Aşgabat vs Merw — Ýokary Liga
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Aşgabat and Merw meet in the Ýokary Liga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Aşgabat have recorded 4 wins from 22 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Merw have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 2.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Aşgabat and 1.51 for Merw. The models give Aşgabat a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Merw win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Aşgabat
MerwHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aşgabat | Home | Away | Merw | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 82% | 73% | 57% | 64% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 27% | 27% | 33% | 55% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 18% | 27% | 43% | 36% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Aşgabat | Home | Away | Merw | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 82% | 91% | 86% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 45% | 73% | 62% | 55% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 45% | 55% | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 18% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aşgabat | Merw | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 33% |
| BTTS | 64% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aşgabat | Merw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 12% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Aşgabat (H)
Altyn Asyr2–4
Ahal3–4
Köpetdag Aşgabat1–1
Şagadam1–0
Arkadag1–7Merw5–1Merw (A)Şagadam2–0Ahal0–4Arkadag0–7Köpetdag Aşgabat0–2Aşgabat1–5
Nebitci1–2Head to Head · 23 matches
AşgabatMerwAşgabatMerwAşgabatAşgabatMerwMerwAşgabatAşgabatMerwMerwMerwAşgabatMerwAşgabatMerwAşgabatAşgabatMerw| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | +85 | 72 |
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | +18 | 47 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -16 | 22 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -18 | 22 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -36 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 15 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -30 | 14 |
Team Insights
Aşgabat- ●Aşgabat have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Aşgabat have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost 6 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Aşgabat failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat have lost 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aşgabat have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
Merw- ●Merw failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Merw failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Merw have lost 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●73% of Merw's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Merw's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AşgabatAltyn Asyr2–4Ahal3–4Köpetdag Aşgabat1–1Merw2–3Arkadag0–3Nebitci1–1Şagadam17/10Nebitci24/10Merw01/11MerwArkadag0–5Şagadam2–0Köpetdag Aşgabat2–2Aşgabat3–2Ahal0–4Nebitci0–1Nebitci17/10Altyn Asyr21/10Aşgabat01/11