Merw vs Şagadam — Ýokary Liga
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Merw and Şagadam meet in the Ýokary Liga 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Merw have recorded 6 wins from 22 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Şagadam have won 23% of their 22 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Merw and 1.38 for Şagadam. The models give Merw a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Şagadam win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Merw—
Şagadam6º
Position
5º
0.78
PPG
0.96
22%
Win %
26%
1.00
Goals / game
0.87
2.91
Conceded / game
1.65
45%
BTTS %
36%
14%
Clean sheet %
18%
64%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Merw
Home (11)
—
Şagadam
Away (11)
1.45
PPG
0.45
45%
Win %
9%
1.45
Goals / game
0.55
2.27
Conceded / game
1.64
55%
BTTS %
20%
9%
Clean sheet %
20%
73%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Merw | Home | Away | Şagadam | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 64% | 45% | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 55% | 9% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 18% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 36% | 55% | 55% | 33% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Merw | Home | Away | Şagadam | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 91% | 82% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 55% | 73% | 55% | 58% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 27% | 45% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 9% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Merw | Şagadam | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 14% |
| BTTS | 45% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Merw | Şagadam | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 65% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 24% | 15% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 41% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Merw (H)L
Arkadag0–5
Arkadag0–5D
Köpetdag Aşgabat2–2
Köpetdag Aşgabat2–2W
Aşgabat3–2
Aşgabat3–2L
Nebitci0–1
Nebitci0–1WŞagadam2–0
Şagadam2–0L
Altyn Asyr0–2
Altyn Asyr0–2Şagadam (A)LNebitci0–3
Nebitci0–3LAltyn Asyr0–2
Altyn Asyr0–2LAşgabat0–1
Aşgabat0–1LMerw0–2
Merw0–2L
Ahal0–1
Ahal0–1DKöpetdag Aşgabat0–0
Köpetdag Aşgabat0–0Head to Head · 24 matches
7
Merw
29%
4
Draws
17%
13
Şagadam
54%
71%
Over 1.5
17/24
38%
Over 2.5
9/24
8%
Over 3.5
2/24
46%
BTTS
11/24
19/09/26Merw
Şagadam
0–2Merw20/06/26Şagadam
Merw
2–0Şagadam10/05/26Merw
Şagadam
1–1Merw17/10/25Merw
Şagadam
2–0Merw07/08/25Şagadam
Merw
0–1Şagadam26/04/25Şagadam
Merw
1–1Şagadam05/03/25Merw
Şagadam
1–0Merw26/11/24Şagadam
Merw
0–1Şagadam18/09/24Merw
Şagadam
1–0Merw18/05/24Merw
Şagadam
3–0Merw13/04/24Şagadam
Merw
2–0Şagadam04/12/23Merw
Şagadam
2–1Merw08/09/23Şagadam
Merw
2–0Şagadam17/05/23Merw
Şagadam
0–0Merw20/12/22Merw
Şagadam
1–2Merw18/11/22Şagadam
Merw
1–0Şagadam14/10/22Merw
Şagadam
2–1Merw30/08/22Şagadam
Merw
4–1Şagadam26/11/21Şagadam
Merw
1–2Şagadam25/10/21Merw
Şagadam
4–2Merw| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 25 | 25 | 0 | 0 | +89 | 75 |
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | +24 | 53 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 42 |
| 4 | Nebitci | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -17 | 25 |
| 5 | Şagadam | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -18 | 22 |
| 6 | Merw | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -44 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -25 | 15 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -31 | 14 |
Team Insights
Merw- ●Merw failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Merw failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Merw have lost 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●73% of Merw's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Merw's points have been earned at home.
Şagadam- ●Şagadam have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Şagadam have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Şagadam failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Şagadam have lost 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●71% of Şagadam's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
MerwLANebitci0–3
Nebitci0–3LHArkadag0–5
Arkadag0–5WAŞagadam2–0
Şagadam2–0DHKöpetdag Aşgabat2–2
Köpetdag Aşgabat2–2WHAşgabat3–2
Aşgabat3–2LAAhal0–4
Ahal0–4–AAltyn Asyr21/10
Altyn Asyr21/10–AAşgabat01/11
Aşgabat01/11–HAltyn Asyr07/11
Altyn Asyr07/11ŞagadamLANebitci0–3
Nebitci0–3LHMerw0–2
Merw0–2LAAltyn Asyr0–2
Altyn Asyr0–2WHAhal2–1
Ahal2–1LHArkadag0–3
Arkadag0–3WHKöpetdag Aşgabat3–2
Köpetdag Aşgabat3–2–AKöpetdag Aşgabat24/10
Köpetdag Aşgabat24/10–AAhal07/11
Ahal07/11–HAltyn Asyr20/11
Altyn Asyr20/11