09/11/25Şagadam
Arkadag
2–0Şagadam19/08/25Arkadag
Şagadam
1–4Arkadag17/05/25Arkadag
Şagadam
1–4Arkadag30/03/25Şagadam
Arkadag
4–0Şagadam04/10/24Arkadag
Şagadam
3–5Arkadag17/08/24Şagadam
Arkadag
5–1Şagadam25/05/24Şagadam
Arkadag
3–1Şagadam20/04/24Arkadag
Şagadam
1–2Arkadag02/11/23Şagadam
Arkadag
3–2Şagadam16/08/23Arkadag
Şagadam
0–1Arkadag29/04/23Şagadam
Arkadag
4–0Şagadam| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | +85 | 72 |
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | +18 | 47 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -16 | 22 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -18 | 22 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -36 | 18 |
| 7 |  Aşgabat | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 15 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -30 | 14 |
Team Insights
Şagadam- ●Şagadam have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Şagadam have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●71% of Şagadam's goals have been scored at home.
Arkadag- ●Arkadag have won their last 19 matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in each of their last 19 matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Arkadag have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have won their last 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have won 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in 13 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
ŞagadamLANebitci0–3
Nebitci0–3LHMerw0–2
Merw0–2LAAltyn Asyr0–2
Altyn Asyr0–2WHAhal2–1
Ahal2–1LHArkadag0–3
Arkadag0–3WHKöpetdag Aşgabat3–2
Köpetdag Aşgabat3–2–HAşgabat17/10
Aşgabat17/10–HArkadag20/10
Arkadag20/10–AKöpetdag Aşgabat24/10
Köpetdag Aşgabat24/10ArkadagWHKöpetdag Aşgabat5–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat5–0WAAhal4–0
Ahal4–0WAMerw5–0
Merw5–0WAKöpetdag Aşgabat1–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat1–0WANebitci4–2
Nebitci4–2WAŞagadam3–0
Şagadam3–0–AŞagadam20/10
Şagadam20/10–HNebitci08/11
Nebitci08/11–HAltyn Asyr11/11
Altyn Asyr11/11Top Scorers
ŞagadamArkadagA. Sapargulyyev1 ⚽
M. Dinyiew1 ⚽
Mekan Saparov1 ⚽
R. Myratberdiyev1 ⚽
Cards Given
ŞagadamArkadagAbdy Byashimov1 🟨
B. Akmammedov1 🟨
Dayanch Meredov1 🟨
Y. Gurbanow1 🟨