Arkadag vs Nebitci — Ýokary Liga
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Arkadag and Nebitci meet in the Ýokary Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Arkadag have recorded 26 wins from 28 matches this season (93% win rate), averaging 3.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 61% of games. Nebitci have won 27% of their 22 matches, with 0.95 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.66 for Arkadag and 0.85 for Nebitci. The models give Arkadag a 78% win probability, with a draw at 16% and an Nebitci win at 6%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Arkadag—
Nebitci1º
Position
5º
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
27%
4.04
Goals / game
0.91
0.50
Conceded / game
1.73
36%
BTTS %
41%
61%
Clean sheet %
27%
75%
Over 2.5 %
45%
1.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
18.0
Avg fouls
0.0
38.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Arkadag
Home (11)
—
Nebitci
Away (11)
3.00
PPG
0.73
100%
Win %
18%
3.91
Goals / game
0.82
0.45
Conceded / game
1.91
31%
BTTS %
45%
69%
Clean sheet %
18%
77%
Over 2.5 %
45%
1.0
Avg corners
0.0
10.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
38.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Arkadag | Home | Away | Nebitci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 92% | 93% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 79% | 77% | 80% | 27% | 36% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 68% | 69% | 67% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 8% | 7% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Arkadag | Home | Away | Nebitci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 39% | 31% | 47% | 73% | 64% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 8% | 13% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 32% | 27% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 61% | 69% | 53% | 27% | 36% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arkadag | Nebitci | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 23% |
| BTTS | 36% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 39% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arkadag | Nebitci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 59% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 9% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 73% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 28% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Arkadag (H)W
Köpetdag Aşgabat5–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat5–0W
Muharraq1–0
Muharraq1–0W
Aşgabat3–0
Aşgabat3–0W
Ahal2–1
Ahal2–1W
Goa3–0
Goa3–0W
Merw7–0
Merw7–0Nebitci (A)LAhal0–3
Ahal0–3DKöpetdag Aşgabat2–2
Köpetdag Aşgabat2–2WMerw1–0
Merw1–0D
Şagadam1–1
Şagadam1–1L
Altyn Asyr2–4
Altyn Asyr2–4LArkadag1–4
Arkadag1–4Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arkadag | Nebitci |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
14
Arkadag
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Nebitci
0%
93%
Over 1.5
13/14
79%
Over 2.5
11/14
71%
Over 3.5
10/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
05/09/26Arkadag
Nebitci
2–4Arkadag07/06/26Nebitci
Arkadag
4–1Nebitci26/04/26Arkadag
Nebitci
0–2Arkadag14/12/25Nebitci
Arkadag
4–1Nebitci11/08/25Arkadag
Nebitci
1–8Arkadag14/05/25Nebitci
Arkadag
3–0Nebitci20/04/25Arkadag
Nebitci
0–1Arkadag07/10/24Nebitci
Arkadag
5–1Nebitci27/08/24Nebitci
Arkadag
5–1Nebitci04/05/24Arkadag
Nebitci
1–4Arkadag10/03/24Nebitci
Arkadag
5–0Nebitci06/11/23Arkadag
Nebitci
0–4Arkadag23/08/23Arkadag
Nebitci
0–2Arkadag13/05/23Nebitci
Arkadag
5–0Nebitci| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | +85 | 72 |
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | +18 | 47 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -16 | 22 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -18 | 22 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -36 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 15 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -30 | 14 |
Team Insights
Arkadag- ●Arkadag have won their last 19 matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in each of their last 19 matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Arkadag have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have won their last 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Arkadag have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have won 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Arkadag have scored in 13 of their 13 away matches.
Nebitci- ●Nebitci have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nebitci failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Nebitci have lost 7 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
ArkadagWHKöpetdag Aşgabat5–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat5–0WAAhal4–0
Ahal4–0WAMerw5–0
Merw5–0WAKöpetdag Aşgabat1–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat1–0WANebitci4–2
Nebitci4–2WAŞagadam3–0
Şagadam3–0–AŞagadam20/10
Şagadam20/10–HNebitci08/11
Nebitci08/11–HAltyn Asyr11/11
Altyn Asyr11/11NebitciWHŞagadam3–0
Şagadam3–0LHAltyn Asyr2–4
Altyn Asyr2–4LAAhal0–3
Ahal0–3LHArkadag2–4
Arkadag2–4DAKöpetdag Aşgabat2–2
Köpetdag Aşgabat2–2DHAşgabat1–1
Aşgabat1–1–HMerw17/10
Merw17/10–AAşgabat24/10
Aşgabat24/10–HKöpetdag Aşgabat31/10
Köpetdag Aşgabat31/10Top Scorers
ArkadagA. Sapargulyyev1 ⚽
M. Dinyiew1 ⚽
Mekan Saparov1 ⚽
R. Myratberdiyev1 ⚽
NebitciCards Given
ArkadagAbdy Byashimov1 🟨
B. Akmammedov1 🟨
Dayanch Meredov1 🟨
Y. Gurbanow1 🟨
Nebitci