Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers — Primera División
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Racing Montevideo and Wanderers meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Racing Montevideo have recorded 16 wins from 38 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 34%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Wanderers have won 35% of their 40 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Racing Montevideo and 1.15 for Wanderers. The models give Racing Montevideo a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Wanderers win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Racing Montevideo | Home | Away | Wanderers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 89% | 50% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 39% | 25% | 28% | 25% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 11% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Racing Montevideo | Home | Away | Wanderers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 56% | 75% | 70% | 65% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 17% | 25% | 45% | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 11% | 5% | 20% | 15% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 44% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Racing Montevideo | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 34% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 45% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Racing Montevideo | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Racing Montevideo | Wanderers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 33% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 0% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Racing Montevideo | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 | |
| 2 | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 | |
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 | |
| 4 | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 | |
| 5 | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 | |
| 6 | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 | |
| 7 | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 | |
| 8 | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 | |
| 8 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 | |
| 9 | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 | |
| 11 | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 | |
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 | |
| 13 | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 | |
| 14 | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 | |
| 15 | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 | |
| 16 | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
- ●Racing Montevideo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Racing Montevideo have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Wanderers have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Wanderers have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wanderers have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Wanderers failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Wanderers have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Wanderers have scored in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●66% of Wanderers's goals conceded were conceded away.