Miramar vs Cerrito — Segunda División
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Parque Palermo·Montevideo·Uruguay·5,500
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Miramar and Cerrito meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Miramar have recorded 10 wins from 34 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Cerrito have won 38% of their 32 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Miramar and 1.00 for Cerrito. The models give Miramar a 41% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Cerrito win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Miramar—
Cerrito10º
Position
8º
0.83
PPG
1.50
17%
Win %
33%
0.50
Goals / game
1.33
1.17
Conceded / game
1.33
59%
BTTS %
59%
12%
Clean sheet %
31%
38%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Miramar
Home (3)
—
Cerrito
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
0.67
33%
Win %
0%
0.33
Goals / game
1.00
0.67
Conceded / game
2.00
44%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
31%
13%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Miramar | Home | Away | Cerrito | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 63% | 72% | 78% | 88% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 13% | 33% | 41% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 0% | 33% | 16% | 13% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 38% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Miramar | Home | Away | Cerrito | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 69% | 69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 19% | 39% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 25% | 0% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Miramar | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 6% |
| BTTS | 59% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Miramar | Cerrito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 66% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Miramar (H)W
Paysandu1–0
Paysandu1–0W
Auckland FC 22–1
Auckland FC 22–1W
Uruguay Montevideo1–0
Uruguay Montevideo1–0L
Colón0–1
Colón0–1D
Rentistas1–1
Rentistas1–1D
Tacuarembo1–1
Tacuarembo1–1Cerrito (A)W
Plaza Colonia3–1
Plaza Colonia3–1W
Wanderers3–1
Wanderers3–1D
Atenas0–0
Atenas0–0W
Cerro2–0
Cerro2–0L
Sportivo Huracan1–2
Sportivo Huracan1–2LColón0–1
Colón0–1Head to Head · 13 matches
3
Miramar
23%
7
Draws
54%
3
Cerrito
23%
62%
Over 1.5
8/13
38%
Over 2.5
5/13
31%
Over 3.5
4/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
12/07/26Miramar
Cerrito
1–0Miramar04/11/23Miramar
Cerrito
1–6Miramar18/06/23Cerrito
Miramar
2–2Cerrito02/04/23Miramar
Cerrito
2–2Miramar18/08/18Miramar
Cerrito
1–1Miramar24/03/18Cerrito
Miramar
1–1Cerrito13/09/17Miramar
Cerrito
1–0Miramar29/04/17Cerrito
Miramar
3–0Cerrito02/12/16Cerrito
Miramar
0–0Cerrito07/03/15Miramar
Cerrito
0–0Miramar13/09/14Cerrito
Miramar
1–1Cerrito08/06/13Miramar
Cerrito
1–3Miramar10/03/13Cerrito
Miramar
0–1Cerrito| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atenas | 49 | 24 | 8 | 17 | +16 | 80 |
| 2 |  CA River Plate | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 3 | Colón | 49 | 21 | 15 | 13 | +23 | 78 |
| 3 | Plaza Colonia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +5 | 33 |
| 4 |  Oriental | 49 | 20 | 18 | 11 | +12 | 78 |
| 5 |  Fenix | 49 | 19 | 13 | 17 | +8 | 70 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 49 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 68 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 49 | 17 | 17 | 15 | -1 | 68 |
| 9 | Paysandu | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | Cerrito | 49 | 13 | 15 | 21 | -21 | 54 |
| 11 | Sportivo Huracan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 |  La Luz | 48 | 9 | 24 | 15 | -14 | 51 |
| 12 | Miramar | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 49 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -29 | 44 |
Team Insights
Miramar- ●Miramar have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Miramar have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Miramar have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Miramar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Miramar have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Miramar failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Miramar failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of Miramar's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of Miramar's goals conceded were conceded away.
Cerrito- ●Cerrito have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cerrito have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Cerrito have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Cerrito failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●67% of Cerrito's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cerrito have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MiramarDAAtenas1–1
Atenas1–1WHPaysandu1–0
Paysandu1–0LASportivo Huracan1–2
Sportivo Huracan1–2WHUruguay Montevideo1–0
Uruguay Montevideo1–0WAOriental3–1
Oriental3–1LHColón0–1
Colón0–1–HCerrito17/10
Cerrito17/10CerritoWHTacuarembo2–1
Tacuarembo2–1WAPlaza Colonia3–1
Plaza Colonia3–1LHLa Luz1–2
La Luz1–2DHCA River Plate1–1
CA River Plate1–1DAAtenas0–0
Atenas0–0LHPaysandu1–2
Paysandu1–2–AMiramar17/10
Miramar17/10Top Scorers
Miramar7 ⚽
A. de Freitas5 ⚽
B. Abatte5 ⚽
J. Harris2 ⚽
A. Hewson2 ⚽
A. Gonzalez2 ⚽
CerritoJ. Isasmendi14 ⚽
L. Batista6 ⚽
L. Machado6 ⚽
I. Yepez5 ⚽
E. Silveira2 ⚽
A. Schetino2 ⚽
Cards Given
Miramar2 🟨
B. Abatte1 🟨
G. Acevedo1 🟨
Cerrito3 🟨
S. Viera2 🟨
L. Batista1 🟨
R. Viega1 🟨
S. Ruiz1 🟨