Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo — Segunda División
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Oriental and Uruguay Montevideo meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Oriental have recorded 12 wins from 32 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Uruguay Montevideo have won 21% of their 28 matches, with 0.96 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Oriental and 0.94 for Uruguay Montevideo. The models give Oriental a 51% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Uruguay Montevideo win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Oriental—
Uruguay Montevideo1º
Position
6º
2.17
PPG
1.50
67%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.17
0.83
Conceded / game
0.83
53%
BTTS %
54%
34%
Clean sheet %
18%
44%
Over 2.5 %
39%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Oriental
Home (3)
—
Uruguay Montevideo
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
0.33
Conceded / game
0.67
47%
BTTS %
23%
47%
Clean sheet %
15%
47%
Over 2.5 %
31%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Oriental | Home | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 76% | 68% | 93% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 35% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 24% | 32% | 7% | 62% |
Goals Conceded
| Oriental | Home | Away | Uruguay Montevideo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 53% | 76% | 82% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 33% | 35% | 43% | 47% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 20% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 47% | 24% | 18% | 20% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oriental | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 4% |
| BTTS | 53% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oriental | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Oriental (H)W
Fenix3–2
Fenix3–2L
Miramar1–3
Miramar1–3L
Racing Montevideo1–2
Racing Montevideo1–2W
Plaza Colonia2–0
Plaza Colonia2–0L
Atenas0–1
Atenas0–1W
Sportivo Huracan1–0
Sportivo Huracan1–0Uruguay Montevideo (A)LFenix0–2
Fenix0–2LMiramar0–1
Miramar0–1LPlaza Colonia0–1
Plaza Colonia0–1L
Cerrito0–3
Cerrito0–3WSportivo Huracan3–1
Sportivo Huracan3–1L
Colón0–1
Colón0–1Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Oriental
33%
3
Draws
33%
3
Uruguay Montevideo
33%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
12/07/26Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
1–1Oriental14/09/25Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
0–4Oriental21/06/25Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1–1Uruguay Montevideo14/09/24Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
0–2Uruguay Montevideo02/06/24Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
2–1Oriental21/04/24Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
3–2Uruguay Montevideo25/10/23Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
0–1Oriental10/06/23Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
0–0Uruguay Montevideo26/03/23Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1–2Uruguay Montevideo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atenas | 49 | 24 | 8 | 17 | +16 | 80 |
| 2 |  CA River Plate | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 3 | Colón | 49 | 21 | 15 | 13 | +23 | 78 |
| 3 | Plaza Colonia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +5 | 33 |
| 4 | Oriental | 49 | 20 | 18 | 11 | +12 | 78 |
| 5 | Fenix | 49 | 19 | 13 | 17 | +8 | 70 |
| 6 |  Rentistas | 49 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 68 |
| 7 |  Tacuarembo | 49 | 17 | 17 | 15 | -1 | 68 |
| 9 |  Paysandu | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | Cerrito | 49 | 13 | 15 | 21 | -21 | 54 |
| 11 | Sportivo Huracan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 |  La Luz | 48 | 9 | 24 | 15 | -14 | 51 |
| 12 | Miramar | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 49 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -29 | 44 |
Team Insights
Oriental- ●Oriental have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Oriental failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Oriental have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Uruguay Montevideo- ●Uruguay Montevideo have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Uruguay Montevideo have lost 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●70% of Uruguay Montevideo's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
OrientalLACA River Plate1–3
CA River Plate1–3DAColón0–0
Colón0–0WHFenix3–2
Fenix3–2WARentistas2–0
Rentistas2–0LHMiramar1–3
Miramar1–3WATacuarembo1–0
Tacuarembo1–0–HUruguay Montevideo18/10
Uruguay Montevideo18/10Uruguay MontevideoLHColón1–3
Colón1–3LAFenix0–2
Fenix0–2LHRentistas1–3
Rentistas1–3LAMiramar0–1
Miramar0–1DHTacuarembo2–2
Tacuarembo2–2LAPlaza Colonia0–1
Plaza Colonia0–1–AOriental18/10
Oriental18/10Top Scorers
OrientalM. Rigoleto8 ⚽
8 ⚽
B. Nunez5 ⚽
R. Alexandrino5 ⚽
N. Rodriguez3 ⚽
C. Franco2 ⚽
Uruguay MontevideoL. Rodriguez8 ⚽
4 ⚽
M. Lombardi3 ⚽
L. Ortiz2 ⚽
L. Maldonado2 ⚽
M. A. Goyeni d. A.2 ⚽
Cards Given
Oriental2 🟨
N. Kozlovsky1 🟨
Uruguay Montevideo7 🟨
B. Barja1 🟨
L. Ortiz1 🟨
L. Rodriguez1 🟨
M. Abero1 🟨
M. Lombardi1 🟨