Tacuarembo vs La Luz — Segunda División
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Tacuarembo and La Luz meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Tacuarembo have recorded 6 wins from 28 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 0.79 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 21%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. La Luz have won 29% of their 28 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.92 for Tacuarembo and 0.92 for La Luz. The models give Tacuarembo a 34% win probability, with a draw at 33% and an La Luz win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 28% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tacuarembo | Home | Away | La Luz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 57% | 64% | 57% | 71% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 7% | 29% | 29% | 50% | 7% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 43% | 36% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Tacuarembo | Home | Away | La Luz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 64% | 93% | 57% | 71% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 21% | 57% | 32% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 36% | 7% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tacuarembo | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 21% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 7% |
| BTTS | 43% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 4% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tacuarembo | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 8 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 49 | 24 | 8 | 17 | +16 | 80 | |
| 2 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 | |
| 3 | 49 | 21 | 15 | 13 | +23 | 78 | |
| 3 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +5 | 33 | |
| 4 | 49 | 20 | 18 | 11 | +12 | 78 | |
| 5 | 49 | 19 | 13 | 17 | +8 | 70 | |
| 6 | 49 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 68 | |
| 7 | 49 | 17 | 17 | 15 | -1 | 68 | |
| 9 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -1 | 28 | |
| 11 | 49 | 13 | 15 | 21 | -21 | 54 | |
| 11 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -6 | 27 | |
| 12 | 48 | 9 | 24 | 15 | -14 | 51 | |
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 26 | |
| 14 | 49 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -29 | 44 |
Team Insights
- ●Tacuarembo have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Tacuarembo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Tacuarembo have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tacuarembo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tacuarembo failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●65% of Tacuarembo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tacuarembo have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●La Luz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●La Luz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●La Luz have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●La Luz failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●La Luz have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●72% of La Luz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of La Luz's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●La Luz have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.