Danubio vs Central Espanol — Primera División
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Danubio and Central Espanol meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Danubio have recorded 6 wins from 36 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Central Espanol have won 32% of their 37 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Danubio and 1.02 for Central Espanol. The models give Danubio a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Central Espanol win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Danubio—
Central Espanol11º
Position
5º
1.20
PPG
1.60
27%
Win %
47%
1.13
Goals / game
1.53
1.40
Conceded / game
1.47
47%
BTTS %
46%
19%
Clean sheet %
35%
36%
Over 2.5 %
49%
3.5
Avg corners
2.5
10.5
Avg shots
5.5
2.5
Avg shots on target
2.5
4.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
45.5%
Home vs Away
Danubio
Home (7)
—
Central Espanol
Away (8)
1.43
PPG
1.38
29%
Win %
38%
1.43
Goals / game
1.38
0.86
Conceded / game
1.63
59%
BTTS %
35%
24%
Clean sheet %
47%
35%
Over 2.5 %
53%
3.5
Avg corners
2.5
10.5
Avg shots
5.5
2.5
Avg shots on target
2.5
4.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
49.0%
Avg possession
45.5%
Goals Scored
| Danubio | Home | Away | Central Espanol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 65% | 42% | 65% | 70% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 29% | 16% | 27% | 35% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 35% | 58% | 35% | 30% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Danubio | Home | Away | Central Espanol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 76% | 84% | 65% | 75% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 24% | 42% | 32% | 20% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 16% | 16% | 10% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 24% | 16% | 35% | 25% | 47% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Danubio | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 11% |
| BTTS | 47% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Danubio | Central Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 59% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Danubio (H)W
Cerro Largo2–1
Cerro Largo2–1D
Penarol1–1
Penarol1–1D
Wanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1LPenarol0–4
Penarol0–4W
Atenas3–2
Atenas3–2D
Racing Montevideo0–0
Racing Montevideo0–0Central Espanol (A)L
Deportivo Maldonado0–3
Deportivo Maldonado0–3DCerro Largo0–0
Cerro Largo0–0WRacing Montevideo4–2
Racing Montevideo4–2LWanderers0–3
Wanderers0–3LPenarol1–2
Penarol1–2D
Boston River0–0
Boston River0–0Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
7.8
17 games
7.5
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Danubio | Central Espanol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 50% | 18% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 0% | 6% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Danubio | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
0
Danubio
0%
3
Draws
60%
2
Central Espanol
40%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
20%
Over 2.5
1/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
12/04/26Danubio
Central Espanol
2–2Danubio15/09/21Central Espanol
Danubio
1–1Central Espanol02/06/21Danubio
Central Espanol
0–0Danubio04/05/13Central Espanol
Danubio
0–2Central Espanol10/11/12Danubio
Central Espanol
1–0Danubio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | +57 | 142 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | +53 | 134 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 59 |
| 4 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | +26 | 115 |
| 5 |  Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | +19 | 106 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | +10 | 106 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | +4 | 101 |
| 8 |  Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | -5 | 96 |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 0 | 89 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 |  Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 |  Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | -41 | 68 |
Team Insights
Danubio- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Danubio have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Danubio failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Danubio have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Central Espanol- ●Central Espanol have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Central Espanol have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Central Espanol have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Central Espanol have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
DanubioLAAtletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1WHCerro Largo2–1
Cerro Largo2–1LADefensor Sporting0–1
Defensor Sporting0–1DHWanderers1–1
Wanderers1–1DAJuventud1–1
Juventud1–1LHPenarol0–4
Penarol0–4–HCentral Espanol18/10
Central Espanol18/10Central EspanolLHClub Nacional0–1
Club Nacional0–1LADeportivo Maldonado0–3
Deportivo Maldonado0–3LHLiverpool Montevideo1–2
Liverpool Montevideo1–2LHAtletico Torque1–4
Atletico Torque1–4DACerro Largo0–0
Cerro Largo0–0DHDefensor Sporting1–1
Defensor Sporting1–1–ADanubio18/10
Danubio18/10Top Scorers
DanubioS. Fernandez5 ⚽
M. Peralta5 ⚽
M. Ferreira4 ⚽
E. Cabrera4 ⚽
S. Rodriguez2 ⚽
Mateo peralta2 ⚽
Central EspanolR. Tarragona8 ⚽
M. Alonso4 ⚽
F. Munoz4 ⚽
I. Mendez3 ⚽
L. Pino3 ⚽
G. Gandolfo2 ⚽
Cards Given
DanubioS. Rodriguez6 🟨
M. Brasil5 🟨
Tomás Cavanagh5 🟨
Iván Rossi4 🟨
E. Velazquez4 🟨
M. Rinaldi4 🟨
Central EspanolA. Villoldo13 🟨
I. Rodriguez12 🟨
G. Gandolfo9 🟨
L. Fernandez8 🟨
M. Aguilera7 🟨
F. Munoz5 🟨