San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca — Torneo Federal A
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San Martin Formosa and Olimpo Bahia Blanca meet in the Torneo Federal A 2026 season on 18 October 2026. San Martin Formosa have recorded 15 wins from 28 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Olimpo Bahia Blanca have won 46% of their 28 matches, with 0.93 goals scored and 0.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 11%, and clean sheets at 61%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for San Martin Formosa and 1.43 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. The models give San Martin Formosa a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Olimpo Bahia Blanca win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
San Martin Formosa—
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1º
Position
1º
1.88
PPG
1.94
56%
Win %
50%
1.56
Goals / game
0.81
1.19
Conceded / game
0.25
50%
BTTS %
32%
32%
Clean sheet %
61%
43%
Over 2.5 %
11%
4.8
Avg corners
3.5
11.2
Avg shots
11.3
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
47.0%
Avg possession
52.0%
Home vs Away
San Martin Formosa
Home (8)
—
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Away (8)
2.50
PPG
1.63
75%
Win %
38%
1.88
Goals / game
0.75
0.75
Conceded / game
0.50
54%
BTTS %
43%
46%
Clean sheet %
43%
54%
Over 2.5 %
14%
4.8
Avg corners
3.5
11.2
Avg shots
11.3
3.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
47.0%
Avg possession
52.0%
Goals Scored
| San Martin | Home | Away | Olimpo Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 92% | 60% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 62% | 27% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 31% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 8% | 40% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| San Martin | Home | Away | Olimpo Bahia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 54% | 80% | 39% | 21% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 15% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 46% | 20% | 61% | 79% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Martin | Olimpo Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 11% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 11% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Martin | Olimpo Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 4% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 7% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 39% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 7% |
Recent Venue Form
San Martin (H)D
Atenas1–1
Atenas1–1W
Sarmiento de La Banda3–0
Sarmiento de La Banda3–0W
9 de Julio Rafaela2–1
9 de Julio Rafaela2–1W
Sportivo Belgrano2–0
Sportivo Belgrano2–0W
Sol de América2–1
Sol de América2–1W
Bartolomé Mitre1–0
Bartolomé Mitre1–0Olimpo Bahia (A)W
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2–1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2–1D
Alvarado1–1
Alvarado1–1LAtenas0–1
Atenas0–1D
Argentino Monte Maíz1–1
Argentino Monte Maíz1–1W
Huracan Las Heras1–0
Huracan Las Heras1–0W
Germinal de Rawson1–0
Germinal de Rawson1–0Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
8.6
67 games
7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | San Martin | Olimpo Bahia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 25% | 46% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 25% | 39% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | San Martin | Olimpo Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 25% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
San Martin
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Olimpo Bahia
67%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
11/10/26San Martin Formosa
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1San Martin Formosa19/10/24Olimpo Bahia Blanca
San Martin Formosa
1–2Olimpo Bahia Blanca12/10/24San Martin Formosa
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–0San Martin Formosa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 31 |
| 1 |  Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 31 |
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 30 |
| 1 |  Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +4 | 25 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 26 |
| 2 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 27 |
| 3 |  Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 26 |
| 3 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 23 |
| 4 |  Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 4 |  Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 23 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 25 |
| 5 |  Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 25 |
| 5 |  Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 5 | Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 6 |  Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 7 |  San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 |  El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -11 | 15 |
| 9 |  Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 |  Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 17 |
Team Insights
San Martin- ●San Martin Formosa have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●San Martin Formosa have been undefeated in their last 13 home matches.
- ●San Martin Formosa have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●San Martin Formosa have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Martin Formosa have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●San Martin Formosa have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●San Martin Formosa failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●San Martin Formosa have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of San Martin Formosa's goals conceded were conceded away.
Olimpo Bahia- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca have been undefeated in their last 14 home matches.
- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Olimpo Bahia Blanca have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●73% of Olimpo Bahia Blanca's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
San MartinDAOlimpo Bahia Blanca1–1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1DHAtenas1–1
Atenas1–1WAAtenas1–0
Atenas1–0DABartolomé Mitre0–0
Bartolomé Mitre0–0WHSarmiento de La Banda3–0
Sarmiento de La Banda3–0LADefensores de Belgrano VR0–1
Defensores de Belgrano VR0–1–HOlimpo Bahia Blanca18/10
Olimpo Bahia Blanca18/10Olimpo BahiaDHSan Martin Formosa1–1
San Martin Formosa1–1WAGimnasia Chivilcoy2–1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2–1WHGimnasia Chivilcoy2–1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2–1DAAlvarado1–1
Alvarado1–1DHCipolletti1–1
Cipolletti1–1LAAtenas0–1
Atenas0–1–ASan Martin Formosa18/10
San Martin Formosa18/10Top Scorers
San MartinG. Nunez8 ⚽
R. Tapia5 ⚽
M. Siergiejuk5 ⚽
L. Ceratto3 ⚽
D. Leiva3 ⚽
F. Monin2 ⚽
Olimpo BahiaM. Olivera3 ⚽
B. Guille3 ⚽
A. Hernandez2 ⚽
C. Ibarra2 ⚽
Braian Guille2 ⚽
C. Amarilla2 ⚽
Cards Given
San Martin51 🟨
G. Nunez4 🟨
L. Ceratto2 🟨
F. Perez1 🟨
D. Leiva1 🟨
A. Griego1 🟨
Olimpo Bahia44 🟨
D. Ramirez4 🟨
N. Moiraghi3 🟨
C. Chimino2 🟨
M. Vargas2 🟨
J. Lungarzo1 🟨