Boston River vs Defensor Sporting — Primera División
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Boston River and Defensor Sporting meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Boston River have recorded 15 wins from 46 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Defensor Sporting have won 21% of their 39 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Boston River and 1.17 for Defensor Sporting. The models give Boston River a 41% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Defensor Sporting win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Boston River | Home | Away | Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 63% | 59% | 64% | 67% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 29% | 27% | 18% | 19% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 38% | 41% | 36% | 33% | 39% |
Goals Conceded
| Boston River | Home | Away | Defensor Sporting | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 67% | 91% | 74% | 62% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 29% | 55% | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 4% | 18% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 33% | 9% | 26% | 38% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Boston River | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS | 48% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Boston River | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Boston River | Defensor Sporting | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 67% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 67% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 67% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 33% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Boston River | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.2 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.3 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 22% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 78% | 33% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 | |
| 2 | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 | |
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 | |
| 4 | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 | |
| 5 | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 | |
| 6 | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 | |
| 7 | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 | |
| 8 | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 | |
| 8 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 | |
| 9 | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 | |
| 11 | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 | |
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 | |
| 13 | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 | |
| 14 | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 | |
| 15 | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 | |
| 16 | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
- ●Boston River have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Boston River failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●70% of Boston River's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Defensor Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.